Which fanbases believe in a title more than the betting market does. We rank fan belief (the Backometer) against the market's implied 2027 title odds — both as percentiles within the contender field — and the gap is the delusion index. Top = most delusional; bottom = the market's higher on you than your own fans ("sharp"). The honest calibration payoff — who was actually right — settles in December.
| # | Fanbase | Belief | Market | Index | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | 77 | 2% | +90 | Delusional |
| 2 | Alabama | 64 | 4% | +40 | Delusional |
| 3 | Texas A&M | 63 | 4% | +30 | Delusional |
| 4 | Oregon | 67 | 8% | +20 | Bullish |
| 5 | LSU | 62 | 4% | +0 | Bullish |
| 6 | Texas | 64 | 8% | -10 | Bullish |
| 7 | Miami | 63 | 8% | -10 | Bullish |
| 8 | Georgia | 59 | 5% | -40 | Sharp |
| 9 | Notre Dame | 63 | 10% | -50 | Sharp |
| 10 | Ohio State | 60 | 12% | -80 | Sharp |