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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Adonijah Green /Louisville

Adonijah Green

DL · Louisville · So · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

31 TACKLES · 4 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Louisville for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Louisville for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Louisville

Returning around him

  • 46% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 Louisville player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (33 in / 39 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Louisville · Last season: 9-4 (AP #19) · Talent rank #50 · 2026 recruiting class #68

DL · LOUISVILLE · ACC

Adonijah Green

  • 2
  • #17
  • 6-6 | 250 lb
  • Ellenwood, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

64

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10150

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#192 national
CFB
College
Louisville
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class2
Jersey17
Measurements6-6 | 250 lb
HometownEllenwood, GA
Primary teamLouisville

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 192 recruit
Composite rating 0.9254 HighSchool
Signed with Louisville 2023
Origin Cedar Grove Ellenwood, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9254 No. 192 recruit | HighSchool | Louisville

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10150Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10332Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Louisville

Composite

0.9254

#192 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Adonijah Green

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Adonijah Green

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
31Tackles
6Tackles for loss
4Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
34Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
4.3Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 31): needs 49/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 31): needs 69/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 4): needs 2/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Adonijah Green is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Louisville's defense, with 4.0 sacks, 6.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10150 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 192 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 31 11 solo | #1302/4942 (74th pct)
TFL 6.0 Backfield disruption | #406/4972 (92nd pct)
Sacks 4.0 Pass-rush finish | #169/4972 (97th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
31 74th
SOLO
11 60th
TFL
6.0 92nd
SACK
4.0 97th
QBH
4 85th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 51-17vs Eastern Kentucky331.01.00
Wk 2W 28-14vs James Madison400.00.00
Wk 4W 40-17vs Bowling Green110.00.00
Wk 5W 34-27@ Pittsburgh111.00.00
Wk 8W 24-21@ Miami100.00.00
Wk 9W 38-24vs Boston College210.00.00
Wk 10W 28-16@ Virginia Tech600.00.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 11L 26-29vs California211.01.00
Wk 12L 19-20vs Clemson100.00.00
Wk 13L 6-38@ SMU321.01.00
Wk 14W 41-0vs Kentucky311.01.00
BowlW 27-22vs Toledo411.00.00
Total31116.04.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Louisville10-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Run-leaning
2024Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
2025Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Louisville31116.04.0------
2024Louisville1283.01.0------
2023Louisville320.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons46219.05.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 31 #1302/4942 74th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.0 #406/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 4.0 #169/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 11 #1855/4584 60th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home8g2.50.50.40.0
Road4g2.80.50.20.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.80.40.20.0
Losses3g2.00.70.70.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.60.60.20.0
Weeks 8+7g2.60.40.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

64Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (93rd). Strength: qb hurries (87th). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Sacks#169 / 2975 · 93rd pct
4.0defe
QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Tackles for loss#406 / 2975 · 85th pct
6.0defe
Tackles#1302 / 2975 · 55th pct
31defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Solo tackles#1855 / 2975 · 35th pct
11defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Adonijah GreenLouisvilleMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 72% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 69% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 68% sim
Sacks
93
Green
80
Parker
74
Wesloski
63
Davey
QB hurries
88
Green
88
Parker
95
Wesloski
82
Davey
Tackles for loss
85
Green
87
Parker
95
Wesloski
91
Davey
Tackles
55
Green
98
Parker
99
Wesloski
99
Davey
Forced fumbles
47
Green
47
Parker
47
Wesloski
47
Davey
Solo tackles
35
Green
96
Parker
99
Wesloski
99
Davey
Passes defended
18
Green
18
Parker
18
Wesloski
18
Davey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The 3-Tech Penetrator

Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tyler Thomas’s 2025 season.

Tyler Thomas

81%match

South Alabama · 2025

#2

Linus Zunk

Vanderbilt · 2024

78%
#3

Adam Plant

UNLV · 2022

All-Mountain West
78%
#4

Bruno Dall

Akron · 2025

All-MAC
77%
#5

Aiden Gobaira

James Madison · 2025

76%

Matches Tyler on

Class year
TFL rate
Sack rate

Differs from Tyler on

Height (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Koron Hayward's junior season at Western Kentucky (2025).

Koron Hayward

90%match

Western Kentucky · 2025

#2

Tyler Thomas

South Alabama · 2025

86%
#3

Jaxon Howard

Minnesota · 2025

81%
#4

Ezekiel Durham-Campbell

Coastal Carolina · 2025

74%
#5

Jayden Wayne

California · 2025

73%

Matches Koron on

Class year
Sack rate
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Brohm

Pass share

50.2%

414 pass / 410 run

Plays / game

63.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

314 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Jeff Brohm
Louisville
2024
Jeff Brohm
Louisville
2025
Jeff Brohm
Louisville

Played his entire career under Jeff Brohm.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownEllenwood, GA
Height6'6"
Weight250 lb
Class2
PositionDL
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Louisville DL2 #10150 #10332 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Louisville DL2 #8508 #8122 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Louisville ACC DL 2 No. 17 | 6-6 | 250 lb | Ellenwood, GA
2024 Louisville ACC DL 2 No. 17 | 6-6 | 250 lb | Ellenwood, GA
2023 Louisville ACC DL 2 No. 17 | 6-6 | 250 lb | Ellenwood, GA