cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Alec Bryant /Illinois

Alec Bryant

LB · Illinois · Sr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

26 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Illinois for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Illinois for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Illinois

Returning around him

  • 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 3 Illinois players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (19 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Illinois · Last season: 9-4 (AP #23) · Talent rank #64 · 2026 recruiting class #45

LB · ILLINOIS · BIG TEN

Alec Bryant

  • 4
  • #3
  • 6-3 | 250 lb

CFB Zeitgeist Score

47

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#8381

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#358 national
CFB
College
Illinois
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements6-3 | 250 lb
Hometown--
Primary teamIllinois

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 358 recruit
Composite rating 0.8958 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin Shadow Creek Pearland, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 4-star | 0.8958 No. 358 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#8381Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#8572Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to —

Composite

0.8958

#358 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Alec Bryant

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Alec Bryant

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
26Tackles
3Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
28Tackles
3.2Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 26): needs 54/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 26): needs 74/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 5.5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 9.5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Alec Bryant is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Illinois's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #8381 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 358 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 26 9 solo | #1609/4942 (67th pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
26 67th
SOLO
9 54th
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
0.5 70th
QBH
2 66th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 52-3vs Western Illinois200.50.00
Wk 2W 45-19@ Duke110.00.00
Wk 3W 38-0vs Western Michigan301.00.50
Wk 4L 10-63@ Indiana210.00.00
Wk 5W 34-32vs USC430.00.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 6W 43-27@ Purdue100.00.00
Wk 9L 25-42@ Washington420.00.00
Wk 10W 35-13vs Rutgers300.50.00
Wk 12W 24-6vs Maryland111.00.00
Wk 13L 10-27@ Wisconsin110.00.00
Wk 14W 20-13vs Northwestern200.00.00
BowlW 30-28vs Tennessee200.00.00
Total2693.00.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Illinois8-5HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
2023Illinois5-7HC: Bret Bielema · Balanced
2024Illinois10-3HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
2025Illinois9-4HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Illinois2693.00.5------
2024Illinois22152.02.02----
2023Illinois2682.50.5------
2022Illinois963.51.51----
Career4 loaded seasons833811.04.53----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 26 #1609/4942 67th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 9 #2127/4584 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.40.40.10.0
Road5g1.80.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.10.30.10.0
Losses3g2.30.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.10.20.10.0
Weeks 8+5g2.20.30.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

47Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: passes defended (17th).

QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Tackles#1609 / 2975 · 45th pct
26defe
Solo tackles#2127 / 2975 · 26th pct
9defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Alec BryantIllinoisMicah DaveyUTEP· 61% simMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 60% simDaniel WingateMaryland· 59% sim
QB hurries
72
Bryant
82
Davey
88
Parker
72
Wingate
Tackles for loss
63
Bryant
91
Davey
87
Parker
87
Wingate
Sacks
51
Bryant
63
Davey
80
Parker
74
Wingate
Tackles
45
Bryant
99
Davey
98
Parker
98
Wingate
Solo tackles
26
Bryant
99
Davey
96
Parker
99
Wingate
Passes defended
18
Bryant
18
Davey
18
Parker
48
Wingate

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Alec Bryant’s 2023 season.

Alec Bryant

86%match

Illinois · 2023

#2

Chase Pine

Pittsburgh · 2021

85%
#3

Kumehnnu Gwilly

Central Michigan · 2021

78%
#4

Kameron Olds

Kentucky · 2025

78%
#5

Ernest Cooper

Stanford · 2024

77%

Matches Alec on

Tackle volume
Weight
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Hayden Hatcher's senior season at Kansas (2023).

Hayden Hatcher

88%match

Kansas · 2023

#2

Cody Lindenberg

Minnesota · 2023

All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
88%
#3

Justice Finkley

Kansas · 2025

88%
#4

Dennard Flowers

South Florida · 2025

86%
#5

Jah-Marien Latham

Alabama · 2024

85%

Matches Hayden on

Class year
Sack rate
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bret Bielema

Pass share

45.6%

372 pass / 444 run

Plays / game

62.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.0%

292 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Bret Bielema
Illinois
2023
Bret Bielema
Illinois
2024
Bret Bielema
Illinois
2025
Bret Bielema
Illinois

Played his entire career under Bret Bielema.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

Height6'3"
Weight250 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Illinois LB4 #8381 #8572 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Illinois LB4 #11029 #11241 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Illinois LB4 #6128 #6517 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Illinois Big Ten LB 4 No. 3 | 6-3 | 250 lb
2024 Illinois Big Ten LB 4 No. 3 | 6-3 | 250 lb
2023 Illinois Big Ten LB 4 No. 3 | 6-3 | 250 lb
2022 Illinois Big Ten LB 4 No. 3 | 6-3 | 250 lb