cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Alzillion Hamilton /Fresno State

Alzillion Hamilton

DB · Fresno State · Sr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

34 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Fresno State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Fresno State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Fresno State

Returning around him

  • 17% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (13 in / 10 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Fresno State · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #90 · 2026 recruiting class #103

DB · FRESNO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Alzillion Hamilton

  • 4
  • #3
  • 5-11 | 185 lb
  • Hayward, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

59

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11554

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1704 national
CFB
College
Fresno State
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements5-11 | 185 lb
HometownHayward, CA
Primary teamFresno State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1704 recruit
Composite rating 0.8315 HighSchool
Signed with Fresno State 2021
Origin Hayward Hayward, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8315 No. 1704 recruit | HighSchool | Fresno State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11554Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11480Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Fresno State

Composite

0.8315

#1704 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Alzillion Hamilton

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Alzillion Hamilton

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
34Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
34Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Alzillion Hamilton is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Fresno State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and 4 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11554 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 1.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 34 20 solo | #1138/4942 (77th pct)
TFL 1.5 Backfield disruption | #1771/4972 (64th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
34 77th
SOLO
20 78th
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th
INT
4 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 7-31@ Kansas220.00.00
Wk 1W 42-14vs Georgia Southern410.00.01
Wk 2W 36-27@ Oregon State730.00.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 3W 56-7vs Southern210.00.00
Wk 4W 23-21@ Hawai'i110.00.010
Wk 6W 20-17vs Nevada200.00.01
Wk 7L 21-49@ Colorado State100.50.00
Wk 9L 0-23vs San Diego State430.00.010
Wk 10W 30-7@ Boise State210.00.00
Wk 12W 24-3vs Wyoming331.00.011
Wk 13L 17-28vs Utah State220.00.01
Wk 14W 41-14@ San José State320.00.010
BowlW 18-3vs Miami (OH)110.00.00
Total34201.50.044
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Fresno State10-4HC: Jeff Tedford · Balanced
2023Fresno State9-4HC: Jeff Tedford · Pass-leaning
2025Fresno State9-4HC: Matt Entz · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Fresno State34201.50.044--
2023Fresno State31220.00.072--
2022Fresno State320.00.05----
Career3 loaded seasons68441.50.0166--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 4 0 pick-six TD | #23/869 (97th pct)
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 34 #1138/4942 77th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.5 #1771/4972 64th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 4 #23/869 97th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 57 #87/578 85th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 20 #1029/4584 78th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 14.3 #290/578 50th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.60.10.00.6
Road6g2.70.10.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.80.10.00.3
Losses4g2.20.10.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-78g2.50.10.00.2
Weeks 8+5g2.80.20.00.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

59Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (95th). Strength: passes defended (85th). Concern: sacks (23rd).

Interceptions#23 / 817 · 95th pct
4inte
Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Solo tackles#1029 / 2975 · 64th pct
20defe
Tackles#1138 / 2975 · 61st pct
34defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Tackles for loss#1711 / 2975 · 39th pct
1.5defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Alzillion HamiltonFresno StateBlake FletcherAir Force· 74% simBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 74% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 74% sim
Interceptions
95
Hamilton
75
Llewellyn
Passes defended
86
Hamilton
67
Fletcher
86
Llewellyn
91
Ra-El
Solo tackles
64
Hamilton
91
Fletcher
95
Llewellyn
100
Ra-El
Tackles
61
Hamilton
99
Fletcher
99
Llewellyn
99
Ra-El
QB hurries
55
Hamilton
92
Fletcher
72
Llewellyn
22
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
39
Hamilton
28
Fletcher
80
Llewellyn
56
Ra-El
Sacks
24
Hamilton
24
Fletcher
24
Llewellyn
24
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jayden Williams’s 2022 season.

Jayden Williams

85%match

Florida Atlantic · 2022

#2

Willie Roberts

Louisiana Tech · 2022

86%
#3

C.J. Coldon

Oklahoma · 2022

86%
#4

Kevin Knowles II

Florida State · 2023

83%
#5

Caine Savage

Nevada · 2023

82%

Matches Jayden on

Tackle volume
Height
PD rate

Differs from Jayden on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Marquis Cooper's senior season at Buffalo (2025).

Marquis Cooper

88%match

Buffalo · 2025

#2

Caine Savage

Nevada · 2023

86%
#3

Donte Thompson

UTEP · 2025

86%
#4

Jaden Davis

Miami · 2023

NFL Rd 7
83%
#5

Chris Mills

Texas State · 2023

83%

Matches Marquis on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Matt Entz

Pass share

44.2%

373 pass / 471 run

Plays / game

64.9

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

282 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jeff Tedford
Fresno State
2023
Jeff Tedford
Fresno State
2025
Matt Entz
Fresno State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jeff Tedford → Matt Entz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHayward, CA
Height5'11"
Weight185 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Fresno State DB4 #11554 #11480 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Fresno State DB4 #10750 #10945 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Fresno State DB4 #8893 #8821 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 Fresno State DB4 #10487 #10228 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Fresno State Mountain West DB 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Hayward, CA
2024 Fresno State Mountain West DB 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Hayward, CA
2023 Fresno State Mountain West DB 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Hayward, CA
2022 Fresno State Mountain West DB 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Hayward, CA
2021 Fresno State Mountain West DB 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Hayward, CA