cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Anthony Hankerson /Oregon State

Anthony Hankerson

RB · Oregon State · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1,088 RUSH YDS · 9 RUSH TD · 247 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Oregon State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Oregon State for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Oregon State

Returning around him

  • 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -15 net (20 in / 35 out)

2026 Award watch

  • Doak Walker

Oregon State · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #60 · 2026 recruiting class #64

RB · OREGON STATE · PAC-12

Anthony Hankerson

  • 4
  • 5-8 | 206 lb
  • Boynton Beach, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

74

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1919

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
2742022
3192023
1,0882025

+297%

Up 297% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#690 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements5-8 | 206 lb
HometownBoynton Beach, FL
Primary teamOregon State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 690 recruit
Composite rating 0.8737 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin St. Thomas Aquinas Boynton Beach, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8737 No. 690 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Oregon State 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 4, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Colorado -> Oregon State 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1919Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1945Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (1088).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8737

#690 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Anthony Hankerson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Hankerson Seals Comeback Win Over Cougars &nbsp;&nbsp; Oregon State University A"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Anthony Hankerson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
1,088Rush yards
247Carries
9Rush TDs
Per game
90.7Rush yards
21Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
1,179Rush yards
268Carries
10Rush TDs

✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 1,088.

✓ Hit 1,000-yard season · finished with 1,088.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 1,088): needs 412/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 9): needs 1/game over remaining 1.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 9): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 9): needs 11/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Anthony Hankerson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oregon State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1919 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 33.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,211 1,088 rush | 123 rec | #25/735 (97th pct)
Rush TD 9 247 carries | #43/739 (94th pct)
Yards/carry 4.4 Per-rush efficiency | #409/735 (44th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
247 99th
YDS
1,088 97th
YPC
4.4 44th
TD
9 94th

Receiving

REC
22 89th
YDS
123 77th
YPR
5.6 33rd
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 15-34vs California15422.8114
Wk 2L 27-36vs Fresno State251365.4026
Wk 3L 14-45@ Texas Tech11121.103
Wk 4L 7-41@ Oregon14382.7117
Wk 5L 24-27vs Houston23743.2014
Wk 6L 23-27@ App State19643.4023
Wk 7L 14-39vs Wake Forest221014.6016
Wk 8W 45-13vs Lafayette252048.2465Season-high 204 yds
Wk 10W 10-7vs Washington State251345.4137
Wk 11L 17-21vs Sam Houston331665.0219166-yard day
Wk 12L 14-31@ Tulsa19462.408
Wk 14L 8-32@ Washington State16714.4011
Total24710884.0965
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Colorado1-11HC: Mike Sanford Jr. · Balanced, slow tempo
2023Colorado4-8HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2025Oregon State2-10HC: Trent Bray · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon State2471,0884.49--
2023Colorado783194.11--
2022Colorado682744.03--
Career3 loaded seasons3931,6814.313--
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon State221235.60--
2023Colorado16714.41--
2022Colorado5244.80--
Career3 loaded seasons432185.11--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 22 123 rec yds | #63/552 (89th pct)
Usage 33.6% 64.4% rush share | #4/738 (100th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.00 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #346/362 (5th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 1,088 #25/735 97th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 9 #43/739 94th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.4 #409/735 44th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 22 #63/552 89th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 123 #128/548 77th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.00 #346/362 5th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 223 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 33.6% #4/738 100th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 247 #6/739 99th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 65 #81/733 89th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 14 #323/540 40th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.6 #366/548 33rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 64.4% #1/738 100th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 40.9% #4/738 100th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 40.1% #2/738 100th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 32.1% #13/738 98th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 21.1% #21/738 97th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 19.3% #22/738 97th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 7.9% #58/738 92nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g1224.91.1
Road5g46.22.80.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins2g1696.82.5
Losses10g75.03.50.4

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g66.73.30.3
Weeks 8+5g1245.11.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

74Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: carries (98th). Strength: rush yards (92nd). Concern: yards / carry (28th).

Carries#6 / 349 · 98th pct
247rush
Rush yards#25 / 349 · 93rd pct
1088rush
Rush TDs#43 / 349 · 87th pct
9rush
Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Receptions#63 / 338 · 81st pct
22rece
Long run#75 / 349 · 78th pct
65rush
Rec yards#119 / 338 · 65th pct
123rece
Yards / carry#241 / 349 · 29th pct
4.4rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Anthony HankersonOregon StateTJ HardenSMU· 90% simRoman HembyIndiana· 89% simCarson HansenIowa State· 88% sim
Carries
98
Hankerson
87
Harden
97
Hemby
91
Hansen
Rush yards
93
Hankerson
80
Harden
94
Hemby
87
Hansen
Rush TDs
87
Hankerson
87
Harden
80
Hemby
72
Hansen
Fumbles lost
87
Hankerson
87
Harden
87
Hemby
87
Hansen
Receptions
81
Hankerson
75
Harden
67
Hemby
75
Hansen
Long run
78
Hankerson
62
Harden
94
Hemby
78
Hansen
Rec yards
65
Hankerson
54
Harden
77
Hemby
70
Hansen
Yards / carry
29
Hankerson
37
Harden
49
Hemby
58
Hansen

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Anthony Hankerson’s 2022 season.

Anthony Hankerson

85%match

Colorado · 2022

#2

Daba Fofana

Navy · 2022

77%
#3

Kevorian Barnes

TCU · 2025

78%
#4

Calvin Tyler Jr.

Utah State · 2021

76%
#5

Christian Beal-Smith

Wake Forest · 2021

73%

Matches Anthony on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
EPA / carry (adj)
Height

Differs from Anthony on

Class year (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Dedrick Parson’s path through Hawai'i.

Dedrick Parson

97%match

Hawai'i · 2022

#2

Gerrid Doaks

Cincinnati · 2020

All-AACNFL Rd 7
94%
#3

Calvin Tyler Jr.

Utah State · 2022

92%
#4

Zach Evans

North Texas · 2024

92%
#5

Christian Beal-Smith

South Carolina · 2022

90%

Matches Dedrick on

Height
Yards per carry
Weight

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Pat Garwo III's senior season at Boston College (2023).

Pat Garwo III

77%match

Boston College · 2023

#2

Justice Ellison

Wake Forest · 2023

75%
#3

Sam Franklin

South Florida · 2025

74%
#4

Reese White

Coastal Carolina · 2023

70%
#5

Isaiah Woullard

UL Monroe · 2023

69%

Matches Pat on

Yards / carry
Weight
Height

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Trent Bray

Pass share

51.7%

431 pass / 403 run

Plays / game

69.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

369 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jonathan Smith
Oregon State
2023
Jonathan Smith
Oregon State
2025
Trent Bray
Oregon State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jonathan Smith → Trent Bray. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBoynton Beach, FL
Height5'8"
Weight206 lb
Class4
PositionRB

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oregon State RB4 #1919 #1945 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Pac-12
2023 Colorado RB4 #1119 #1407 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Colorado RB4 #1723 #2522 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oregon State Pac-12 RB 4 5-8 | 206 lb | Boynton Beach, FL
2024 Oregon State Pac-12 RB 4 5-8 | 206 lb | Boynton Beach, FL
2023 Colorado Pac-12 RB 4 5-8 | 206 lb | Boynton Beach, FL
2022 Colorado Pac-12 RB 4 5-8 | 206 lb | Boynton Beach, FL