CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Ari Patu
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
QB · STANFORD · PAC-12
Ari Patu
- 4
- #1
- 6-4 | 220 lb
- Folsom, CA
Heisman Heat
#1576
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 0 · Not on teamR01 · Scout team / redshirt
Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2023-23%
Sharp dropoff (-23%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Stanford
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8894 | No. 405 recruit | HighSchool | Stanford |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Stanford
Composite
0.8894
#405 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Ari Patu
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ari Patu
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ari Patu's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Stanford, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2023 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2023 season snapshot | final
2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2023 Season · Final
2023 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
3 16th
ATT
6 22nd
CMP%
50.0% 20th
Y/A
6.2 35th
Passing Production
YDS
37 16th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th
Rushing
CAR
4 24th
YDS
37 50th
YPC
9.3 95th
TD
0 44th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 1 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 6-55@ Western Kentucky | 11/20 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 4.3 | -- | Season-high 86 yds |
| Total | 11/20 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 4.3 | — |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Stanford3-9HC: David Shaw · Balanced, slow tempo
2022Stanford3-9HC: David Shaw · Balanced
2023Stanford3-9HC: Troy Taylor · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 37 | #320/382 | 16th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 3 | #321/383 | 16th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 50.0% | #309/383 | 20th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.2 | #248/382 | 35th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 37 | #206/408 | 50th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 17.6% | #224/428 | 48th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 6 | #319/407 | 22nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 23 | #153/391 | 61st pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 9.3 | #20/407 | 95th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 4 | #312/408 | 24th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 30.0% | #219/428 | 49th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 20.8% | #235/428 | 45th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 19.0% | #205/428 | 52nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 17.7% | #211/428 | 51st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 17.5% | #248/428 | 42nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.1% | #254/428 | 41st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 5.8% | #259/428 | 40th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 1 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road1g | 86.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Losses1g | 86.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-71g | 86.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2023
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Frank Reich
Pass share
50.4%
391 pass / 385 run
Plays / game
64.7
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.5%
337 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023
2 coaches2021
David Shaw
Stanford
2022
David Shaw
Stanford
2023era →
Troy Taylor
Stanford
Coaching transition mid-career: David Shaw → Troy Taylor. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownFolsom, CA
Height6'4"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamStanford
ConferencePac-12
Joined2023
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.