CFB Zeitgeist Score
16
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 97th percentile.
Braedyn Locke
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
68 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · -23 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Tarleton State
QB · ARIZONA · BIG 12
CFB Zeitgeist Score
16
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 97th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#220
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterStarter. A locked-in starting role.
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2023–2025Sharp dropoff (-91%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.8935 | No. 383 recruit | HighSchool | Mississippi State |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Arizona -> Tarleton State | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Wisconsin -> Arizona | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2023 | Mississippi State -> Wisconsin | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Mississippi State
Composite
0.8935
#383 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 68): needs 293.2/game over remaining 10.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 68): needs 393.2/game over remaining 10.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 10.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 10.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.5/game over remaining 10.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Braedyn Locke's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Arizona, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 48-3vs Weber State | 2/4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 0.9 | |
| Wk 6 | W 41-13vs Oklahoma State | 3/5 | 57 | 0 | 1 | 11.4 | 3.2 | Season-high 57 yds |
| Wk 10 | W 52-17@ Colorado | 0/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | |
| Total | 5/15 | 68 | 0 | 1 | 4.7 | 1.5 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 68 | #299/382 | 22nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 5 | #298/383 | 22nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 33.3% | #368/383 | 4th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 4.5 | #331/382 | 14th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -23 | #382/408 | 7th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.39 | #29/200 | 86th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 312 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 8.7% | #284/428 | 34th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 15 | #275/407 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 1 | #153/407 | 63rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 7 | #339/391 | 14th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 5 | #304/408 | 26th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -4.6 | #397/407 | 3rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 17.1% | #254/428 | 41st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 16.0% | #273/428 | 36th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 16.0% | #257/428 | 40th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 6.8% | #307/428 | 29th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 6.2% | #310/428 | 28th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.2% | #320/428 | 25th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 2.0% | #366/428 | 15th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 34.0 | 0.0 | 7.1 | 0.5 |
| Road1g | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 22.7 | 0.0 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 34.0 | 0.0 | 7.1 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+1g | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Elite: interceptions (97th). Concern: completion % (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brent Brennan
Pass share
49.7%
447 pass / 452 run
Plays / game
69.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.9%
340 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Jedd Fisch → Brent Brennan. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Wisconsin | QB3 | #220 | #354 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Wisconsin | QB3 | #682 | #678 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | QB3 | #979 | #722 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona | Big 12 | QB | 3 | No. 8 | 6-0 | 211 lb | Rockwall, TX |
| 2024 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | QB | 3 | No. 8 | 6-0 | 211 lb | Rockwall, TX |
| 2023 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | QB | 3 | No. 8 | 6-0 | 211 lb | Rockwall, TX |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | SEC | QB | 3 | No. 8 | 6-0 | 211 lb | Rockwall, TX |