CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Layne Hatcher
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
QB · BALL STATE · MID-AMERICAN
Layne Hatcher
- 4
- #3
- 6-0 | 210 lb
- Little Rock, AR
Heisman Heat
#894
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 3 · RecognizedR11 · National watch / fringe AA
National watch / fringe All-America. Knocking on the All-America door.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2020–2023-72%
Sharp dropoff (-72%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 3-star | 0.8043 | No. 2176 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Alabama
Composite
0.8043
#2176 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Layne Hatcher
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Layne Hatcher
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Layne Hatcher's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Ball State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2023 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2023 season snapshot | final
2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2023 Season · Final
2023 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
65 58th
ATT
98 60th
CMP%
66.3% 71st
Y/A
5.9 28th
Passing Production
YDS
583 55th
TD
4 61st
INT
0 100th
Rushing
CAR
20 51st
YDS
-53 3rd
YPC
-2.7 5th
TD
1 63rd
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2020Arkansas State4-7HC: Blake Anderson · Balanced, fast tempo
2021Arkansas State2-10HC: Butch Jones · Pass-heavy
2022Texas State4-8HC: Jake Spavital · Balanced
2023Ball State4-8HC: Mike Neu · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Ball State | 65 | 98 | 66.3% | 583 | 5.9 | 4 | 0 | 129.8 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Texas State | 273 | 440 | 62.0% | 2,654 | 6.0 | 19 | 10 | 122.4 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Arkansas State | 201 | 341 | 58.9% | 2,423 | 7.1 | 19 | 13 | 129.4 | -- | -- |
| 2020 | Arkansas State | 117 | 195 | 60.0% | 2,058 | 10.6 | 19 | 2 | 178.8 | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 656 | 1,074 | 61.1% | 7,718 | 7.2 | 61 | 25 | 135.5 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Ball State | 20 | -53 | -2.6 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Texas State | 50 | -151 | -3.0 | 1 | -- |
| 2021 | Arkansas State | 50 | -54 | -1.1 | 1 | -- |
| 2020 | Arkansas State | 43 | 15 | 0.3 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 163 | -243 | -1.5 | 3 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 583 | #174/382 | 55th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 4 | #159/407 | 61st pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 65 | #161/383 | 58th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 66.3% | #111/383 | 71st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 5.9 | #275/382 | 28th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -53 | #397/408 | 3rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.34 | #49/200 | 76th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 334 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 49.7% | #87/428 | 80th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 98 | #164/407 | 60th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 20 | #202/408 | 51st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 8 | #324/391 | 17th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -2.7 | #389/407 | 5th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 73.8% | #134/428 | 69th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 64.6% | #84/428 | 81st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 64.1% | #77/428 | 82nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 56.8% | #33/428 | 93rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 41.0% | #103/428 | 76th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 37.4% | #124/428 | 71st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 8.0% | #200/428 | 54th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2023
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mike Uremovich
Pass share
38.2%
277 pass / 449 run
Plays / game
60.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
19.6%
265 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2020–2023
1 coach2020
Mike Neu
Ball State
2021
Mike Neu
Ball State
2022
Mike Neu
Ball State
2023
Mike Neu
Ball State
Played his entire career under Mike Neu.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLittle Rock, AR
Height6'0"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey3
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBall State
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2023
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Ball State | QB4 | #894 | #1050 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Texas State | QB4 | #741 | #1086 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2021 | Arkansas State | QB4 | #638 | #923 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2020 | Arkansas State | QB4 | #23 | #40 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Ball State | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Little Rock, AR |
| 2022 | Texas State | Sun Belt | QB | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Little Rock, AR |
| 2021 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | QB | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Little Rock, AR |
| 2020 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | QB | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Little Rock, AR |