cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Brian Simms III /Cincinnati

Brian Simms III

LB · Cincinnati · So · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

34 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Cincinnati for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Cincinnati for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Cincinnati

Returning around him

  • 79% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 4 Cincinnati players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (22 in / 23 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Cincinnati · Last season: 7-6 (AP #22) · Talent rank #73 · 2026 recruiting class #61

LB · CINCINNATI · BIG 12

Brian Simms III

  • 2
  • #17
  • 6-3 | 235 lb
  • Baltimore, MD

CFB Zeitgeist Score

47

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11200

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#936 national
CFB
College
Cincinnati
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class2
Jersey17
Measurements6-3 | 235 lb
HometownBaltimore, MD
Primary teamCincinnati

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 936 recruit
Composite rating 0.8661 HighSchool
Signed with Cincinnati 2023
Origin St. Frances Academy Baltimore, MD, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8661 No. 936 recruit | HighSchool | Cincinnati

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11200Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11211Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Cincinnati

Composite

0.8661

#936 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Brian Simms III

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Brian Simms III

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
34Tackles
2Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
37Tackles
2.2Tackles for loss
1.1Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 34): needs 46/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 34): needs 66/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Brian Simms III is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Cincinnati's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11200 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.0 sacks | 2.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 34 10 solo | #1138/4942 (77th pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
34 77th
SOLO
10 56th
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
1 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 17-20vs Nebraska411.51.00
Wk 2W 34-20vs Bowling Green200.00.00
Wk 3W 70-0vs Northwestern State310.50.00
Wk 5W 37-34@ Kansas220.00.00
Wk 6W 38-30vs Iowa State220.00.00
Wk 7W 20-11vs UCF210.00.00
Wk 8W 49-17@ Oklahoma State200.00.00
Wk 9W 41-20vs Baylor600.00.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 10L 14-45@ Utah300.00.00
Wk 12L 24-30vs Arizona210.00.00
Wk 14L 23-45@ TCU420.00.00
BowlL 13-35vs Navy200.00.00
Total34102.01.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Cincinnati5-7HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced
2025Cincinnati7-6HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Cincinnati34102.01.0------
2024Cincinnati1760.50.0------
Career2 loaded seasons51162.51.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 34 #1138/4942 77th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 10 #1996/4584 56th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home8g2.90.20.10.0
Road4g2.80.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g2.70.10.00.0
Losses5g3.00.30.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.40.30.10.0
Weeks 8+5g3.40.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

47Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: passes defended (17th).

Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Tackles#1138 / 2975 · 61st pct
34defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe
Solo tackles#1996 / 2975 · 31st pct
10defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Brian Simms IIICincinnatiMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 62% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 62% simDaniel WingateMaryland· 61% sim
Sacks
63
III
80
Parker
63
Davey
74
Wingate
Tackles
61
III
98
Parker
99
Davey
98
Wingate
QB hurries
55
III
88
Parker
82
Davey
72
Wingate
Tackles for loss
47
III
87
Parker
91
Davey
87
Wingate
Solo tackles
31
III
96
Parker
99
Davey
99
Wingate
Passes defended
18
III
18
Parker
18
Davey
48
Wingate

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Grant Godfrey’s 2025 season.

Grant Godfrey

93%match

Kentucky · 2025

#2

Dion Hunter

New Mexico · 2021

84%
#3

Seidrion Langston

UL Monroe · 2025

80%
#4

Kieren Douglas

Purdue · 2022

79%
#5

Hunter Stewart

Virginia · 2021

79%

Matches Grant on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Grant Godfrey's sophomore season at Kentucky (2025).

Grant Godfrey

95%match

Kentucky · 2025

#2

Derion Gullette

Mississippi State · 2025

86%
#3

Keyshawn Flowers

Maryland · 2025

84%
#4

Jalen Smith

Tennessee · 2024

84%
#5

Dickson Agu

Tulane · 2024

83%

Matches Grant on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Satterfield

Pass share

47.8%

363 pass / 396 run

Plays / game

58.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

2.6%

266 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati
2025
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati

Played his entire career under Scott Satterfield.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBaltimore, MD
Height6'3"
Weight235 lb
Class2
PositionLB
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Cincinnati LB2 #11200 #11211 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Cincinnati LB2 #14434 #14584 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Cincinnati Big 12 LB 2 No. 17 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Baltimore, MD
2024 Cincinnati Big 12 LB 2 No. 17 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Baltimore, MD
2023 Cincinnati Big 12 LB 2 No. 17 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Baltimore, MD