cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dexter Foster /Oregon State

Dexter Foster

LB · Oregon State · So · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

52 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Oregon State → Nebraska for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Nebraska

2025Oregon State
2026Nebraska

LB · OREGON STATE · PAC-12

Dexter Foster

  • 2
  • #7
  • 6-3 | 236 lb
  • Portland, OR

CFB Zeitgeist Score

55

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by qb hurries at the 88th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13389

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1438 national
CFB
College
Oregon State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class2
Jersey7
Measurements6-3 | 236 lb
HometownPortland, OR
Primary teamOregon State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1438 recruit
Composite rating 0.8542 HighSchool
Signed with Oregon State 2024
Origin Central Catholic Portland, OR, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8542 No. 1438 recruit | HighSchool | Oregon State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Nebraska 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 7, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Oregon State -> Nebraska 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13389Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13243Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Oregon State

Composite

0.8542

#1438 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dexter Foster

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dexter Foster

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
52Tackles
3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
7Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
97Tackles
5.6Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 52): needs 4.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 52): needs 8/game over remaining 6.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 6.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dexter Foster is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Oregon State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13389 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 3.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 52 14 solo | #550/4942 (89th pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
52 89th
SOLO
14 67th
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
4 85th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 15-34vs California700.50.00
Wk 2L 27-36vs Fresno State741.00.00
Wk 3L 14-45@ Texas Tech1131.00.00Season-high 11 tackles
Wk 4L 7-41@ Oregon610.00.00
Wk 5L 24-27vs Houston620.00.00
Wk 6L 23-27@ App State1130.50.00
Wk 7L 14-39vs Wake Forest410.00.01
Total52143.00.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Oregon State2-10HC: Trent Bray · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon State52143.00.01----
Career1 loaded season52143.00.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 52 #550/4942 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 14 #1520/4584 67th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home4g6.00.40.00.2
Road3g9.30.50.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Losses7g7.40.40.00.1

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g7.40.40.00.1

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

55Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (87th). Strength: tackles (81st). Concern: sacks (23rd).

QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Tackles#550 / 2975 · 81st pct
52defe
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Solo tackles#1520 / 2975 · 47th pct
14defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Dexter FosterOregon StateBlake FletcherAir Force· 75% simBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 72% simTrey FieldsNorth Texas· 70% sim
QB hurries
88
Foster
92
Fletcher
72
Llewellyn
95
Fields
Tackles
81
Foster
99
Fletcher
99
Llewellyn
98
Fields
Tackles for loss
63
Foster
28
Fletcher
80
Llewellyn
87
Fields
Passes defended
48
Foster
67
Fletcher
86
Llewellyn
67
Fields
Solo tackles
47
Foster
91
Fletcher
95
Llewellyn
96
Fields
Sacks
24
Foster
24
Fletcher
24
Llewellyn
63
Fields

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Justin Okoronkwo’s 2025 season.

Justin Okoronkwo

82%match

South Carolina · 2025

#2

Aaron Chiles

Florida · 2025

82%
#3

Shawn Murphy

South Carolina · 2025

81%
#4

Caleb Woodson

Virginia Tech · 2025

79%
#5

Kieren Douglas

Purdue · 2021

77%

Matches Justin on

Class year
TFL rate
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Aaron Chiles's sophomore season at Florida (2025).

Aaron Chiles

93%match

Florida · 2025

#2

Rashad Henry

Massachusetts · 2025

88%
#3

T.J. Capers

Louisville · 2025

84%
#4

Justin Okoronkwo

South Carolina · 2025

82%
#5

Demarco Ward

Memphis · 2025

82%

Matches Aaron on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Trent Bray

Pass share

51.7%

431 pass / 403 run

Plays / game

69.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

369 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Trent Bray
Oregon State

Played his entire career under Trent Bray.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPortland, OR
Height6'3"
Weight236 lb
Class2
PositionLB
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oregon State LB2 #13389 #13243 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oregon State Pac-12 LB 2 No. 7 | 6-3 | 236 lb | Portland, OR
2024 Oregon State Pac-12 LB 2 No. 7 | 6-3 | 236 lb | Portland, OR