cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Brock Spalding /East Carolina

Brock Spalding

WR · East Carolina · Jr · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

554 REC YDS · 42 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to East Carolina for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to East Carolina for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · East Carolina

Returning around him

  • 51% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 East Carolina player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (23 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

East Carolina · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #78 · 2026 recruiting class #77

WR · EAST CAROLINA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Brock Spalding

  • 3
  • #10
  • 5-11 | 193 lb
  • Lorton, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

62

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 69th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4176

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
5.02022
25.02023
5542025

+10980%

Up 10980% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1820 national
CFB
College
East Carolina
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey10
Measurements5-11 | 193 lb
HometownLorton, VA
Primary teamEast Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1820 recruit
Composite rating 0.8248 HighSchool
Signed with East Carolina 2022
Origin South County Lorton, VA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8248 No. 1820 recruit | HighSchool | East Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4176Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4054Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to East Carolina

Composite

0.8248

#1820 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Brock Spalding

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Brock Spalding

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

13.2

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #210 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 61st

Why it matters

#210 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.2 yards per reception (42 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 13.2 (61th)

HIGH · n=42 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#170 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#222 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 1 at NC State — 97 ypr

Result L 17-24

The week the volume broke through — put up 97 yds at NC State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
554Rec yards
42Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
42.6Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
554Rec yards
42Receptions
3Rec TDs

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Brock Spalding's story is about how role and output meet each other. For East Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4176 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 42 3 rec TD | #175/1110 (84th pct)
Receiving yards 554 13.2 per catch | #176/1107 (84th pct)
Scrimmage yards 585 Total offensive yardage | #176/1107 (84th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
42 84th
YDS
554 84th
YPR
13.2 61st
TD
3 82nd

Rushing

CAR
4 74th
YDS
31 75th
YPC
7.8 78th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 17-24@ NC State69716.2039Season-high 97 yds
Wk 2W 56-3vs Campbell38127.0155
Wk 3W 38-0@ Coastal Carolina44310.8021
Wk 4L 13-34vs BYU66410.7014
Wk 5W 28-6vs Army33511.7020
Wk 7L 19-26@ Tulane3175.717
Wk 8W 41-27vs Tulsa13030.0030
Wk 10W 45-14@ Temple166.006
Wk 11W 48-22vs Charlotte3134.305
Wk 12W 31-27vs Memphis58817.6036
Wk 13L 24-58@ UTSA144.004
Wk 14W 42-3@ Florida Atlantic57615.2136
BowlW 23-17vs Pittsburgh100.000
Total4255412.2355
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022East Carolina8-5HC: Mike Houston · Balanced
2023East Carolina2-10HC: Mike Houston · Balanced
2025East Carolina9-4HC: Blake Harrell · Run-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025East Carolina4255413.23--
2023East Carolina3258.30--
2022East Carolina155.00--
Career3 loaded seasons4658412.73--
SeasonTeam
2025East Carolina431------
2023East Carolina----------
2022East Carolina----------
Career3 loaded seasons431------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.4% 13.5% pass-game share | #299/1137 (74th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 42 #175/1110 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 554 #176/1107 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.2 #428/1106 61st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 13.5% #299/1137 74th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 31 #101/397 75th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 11 #156/346 55th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 7.8 #87/393 78th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 4 #108/407 74th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 55 #215/1105 81st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 7.4% #213/1137 81st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.5% #258/1137 77th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.4% #516/1137 55th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.4% #324/1137 72nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 6.3% #557/1137 51st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.7% #551/1137 52nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.7% #239/1137 79th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g3.144.414.50.1
Road6g3.340.59.70.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins9g2.941.313.60.2
Losses4g4.045.59.20.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.748.111.70.3
Weeks 8+6g2.736.212.80.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

62Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (80th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Rush yards#88 / 287 · 69th pct
31rush
Rec yards#176 / 558 · 69th pct
554rece
Receptions#175 / 558 · 69th pct
42rece
Long catch#189 / 558 · 65th pct
55rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Yards / catch#258 / 558 · 53rd pct
13.2rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Brock SpaldingEast CarolinaKyre DuplessisDelaware· 84% simDevin VoisinSouth Alabama· 83% simDemarcus LaceyMarshall· 82% sim
Fumbles lost
81
Spalding
81
Voisin
81
Lacey
Rush yards
69
Spalding
60
Duplessis
97
Lacey
Rec yards
69
Spalding
91
Duplessis
87
Voisin
87
Lacey
Receptions
69
Spalding
92
Duplessis
95
Voisin
93
Lacey
Long catch
65
Spalding
81
Duplessis
78
Voisin
81
Lacey
Rec TDs
57
Spalding
78
Duplessis
68
Voisin
78
Lacey
Yards / catch
53
Spalding
59
Duplessis
35
Voisin
37
Lacey
Rush TDs
39
Spalding
39
Duplessis
39
Lacey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jalon Calhoun’s 2023 season.

Jalon Calhoun

85%match

Duke · 2023

#2

Barion Brown

Kentucky · 2023

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 6
84%
#3

Josh Ali

Kentucky · 2021

83%
#4

Dom Henry

Florida Atlantic · 2025

81%
#5

Xavier White

Texas Tech · 2022

81%

Matches Jalon on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from Jalon on

Recruiting rating (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to DeVontres Dukes’s path through South Florida.

DeVontres Dukes

99%match

South Florida · 2020

#2

Jalen McDonald

Merrimack · 2025

96%
#3

Courtney Jackson

Arkansas State · 2024

All-Sun Belt
96%
#4

Kyre Duplessis

Delaware · 2025

96%
#5

Jordan Watkins

Ole Miss · 2024

NFL Rd 4
95%

Matches DeVontres on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Parker Kingston's senior season at BYU (2025).

Parker Kingston

76%match

BYU · 2025

All-Big 12
#2

Eric Rivers

Georgia Tech · 2025

All-Conference USA
69%
#3

Kobe Drake

Memphis · 2024

69%
#4

Jordan Dwyer

TCU · 2025

69%
#5

Latrell Caples

Boise State · 2025

All-Mountain West
68%

Matches Parker on

Recruiting rating
Yards / reception
Weight

Differs from Parker on

Reception volume (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Blake Harrell

Pass share

44.5%

440 pass / 548 run

Plays / game

76.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

343 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2023
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2025
Blake Harrell
East Carolina
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Houston → Blake Harrell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLorton, VA
Height5'11"
Weight193 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 East Carolina WR3 #4176 #4054 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 East Carolina WR3 #4670 #5086 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 East Carolina WR3 #4221 #4104 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 East Carolina American Athletic WR 3 No. 10 | 5-11 | 193 lb | Lorton, VA
2024 East Carolina American Athletic WR 3 No. 10 | 5-11 | 193 lb | Lorton, VA
2023 East Carolina American Athletic WR 3 No. 10 | 5-11 | 193 lb | Lorton, VA
2022 East Carolina American Athletic WR 3 No. 10 | 5-11 | 193 lb | Lorton, VA