cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / C.J. Stokes /Charlotte

C.J. Stokes

RB · Charlotte · Jr · #23

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

149 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 48 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Charlotte for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Charlotte for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Charlotte

Returning around him

  • 24% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (19 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Charlotte · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #108 · 2026 recruiting class #135

RB · CHARLOTTE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

C.J. Stokes

  • 3
  • #23
  • 5-10 | 200 lb
  • Columbia, SC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

10

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 13th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2143

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
2732022
8.02023
33.02024
1492025

-45%

Sharp dropoff (-45%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey23
Measurements5-10 | 200 lb
HometownColumbia, SC
Primary teamCharlotte

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2143Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2856Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on C.J. Stokes

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about C.J. Stokes

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
149Rush yards
48Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
29.8Rush yards
10Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
387.4Rush yards
125Carries
3Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 149): needs 75.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 149): needs 106.4/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 149): needs 168.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.4/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

C.J. Stokes's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Charlotte, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2143 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 17.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 186 149 rush | 37 rec | #376/735 (49th pct)
Rush TD 1 48 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 3.1 Per-rush efficiency | #619/735 (16th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
48 57th
YDS
149 49th
YPC
3.1 16th
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
5 43rd
YDS
37 42nd
YPR
7.4 57th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 11-34vs App State15493.309
Wk 2L 3-20vs North Carolina1070.705
Wk 3W 42-35vs Monmouth7405.7016
Wk 4L 17-28vs Rice3-1-0.307
Wk 6L 26-54@ South Florida13544.2121Season-high 54 yds
Total481492.7121
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Michigan13-1HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy
2023Michigan15-0HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Charlotte5-7HC: Biff Poggi · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Charlotte1-11HC: Tim Albin · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Charlotte481493.11--
2024Charlotte7334.71--
2023Michigan482.00--
2022Michigan552735.01--
Career4 loaded seasons1144634.13--
SeasonTeam
2025Charlotte5377.40--
2024Charlotte166.00--
2023Michigan----------
2022Michigan11515.00--
Career4 loaded seasons7588.30--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 5 37 rec yds | #315/552 (43rd pct)
Usage 17.4% 31.4% rush share | #122/738 (84th pct)
Rushing WEPA -0.06 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #360/362 (1st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 149 #376/735 49th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.1 #619/735 16th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 5 #315/552 43rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 37 #317/548 42nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA -0.06 #360/362 1st pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 45 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 17.4% #122/738 84th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 48 #320/739 57th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 21 #389/733 47th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 11 #395/540 27th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.4 #237/548 57th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 31.4% #111/738 85th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 20.1% #141/738 81st pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 18.6% #154/738 79th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 15.1% #176/738 76th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 15.0% #68/738 91st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 13.9% #97/738 87th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 5.0% #156/738 79th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #205/256 20th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home4g23.82.40.0
Road1g54.04.21.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins1g40.05.70.0
Losses4g27.22.00.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-75g29.82.70.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

10Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: yards / carry (2nd).

Rec yards#264 / 338 · 22nd pct
37rece
Receptions#269 / 338 · 18th pct
5rece
Fumbles lost#154 / 201 · 14th pct
2fumb
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Long run#305 / 349 · 12th pct
21rush
Carries#321 / 349 · 8th pct
48rush
Rush yards#342 / 349 · 2nd pct
149rush
Yards / carry#342 / 349 · 2nd pct
3.1rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing-0.06Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
C.J. StokesCharlotteTae MeadowsTroy· 51% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 50% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 50% sim
Rec yards
22
Stokes
38
Meadows
10
Wright
3
Brunson
Receptions
18
Stokes
45
Meadows
32
Wright
2
Brunson
Fumbles lost
14
Stokes
49
Meadows
49
Wright
49
Brunson
Rush TDs
13
Stokes
72
Meadows
62
Wright
50
Brunson
Long run
12
Stokes
53
Meadows
49
Wright
73
Brunson
Carries
8
Stokes
84
Meadows
92
Wright
85
Brunson
Rush yards
2
Stokes
74
Meadows
84
Wright
80
Brunson
Yards / carry
2
Stokes
29
Meadows
33
Wright
41
Brunson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Marcel Murray’s 2020 season.

Marcel Murray

72%match

Arkansas State · 2020

#2

Joshua Fields

UTEP · 2020

69%
#3

Micah Kelly

Toledo · 2022

73%
#4

Amir Rasul

Middle Tennessee · 2021

71%
#5

Kevorian Barnes

UTSA · 2024

71%

Matches Marcel on

Rush TD rate
Height
Yards / carry

Differs from Marcel on

Class year (higher)
Receiving share (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Kevorian Barnes's senior season at UTSA (2024).

Kevorian Barnes

65%match

UTSA · 2024

#2

Juma Otoviano

Rice · 2023

59%
#3

Matt Jones

Southern Miss · 2025

58%
#4

Shadrick Byrd

Charlotte · 2023

57%
#5

Dallan Hayden

Colorado · 2025

55%

Matches Kevorian on

Height
Yards / reception

Differs from Kevorian on

Class year (lower)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Weight (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tim Albin

Pass share

51.4%

379 pass / 358 run

Plays / game

61.4

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.9%

302 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Peter Rossomando
Charlotte
2023
Biff Poggi
Charlotte
era →
2024
Biff Poggi
Charlotte
2025
Tim Albin
Charlotte
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Peter Rossomando, Biff Poggi, and Tim Albin. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownColumbia, SC
Height5'10"
Weight200 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey23

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Charlotte RB3 #2143 #2856 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Michigan RB3 #1307 #816 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Michigan RB3 #557 #355 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Charlotte American Athletic RB 3 No. 23 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Columbia, SC
2024 Charlotte American Athletic RB 3 No. 23 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Columbia, SC
2023 Michigan Big Ten RB 3 No. 23 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Columbia, SC
2022 Michigan Big Ten RB 3 No. 23 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Columbia, SC