cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / CharMar Brown /Miami

CharMar Brown

RB · Miami · So · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

460 RUSH YDS · 7 RUSH TD · 122 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Miami for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Miami for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Miami

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 9 Miami players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (13 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Miami · Last season: 13-3 (AP #10) · Talent rank #15 · 2026 recruiting class #13

RB · MIAMI · ACC

CharMar Brown

  • 2
  • #6
  • 5-11 | 214 lb
  • Omaha, NE

CFB Zeitgeist Score

47

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Miami
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +2500

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey6
Measurements5-11 | 214 lb
HometownOmaha, NE
Primary teamMiami

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on CharMar Brown

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Miami Hurricanes fans get a massive hint on the program’s next blue-chip commitm"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about CharMar Brown

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

2

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #302 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 43rd

Why it matters

#302 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 2 TDs on 20 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 2 (43th)

MODERATE · n=20 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#517 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#526 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 14 at Pittsburgh — 1 receiving_tds

Result W 38-7

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Pittsburgh.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 15g
460Rush yards
122Carries
7Rush TDs
Per game
30.7Rush yards
8Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
460Rush yards
122Carries
7Rush TDs

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

CharMar Brown's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Miami, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 13.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 598 460 rush | 138 rec | #185/735 (75th pct)
Rush TD 7 122 carries | #62/739 (92nd pct)
Yards/carry 3.8 Per-rush efficiency | #534/735 (27th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
122 85th
YDS
460 75th
YPC
3.8 27th
TD
7 92nd

Receiving

REC
20 87th
YDS
138 81st
YPR
6.9 49th
TD
2 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 15 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 27-24vs Notre Dame15543.618
Wk 2W 45-3vs Bethune-Cookman7355.0111
Wk 3W 49-12vs South Florida9222.408
Wk 4W 26-7vs Florida18804.4212Season-high 80 yds
Wk 6W 28-22@ Florida State8192.405
Wk 8L 21-24vs Louisville393.005
Wk 9W 42-7vs Stanford591.806
Wk 10L 20-26@ SMU9374.109
Wk 11W 38-10vs Syracuse8405.0013
Wk 12W 41-7vs NC State8455.6112
Wk 13W 34-17@ Virginia Tech294.506
Wk 14W 38-7@ Pittsburgh8162.007
BowlW 24-14@ Ohio State5265.2113
BowlW 31-27@ Ole Miss14543.919
BowlL 21-27@ Indiana351.704
Total1224603.6713
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Miami13-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Miami1224603.87--
Career1 loaded season1224603.87--
SeasonTeam
2025Miami201386.92--
Career1 loaded season201386.92--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 20 138 rec yds | #73/552 (87th pct)
Usage 13.8% 23.7% rush share | #207/738 (72nd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.18 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #84/362 (77th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 460 #185/735 75th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 7 #62/739 92nd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.8 #534/735 27th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 20 #73/552 87th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 138 #105/548 81st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.18 #84/362 77th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 114 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 13.8% #207/738 72nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 122 #111/739 85th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 13 #513/733 30th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 22 #198/540 64th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 6.9 #281/548 49th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #20/552 97th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 23.7% #203/738 73rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 16.2% #206/738 72nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 15.7% #216/738 71st pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 13.9% #97/738 87th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 11.1% #299/738 60th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 6.6% #376/738 49th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.0% #231/738 69th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 15 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home8g36.83.90.6
Road7g23.73.40.3

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins12g34.13.80.6
Losses3g17.02.90.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-78g36.93.60.8
Weeks 8+7g23.63.70.1

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

47Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long run (1st).

Rush TDs#62 / 349 · 80th pct
7rush
Receptions#73 / 338 · 78th pct
20rece
Rec yards#96 / 338 · 72nd pct
138rece
Carries#111 / 349 · 68th pct
122rush
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Rush yards#185 / 349 · 47th pct
460rush
Yards / carry#315 / 349 · 9th pct
3.8rush
Long run#344 / 349 · 1st pct
13rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.18Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
CharMar BrownMiamiSeth McGowanKentucky· 85% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 76% simKendrick RaphaelCalifornia· 74% sim
Rush TDs
80
Brown
94
McGowan
72
Henderson
95
Raphael
Receptions
78
Brown
75
McGowan
85
Henderson
94
Raphael
Rec yards
72
Brown
67
McGowan
79
Henderson
91
Raphael
Carries
68
Brown
85
McGowan
90
Henderson
97
Raphael
Fumbles lost
49
Brown
49
McGowan
14
Henderson
14
Raphael
Rush yards
47
Brown
76
McGowan
79
Henderson
88
Raphael
Yards / carry
9
Brown
29
McGowan
18
Henderson
18
Raphael
Long run
1
Brown
11
McGowan
43
Henderson
32
Raphael

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to LJ Johnson Jr.’s 2024 season.

LJ Johnson Jr.

76%match

SMU · 2024

#2

Ronald Awatt

UTEP · 2020

69%
#3

Cam Porter

Northwestern · 2024

74%
#4

Dominic Richardson

Oklahoma State · 2022

73%
#5

Tavierre Dunlap

Eastern Michigan · 2025

72%

Matches LJ on

Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from LJ on

Class year (lower)
Height (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Brandon Campbell's sophomore season at Houston (2022).

Brandon Campbell

74%match

Houston · 2022

#2

Adam Mohammed

Washington · 2025

73%
#3

Kirby Vorhees

Washington State · 2025

72%
#4

Gi'Bran Payne

Notre Dame · 2023

71%
#5

Jamal Roberts

Missouri · 2024

70%

Matches Brandon on

Yards / carry
Height
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from Brandon on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mario Cristobal

Pass share

47.2%

496 pass / 554 run

Plays / game

65.6

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.1%

245 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Mario Cristobal
Miami

Played his entire career under Mario Cristobal.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOmaha, NE
Height5'11"
Weight214 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Miami ACC RB 2 No. 6 | 5-11 | 214 lb | Omaha, NE