CFB Zeitgeist Score
60
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 94th percentile.
Anderson Castle
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
488 RUSH YDS · 12 RUSH TD · 115 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Duke for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Duke
Returning around him
- 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 3 Duke players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +2 net (19 in / 17 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Duke · Last season: 9-5 · Talent rank #58 · 2026 recruiting class #30
RB · DUKE · ACC
Anderson Castle
- 4
- #4
- 6-0 | 220 lb
- Boone, NC
Heisman Heat
#3623
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2021–2025+107%
Up 107% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8117 | No. 2416 recruit | HighSchool | App State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to App State
Composite
0.8117
#2416 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Anderson Castle
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Anderson Castle
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 14g
488Rush yards
115Carries
12Rush TDs
Per game
34.9Rush yards
8Carries
1Rush TDs
Final
488Rush yards
115Carries
12Rush TDs
✓ Hit 10 rushing TDs · finished with 12.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Anderson Castle's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Duke, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
115 83rd
YDS
488 78th
YPC
4.2 38th
TD
12 98th
Receiving
REC
17 80th
YDS
111 73rd
YPR
6.5 45th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 14 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-17vs Elon | 3 | 69 | 23.0 | 0 | 63 | |
| Wk 2 | L 19-45vs Illinois | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 3 | L 27-34@ Tulane | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-33vs NC State | 12 | 92 | 7.7 | 3 | 66 | Season-high 92 yds |
| Wk 5 | W 38-3@ Syracuse | 10 | 42 | 4.2 | 1 | 13 | |
| Wk 6 | W 45-21@ California | 10 | 28 | 2.8 | 2 | 8 | |
| Wk 8 | L 18-27vs Georgia Tech | 11 | 32 | 2.9 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 10 | W 46-45@ Clemson | 5 | 24 | 4.8 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 11 | L 34-37@ UConn | 8 | 43 | 5.4 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 12 | L 17-34vs Virginia | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 13 | W 32-25@ North Carolina | 13 | 49 | 3.8 | 3 | 9 | 3 rushing TDs |
| Wk 14 | W 49-32vs Wake Forest | 12 | 21 | 1.8 | 2 | 8 | |
| Wk 15 | W 27-20@ Virginia | 16 | 35 | 2.2 | 0 | 7 | |
| Bowl | W 42-39vs Arizona State | 5 | 18 | 3.6 | 1 | 9 | |
| Total | 115 | 488 | 5.2 | 12 | 66 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021App State10-3HC: Shawn Clark · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2022App State6-6HC: Shawn Clark · Run-leaning
2023App State9-5HC: Shawn Clark · Balanced
2025Duke9-5HC: Manny Diaz · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 488 | #166/735 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 12 | #19/739 | 98th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.2 | #455/735 | 38th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 17 | #111/552 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 111 | #150/548 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.22 | #43/362 | 88th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 112 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 13.3% | #218/738 | 71st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 115 | #127/739 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 66 | #77/733 | 90th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 17 | #264/540 | 51st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.5 | #302/548 | 45th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 25.1% | #179/738 | 76th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 16.4% | #202/738 | 73rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 13.9% | #214/738 | 71st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 13.9% | #97/738 | 87th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 12.8% | #277/738 | 63rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 5.9% | #405/738 | 45th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 3.6% | #258/738 | 65th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 35.1 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| Road7g | 34.6 | 4.3 | 0.9 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 42.0 | 6.0 | 1.3 |
| Losses5g | 22.0 | 3.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 40.1 | 7.3 | 1.0 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 29.6 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
60Solid starter
Elite: rush tds (93rd). Concern: yards / carry (20th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.22High (p75–p90) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Anderson CastleDukeTJ HardenSMU· 83% simTae MeadowsTroy· 79% simAnthony HankersonOregon State· 79% sim
Rush TDs
Long run
Receptions
Carries
Rec yards
Rush yards
Yards / carry
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Power Back
Short-yardage and goal-line specialist. Carries the load, owns the red zone.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Samson Evans’s 2023 season.
Samson Evans
71%match
#2
Thad Franklin
68%
#3
CJ Donaldson
66%
#4
Dylan McDuffie
62%
#5
Ronald Awatt
55%
Matches Samson on
Weight
Yards / carry
Differs from Samson on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)
Receiving share (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Manny Diaz
Pass share
53.3%
506 pass / 444 run
Plays / game
67.9
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.7%
358 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
4 coaches2021
David Cutcliffe
Duke
2022era →
Mike Elko
Duke
2023era →
Trooper Taylor
Duke
2025era →
Manny Diaz
Duke
Played under 4 different head coaches: David Cutcliffe, Mike Elko, Trooper Taylor, and Manny Diaz. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownBoone, NC
Height6'0"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey4
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamDuke
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | App State | RB4 | #3623 | #3846 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | App State | RB4 | #982 | #975 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2022 | App State | RB4 | #1460 | #1673 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2021 | App State | RB4 | #523 | #472 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Duke | ACC | RB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Boone, NC |
| 2024 | App State | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Boone, NC |
| 2023 | App State | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Boone, NC |
| 2022 | App State | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Boone, NC |
| 2021 | App State | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Boone, NC |