CFB Zeitgeist Score
75
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.
Chris D'Appolonia
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
59 TACKLES · 1 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Syracuse
2025Toledo
2026Syracuse
LB · TOLEDO · MID-AMERICAN
Chris D'Appolonia
- 2
- #49
- 6-3 | 240 lb
- Cranberry Township, PA
Heisman Heat
#10302
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP LB AWARD
Butkus
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Toledo
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Toledo -> Syracuse | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Chris D'Appolonia
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Chris D'Appolonia
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 11g
59Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
70Tackles
4.1Tackles for loss
1.2Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 59): needs 10.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 59): needs 20.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Chris D'Appolonia is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Toledo's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
59 92nd
SOLO
30 89th
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
2 66th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
4 84th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 16-24@ Kentucky | 5 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 2 | W 45-21vs Western Kentucky | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 60-0vs Morgan State | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | L 13-14@ Western Michigan | 8 | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | W 45-3vs Akron | 6 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | L 23-28@ Bowling Green | 3 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-10vs Kent State | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 9 | L 7-28@ Washington State | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 12 | W 24-3@ Miami (OH) | 8 | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 38-9vs Ball State | 7 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 21-3@ Central Michigan | 10 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | Season-high 10 tackles |
| Total | 59 | 30 | 3.5 | 1.0 | — | 4 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Toledo11-3HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2024Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Balanced
2025Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 59 | #413/4942 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 3.5 | #869/4972 | 83rd pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 1.0 | #872/4972 | 82nd pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 4 | #340/2184 | 84th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 2 | #647/1878 | 66th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 30 | #515/4584 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 4.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Road6g | 6.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 5.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Losses4g | 5.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 4.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 6.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort
75Solid starter
Elite: tackles (85th). Strength: passes defended (85th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · LB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Chris D'AppoloniaToledoAndon ThomasArmy· 89% simEli BlakeyMiami (OH)· 89% simMarsel McDuffieUNLV· 87% sim
Tackles
Passes defended
Solo tackles
QB hurries
Tackles for loss
Sacks
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Coverage 'Backer
Carries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage.
LB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Fred Johnson’s 2025 season.
Fred Johnson
83%match
#2
Jihaad Campbell
NFL Rd 1 · Pk 31
78%
#3
Johnny Hodges
78%
#4
Payton Wilgar
77%
#5
Trenton Simpson
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 23
75%
Matches Fred on
Sack rate
TFL rate
Tackle volume
Differs from Fred on
PD rate (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Anthony Bynum's junior season at Middle Tennessee (2025).
Anthony Bynum
78%match
All-Conference USA
#2
Noah Sewell
NFL Rd 5
78%
#3
Jalen Smith
76%
#4
Siale Esera
74%
#5
Ameer Speed
NFL Rd 6
72%
Matches Anthony on
PD rate
Tackle volume
Sack rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jason Candle
Pass share
45.9%
397 pass / 467 run
Plays / game
66.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Jason Candle
Toledo
2024
Jason Candle
Toledo
2025
Jason Candle
Toledo
Played his entire career under Jason Candle.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownCranberry Township, PA
Height6'3"
Weight240 lb
Class2
PositionLB
Jersey49
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamToledo
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.