cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dan Villari /Syracuse

Dan Villari

TE · Syracuse · Sr · #89

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

412 REC YDS · 39 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Syracuse for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Syracuse for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Syracuse

Returning around him

  • 14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -10 net (19 in / 29 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Syracuse · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #34 · 2026 recruiting class #42

TE · SYRACUSE · ACC

Dan Villari

  • 4
  • #89
  • 6-4 | 245 lb
  • Massapequa, NY

CFB Zeitgeist Score

60

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 81st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1082

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
22.02022
1802023
57.02024
4122025

+1773%

Up 1773% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1200 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey89
Measurements6-4 | 245 lb
HometownMassapequa, NY
Primary teamSyracuse

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1200 recruit
Composite rating 0.8500 HighSchool
Signed with Michigan 2020
Origin Plainedge Massapequa, NY, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8500 No. 1200 recruit | HighSchool | Michigan

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1082Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1185Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (412).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Michigan

Composite

0.8500

#1200 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dan Villari

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"Rivals
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dan Villari

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

412

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #292 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 45th

Why it matters

#292 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 412 yards on 39 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 412 (45th)

HIGH · n=39 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#384 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#476 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 2 vs UConn — 104 receiving_yards_total

Result W 27-20

The week the volume broke through — put up 104 yds vs UConn.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
412Rec yards
39Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
37.5Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
486.9Rec yards
46Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 412): needs 144/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 412): needs 294/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 39): needs 10.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 39): needs 20.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Dan Villari is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #1082 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 39 0 rec TD | #17/475 (97th pct)
Receiving yards 412 10.6 per catch | #33/475 (93rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 467 Total offensive yardage | #33/475 (93rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
39 97th
YDS
412 93rd
YPR
10.6 60th
TD
0 46th

Rushing

CAR
17 97th
YDS
55 96th
YPC
3.2 60th
TD
1 94th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 26-45@ Tennessee55511.0020
Wk 2W 27-20vs UConn710414.9026Season-high 104 yds
Wk 3W 66-24vs Colgate44010.0013
Wk 4W 34-21@ Clemson44110.3013
Wk 5L 3-38vs Duke2105.005
Wk 6L 18-31@ SMU56112.2026
Wk 8L 13-30vs Pittsburgh3196.309
Wk 9L 16-41@ Georgia Tech13535.0035
Wk 11L 10-38@ Miami2147.008
Wk 13L 7-70@ Notre Dame5306.0014
Wk 14L 12-34vs Boston College133.003
Total3941211.0035
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Michigan12-1HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-leaning
2022Syracuse7-6HC: Dino Babers · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023Syracuse6-7HC: Nunzio Campanile · Run-heavy
2024Syracuse10-3HC: Fran Brown · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2025Syracuse3-9HC: Fran Brown · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Syracuse3941210.60--
2024Syracuse6579.50--
2023Syracuse201809.03--
2022Syracuse12222.00--
2021Michigan----------
Career5 loaded seasons6667110.23--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 9.1% 12.9% pass-game share | #45/468 (91st pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #257/475 (46th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 39 #17/475 97th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 412 #33/475 93rd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #257/475 46th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 10.6 #190/475 60th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 12.9% #45/468 91st pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing yards 55 #3/53 96th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Carries 17 #3/59 97th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing LONG 10 #14/50 74th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Rushing Yards / carry 3.2 #22/53 60th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Rushing Rush TD 1 #5/62 94th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 35 #97/475 80th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 11.9% #8/468 99th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.6% #15/468 97th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.5% #11/468 98th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 9.1% #7/468 99th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 7.7% #16/468 97th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 6.7% #31/468 94th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 5.0% #4/468 99th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g3.435.27.80.0
Road6g3.739.313.60.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g5.061.711.70.0
Losses8g3.028.410.70.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.551.810.60.0
Weeks 8+5g2.420.211.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

60Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (98th). Strength: receptions (90th). Concern: rec tds (6th).

Rush yards#1 / 33 · 98th pct
55rush
Receptions#17 / 175 · 90th pct
39rece
Rec yards#33 / 175 · 81st pct
412rece
Rush TDs#5 / 33 · 74th pct
1rush
Long catch#81 / 175 · 53rd pct
35rece
Yards / catch#87 / 175 · 49th pct
10.6rece
Rec TDs#152 / 175 · 7th pct
0rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Dan VillariSyracuseIzayah CummingsApp State· 89% simJackson CanaanSan José State· 85% simJaren KanakOklahoma· 84% sim
Rush yards
98
Villari
Receptions
90
Villari
86
Cummings
77
Canaan
93
Kanak
Rec yards
81
Villari
74
Cummings
64
Canaan
94
Kanak
Rush TDs
74
Villari
Long catch
53
Villari
39
Cummings
71
Canaan
78
Kanak
Yards / catch
49
Villari
41
Cummings
30
Canaan
71
Kanak
Rec TDs
7
Villari
21
Cummings
7
Canaan
7
Kanak

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Izayah Cummings’s 2025 season.

Izayah Cummings

81%match

App State · 2025

All-Sun Belt
#2

D'Andre Rogers

TCU · 2025

74%
#3

Ben Yurosek

Stanford · 2022

74%
#4

John Samuel Shenker

Auburn · 2021

72%
#5

Reed Tyler

Arkansas State · 2020

68%

Matches Izayah on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
TD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Ben Yurosek's graduate season at Georgia (2024).

Ben Yurosek

74%match

Georgia · 2024

#2

Drake Dabney

TCU · 2024

72%
#3

Rivaldo Fairweather

Auburn · 2024

66%
#4

Jordan Dingle

South Carolina · 2025

63%
#5

Keanu Hill

BYU · 2024

58%

Matches Ben on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Ben on

Reception volume (higher)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Recruiting rating (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Fran Brown

Pass share

48.6%

408 pass / 432 run

Plays / game

70.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.2%

379 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Dino Babers
Syracuse
2022
Dino Babers
Syracuse
2023
Nunzio Campanile
Syracuse
era →
2024
Fran Brown
Syracuse
era →
2025
Fran Brown
Syracuse

Played under 3 different head coaches: Dino Babers, Nunzio Campanile, and Fran Brown. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMassapequa, NY
Height6'4"
Weight245 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey89

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Syracuse TE4 #1082 #1185 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Syracuse TE4 #973 #1219 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Syracuse TE4 #2141 #2218 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Michigan TE4 #1942 #1564 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Syracuse ACC TE 4 No. 89 | 6-4 | 245 lb | Massapequa, NY
2024 Syracuse ACC TE 4 No. 89 | 6-4 | 245 lb | Massapequa, NY
2023 Syracuse ACC TE 4 No. 89 | 6-4 | 245 lb | Massapequa, NY
2022 Syracuse ACC TE 4 No. 89 | 6-4 | 245 lb | Massapequa, NY
2021 Michigan Big Ten TE 4 No. 89 | 6-4 | 245 lb | Massapequa, NY