Danzel McKinley-Lewis

Senior wide receiver for Toledo. 2021: 16 catches, 230 receiving yards, 2 TD.

WR · Toledo · Sr. · #4

5′11″ · 190 lb · Pittsburgh, PA

CFB Index 32 · #408 of 468 WRsHigh confidenceToledo 2021 alumnus

The story

4 wide receiver for Toledo. 2021: 16 catches, 230 receiving yards, 2 TD.

Signed as a 2-star recruit to Toledo in 2015.

His career, year by year

Recruiting

2★

WR recruit

No. 2445 nationally · Signed with Toledo

No college snaps yet.

His career numbers, season by season

How it ended

Six seasons at Toledo, 1,518 receiving yards — his college career is complete.

His career

He was on the field for 6 seasons. That is rarer than it sounds.

The week the volume broke through — put up 88 yds at Buffalo.Buffalo · L 30-492019

2015

Signed with Toledo2-star out of Seton LaSalle

Career arc

Recruit

★★

#2445 national

CFB

College

Toledo

2016–2021

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Coaching lineage · 2016–2021

1 coach

2016–2021

Jason Candle

Toledo

Played his entire career under Jason Candle.

2021 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

6 seasons under Jason Candle — 44-27 over that span.

2016Toledo9-4HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning

2017Toledo11-3HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning

2018Toledo7-6HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning

2019Toledo6-6HC: Jason Candle · Run-heavy

2020Toledo4-2HC: Jason Candle · Balanced, fast tempo

2021Toledo7-6HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

32Below cohort / limited sample #408 of 468?

High confidence11 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (80th percentile). Concern: catch rate (16th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Yards / catch#171 / 655 · 74th pct

14.6

TD rate#172 / 655 · 73rd pct

9.1%

Explosive rate#318 / 655 · 51st pct

13.6%

EPA / target#439 / 655 · 33rd pct

0.52

Catch rate#551 / 655 · 16th pct

63.6%

Box-score rates (6)

Fumbles lost#1 / 223 · 80th pct

Long catch#175 / 557 · 68th pct

Yards / catch#192 / 557 · 65th pct

14.4

Rec TDs#278 / 557 · 42nd pct

Rec yards#433 / 557 · 22nd pct

230

Receptions#454 / 557 · 17th pct

Season trend

EPA / target— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Explosive rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Catch rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

TD rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Yards / catch— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2021 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home5g	1.6	22.6	15.6	0.2
Road4g	1.5	27.8	16.4	0.2

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-75g	1.8	19.4	11.1	0.0
Weeks 8+4g	1.2	31.8	23.9	0.5

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Mike Jacobs

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2021

Rotational

Earning real snaps in the rotation without a starting job.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

32 · #408 of 468 WRs

Two-star recruit. Now #408 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2021	Toledo	16	230	14.4	2	--
2020	Toledo	19	280	14.7	2	--
2019	Toledo	36	615	17.1	1	--
2018	Toledo	1	4	4.0	0	--
2017	Toledo	23	319	13.9	3	--
2016	Toledo	7	70	10.0	0	--
Career		102	1,518	14.9	8	--

Season	Team
2021	Toledo	--	--	43	--	--
2020	Toledo	--	--	110	9	--
2019	Toledo	--	--	--	32	--
2018	Toledo	--	--	--	93	--
2017	Toledo	1	11	19	162	--
2016	Toledo	--	--	--	12	--
Career		1	11	172	308	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2021

W 49–10

vs Norfolk State

2 rec · 11 yds

Dominant 39-point win at home against Norfolk State.

With D. Finn — 38 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · QBR 99.5 · 82 rush yds (9 car) · 1 TD · C. Bradley — 183 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT · QBR 38.5 · 2 rush yds (4 car)

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 8 · Western Michigan · 4&14 · Q3 · EPA +5.94Dequan Finn pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 34 yds for a TD (Thomas Cluckey KICK)
Week 11 · Bowling Green · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +4.66Dequan Finn pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 59 yds for a TD (Thomas Cluckey KICK)
Week 3 · Colorado State · 2&10 · Q1 · EPA +2.19Carter Bradley pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 20 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST down
Week 6 · Northern Illinois · 2&9 · Q3 · EPA +2.13Dequan Finn pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 14 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST down
Week 11 · Bowling Green · 3&3 · Q3 · EPA +1.92Dequan Finn pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 10 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST down
Week 11 · Bowling Green · 2&11 · Q3 · EPA +1.63Dequan Finn pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 14 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST down
Week 5 · Massachusetts · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA -0.91Carter Bradley pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Ball State · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +0.84Carter Bradley pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 10 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST down
Week 1 · Middle Tennessee · 2&9 · Q2 · EPA -0.64Dequan Finn pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 2 yds to the MTnSt 46
Week 3 · Colorado State · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +0.56Carter Bradley pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 19 yds to the ColSt 21 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2021 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	W 49-10vs Norfolk State	2	11	5.5	0	11
Wk 3	L 6-22vs Colorado State	3	44	14.7	0	20
Wk 4	W 22-12@ Ball State	2	13	6.5	0	10
Wk 5	W 45-7@ Massachusetts	1	15	15.0	0	15
Wk 6	L 20-22vs Northern Illinois	1	14	14.0	0	14
Wk 8	W 34-15vs Western Michigan	1	34	34.0	1	34
Wk 10	L 49-52vs Eastern Michigan	1	10	10.0	0	10
Wk 11	W 49-17@ Bowling Green	3	83	27.7	1	59	Season-high 83 yds
Wk 12	W 35-23@ Ohio	—	—	—	—	—
Total		14	224	15.9	2	59

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology