CFB Zeitgeist Score
55
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 53rd percentile.
Noah Short
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Noah Short is a cornerstone for Army — measured against the line he joined.
438REC YDS32REC2REC TD
RUSHING VALUE · WEPA
+0.06
via your WEPA model · 2025 · 86 plays
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Army for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · Army
Returning around him
- 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: -2 net (0 in / 2 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Army · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #134 · 2026 recruiting class #130
WR · ARMY · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Noah Short
- 4
- #15
- 6-0 | 195 lb
- San Jose, CA
Heisman Heat
#168
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+74%
Up 74% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★
CFB
College
Army
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2-star | 0.7844 | No. 2613 recruit | HighSchool | Army |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (438).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★☆☆☆
to Army
Composite
0.7844
#2613 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Noah Short
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=5
- Rivals · n=2
- National · n=4
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Noah Short
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
13.7
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #185 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 65th
Why it matters
#185 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.7 yards per reception (32 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 13.7 (65th)
HIGH · n=32 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#269 / 531
- Receiving TDs#302 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 1 vs UConn — 108 ypr
Result W 41-16
The week the volume broke through — put up 108 yds vs UConn.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 13g
438Rec yards
32Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
33.7Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
438Rec yards
32Receptions
2Rec TDs
Why the profile pops beyond receiving
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The most interesting thing about Noah Short is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
32 77th
YDS
438 76th
YPR
13.7 65th
TD
2 75th
Rushing
CAR
98 100th
YDS
571 100th
YPC
5.8 64th
TD
1 96th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 27-30vs Tarleton State | 6 | 81 | 13.5 | 0 | 27 | Season-high 108 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 24-21@ Kansas State | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 4 | L 38-45vs North Texas | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 5 | L 6-28@ East Carolina | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 6 | W 31-13@ UAB | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 7 | W 24-7vs Charlotte | 1 | 44 | 44.0 | 0 | 44 | |
| Wk 8 | L 17-24@ Tulane | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 10 | W 20-17@ Air Force | 3 | 52 | 17.3 | 1 | 40 | |
| Wk 11 | W 14-13vs Temple | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 13 | L 25-26vs Tulsa | 4 | 47 | 11.8 | 0 | 44 | |
| Wk 14 | W 27-24@ UTSA | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 16 | L 16-17@ Navy | 3 | 51 | 17.0 | 0 | 29 | |
| Bowl | W 41-16vs UConn | 7 | 108 | 15.4 | 1 | 40 | |
| Total | 32 | 438 | 14.3 | 2 | 44 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Army6-6HC: Jeff Monken · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2023Army6-6HC: Jeff Monken · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Army12-2HC: Jeff Monken · Run-heavy
2025Army7-6HC: Jeff Monken · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 32 | #255/1110 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 438 | #264/1107 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 13.7 | #389/1106 | 65th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 40.2% | #2/1137 | 100th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 571 | #1/397 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 98 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 81 | #1/346 | 100th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.8 | #143/393 | 64th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #19/411 | 96th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 44 | #368/1105 | 67th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 26.9% | #1/1137 | 100th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 20.9% | #2/1137 | 100th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 16.8% | #7/1137 | 99th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 15.7% | #37/1137 | 97th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 15.5% | #8/1137 | 99th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 13.1% | #15/1137 | 99th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 13.0% | #4/1137 | 100th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.06 | #8/8 | 12th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 86 weighted playsvs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 3.2 | 48.3 | 18.9 | 0.2 |
| Road7g | 1.9 | 21.1 | 10.5 | 0.1 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 2.0 | 32.1 | 18.0 | 0.3 |
| Losses6g | 3.0 | 35.5 | 11.3 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 2.9 | 38.7 | 15.8 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.0 | 27.8 | 12.6 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
55Solid starter
Elite: rush yards (99th). Strength: rush tds (85th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.06Below (<p25) (n=2)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Noah ShortArmySean WilsonDelaware· 75% simRyan DavisUtah· 74% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 73% sim
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Yards / catch
Receptions
Rec yards
Rec TDs
Long catch
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Isaiah Esdale’s 2022 season.
Isaiah Esdale
81%match
#2
Langston Lewis
All-MAC
79%
#3
Keelan Marion
All-Big 12
77%
#4
R.J. Sneed
77%
#5
Tyrice Richie
76%
Matches Isaiah on
Height
TD rate
Reception volume
Differs from Isaiah on
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Class year (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kahtero Summers’s path through Rhode Island.
Kahtero Summers
97%match
#2
Micah Davis
95%
#3
Will Vereen
92%
#4
Beau Kelly
92%
#5
Tre Nixon
NFL Rd 7
91%
Matches Kahtero on
Yards per reception
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Devin Mockobee's senior season at Purdue (2025).
Devin Mockobee
83%match
#2
Keelan Marion
All-Big 12
81%
#3
Coleman Bennett
All-Conference USA
79%
#4
Glynn Johnson Jr
78%
#5
Latrell Caples
All-Mountain West
76%
Matches Devin on
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Yards / reception
Differs from Devin on
Reception volume (higher)
Recruiting rating (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jeff Monken
Pass share
14.5%
125 pass / 740 run
Plays / game
66.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
3.8%
104 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Jeff Monken
Army
2023
Jeff Monken
Army
2024
Jeff Monken
Army
2025
Jeff Monken
Army
Played his entire career under Jeff Monken.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSan Jose, CA
Height6'0"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey15
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamArmy
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Army | WR4 | #168 | #173 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | Army | WR4 | #1131 | #1350 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | FBS Independents |
| 2022 | Army | WR4 | #3409 | #3268 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | FBS Independents |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Army | American Athletic | WR | 4 | No. 15 | 6-0 | 195 lb | San Jose, CA |
| 2024 | Army | American Athletic | WR | 4 | No. 15 | 6-0 | 195 lb | San Jose, CA |
| 2023 | Army | FBS Independents | WR | 4 | No. 15 | 6-0 | 195 lb | San Jose, CA |
| 2022 | Army | FBS Independents | WR | 4 | No. 15 | 6-0 | 195 lb | San Jose, CA |