cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jay Maclin /Kentucky

Jay Maclin

WR · Kentucky · Sr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

189 REC YDS · 13 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kentucky for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kentucky for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Kentucky

Returning around him

  • 27% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 4 Kentucky players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (29 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kentucky · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #27 · 2026 recruiting class #29

WR · KENTUCKY · SEC

Jay Maclin

  • 4
  • #9
  • 5-11 | 191 lb
  • Kirkwood, MO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

25

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 71st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#335

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
3802022
1,0042023
3132024
1892025

-50%

Sharp dropoff (-50%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements5-11 | 191 lb
HometownKirkwood, MO
Primary teamKentucky

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination North Texas 2022
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 8, 2021
Season Move Context
2022 Missouri -> North Texas 3-star | 0.8100 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#335Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#416Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jay Maclin

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jay Maclin

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
189Rec yards
13Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
21Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
273Rec yards
19Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 189): needs 127.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 189): needs 202.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 13): needs 11.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 13): needs 16.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jay Maclin's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kentucky, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #335 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 13 0 rec TD | #510/1110 (54th pct)
Receiving yards 189 14.5 per catch | #483/1107 (56th pct)
Scrimmage yards 189 Total offensive yardage | #483/1107 (56th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
13 54th
YDS
189 56th
YPR
14.5 73rd
TD
0 45th

Returns

PR YDS
9 22nd
PR AVG
3.0 16th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 24-16vs Toledo11111.0011
Wk 2L 23-30vs Ole Miss25628.0044Season-high 56 yds
Wk 3W 48-23vs Eastern Michigan13636.0036
Wk 5L 13-35@ South Carolina2105.0010
Wk 6L 14-35@ Georgia22211.0012
Wk 8L 13-16vs Texas33311.0018
Wk 9L 34-56vs Tennessee0-160.000
Wk 11W 38-7vs Florida11717.0017
Wk 12W 42-10vs Tennessee Tech12020.0020
Total1318915.4044
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022North Texas7-7HC: Seth Littrell · Run-leaning
2023North Texas5-7HC: Eric Morris · Balanced, fast tempo
2024Kentucky4-8HC: Mark Stoops · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Kentucky5-7HC: Mark Stoops · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Kentucky1318914.50--
2024Kentucky1331324.14--
2023North Texas571,00417.611--
2022North Texas1638023.82--
Career4 loaded seasons991,88619.117--
SeasonTeam
2025Kentucky------9--
2024Kentucky213--103--
2023North Texas----------
2022North Texas----83----
Career4 loaded seasons21383112--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.0% 6.8% pass-game share | #704/1137 (38th pct)
Return yards 9 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 13 #510/1110 54th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 189 #483/1107 56th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.5 #302/1106 73rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 9 #175/224 22nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 6.8% #704/1137 38th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 44 #368/1105 67th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 3.0 #188/222 16th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 3 #141/237 41st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.9% #742/1137 35th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 3.8% #828/1137 27th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.0% #767/1137 33rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.7% #845/1137 26th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.6% #751/1137 34th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.5% #818/1137 28th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #274/302 10th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g1.322.417.60.0
Road2g2.016.08.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g1.021.021.00.0
Losses5g1.821.011.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g1.627.018.20.0
Weeks 8+4g1.213.512.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

25Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: fumbles lost (5th).

Yards / catch#163 / 558 · 71st pct
14.5rece
Long catch#317 / 558 · 42nd pct
44rece
Rec yards#478 / 558 · 14th pct
189rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Receptions#510 / 558 · 7th pct
13rece
Fumbles lost#196 / 218 · 6th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jay MaclinKentuckyMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 50% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 49% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 48% sim
Yards / catch
71
Maclin
9
III
40
Walker
25
Cobb
Long catch
42
Maclin
16
III
39
Walker
58
Cobb
Rec yards
14
Maclin
70
III
89
Walker
87
Cobb
Rec TDs
7
Maclin
24
III
42
Walker
24
Cobb
Receptions
7
Maclin
92
III
95
Walker
98
Cobb
Fumbles lost
6
Maclin
6
III
6
Walker
6
Cobb

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Xavier Townsend’s 2025 season.

Xavier Townsend

78%match

Iowa State · 2025

#2

Mike Brown-Stephens

Minnesota · 2022

77%
#3

Zion Steptoe

Tulsa · 2024

76%
#4

Brandon Sanders

Rutgers · 2021

75%
#5

Jacob Bernard

Louisiana · 2024

74%

Matches Xavier on

Yards / reception
Weight
Reception volume

Differs from Xavier on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)
Class year (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kahtero Summers’s path through Rhode Island.

Kahtero Summers

97%match

Rhode Island · 2023

#2

Jackson Parham

Elon · 2022

91%
#3

Javon McKinley

Notre Dame · 2020

90%
#4

Noah Short

Army · 2025

89%
#5

Jordan Mosley

Mississippi State · 2025

88%

Matches Kahtero on

Yards per reception

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to JoJo Earle's graduate season at UNLV (2025).

JoJo Earle

78%match

UNLV · 2025

#2

Terry Lockett

Eastern Michigan · 2025

All-MAC
73%
#3

Reese Smith

Liberty · 2025

72%
#4

Caullin Lacy

Louisville · 2024

All-ACC
72%
#5

Julian Gray

Liberty · 2025

71%

Matches JoJo on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Height

Differs from JoJo on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mark Stoops

Pass share

46.2%

366 pass / 427 run

Plays / game

66.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.0%

280 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Mark Stoops
Kentucky
2023
Mark Stoops
Kentucky
2024
Mark Stoops
Kentucky
2025
Mark Stoops
Kentucky

Played his entire career under Mark Stoops.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKirkwood, MO
Height5'11"
Weight191 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kentucky WR4 #335 #416 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 North Texas WR4 #744 #1043 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 North Texas WR4 #1402 #1779 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 Missouri WR4 #3703 #3724 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kentucky SEC WR 4 No. 9 | 5-11 | 191 lb | Kirkwood, MO
2024 Kentucky SEC WR 4 No. 9 | 5-11 | 191 lb | Kirkwood, MO
2023 North Texas American Athletic WR 4 No. 9 | 5-11 | 191 lb | Kirkwood, MO
2022 North Texas Conference USA WR 4 No. 9 | 5-11 | 191 lb | Kirkwood, MO
2021 Missouri SEC WR 4 No. 9 | 5-11 | 191 lb | Kirkwood, MO