#13

Chase Penry

Senior wide receiver for Boise State. 2025: 30 catches, 394 receiving yards, 1 TD.

WR · Boise State · Sr. · #13

6′0″ · 194 lb · Greenwood Village, CO

CFB Index 42 · #291 of 485 WRsHigh confidenceReturning to Boise State for 2026

How he plays

Moves the chains on third down.

EPA / target: 88th percentile.

The full scouting read

The numbers

394

receiving yards · 2025

30 catches · 1 TD · 13.1 per catch

Swing playSwung Boise State from 40% to 61% to win.Fresno State at Boise State · 30-7

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 wide receiver for Boise State. 2025: 30 catches, 394 receiving yards, 1 TD.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Colorado in 2021.
Transferred from Colorado to Boise State in 2023.

His career, year by year

Chase Penry

WR · Boise State · Sr · #13

Moves the chains on third down. Three head coaches in five seasons, at two different programs. The receipt on tape: 96 rec yds, 3 receptions against UNLV, Week 15, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
head-coach lineage
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2021Colorado4-8HC: Karl Dorrell · Run-heavy, slow tempo

2022Colorado1-11HC: Mike Sanford Jr. · Balanced, slow tempo

2023Boise State8-6HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-heavy

2024Boise State12-2HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning

2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

42Rotational starter #291 of 485?

High confidenceAscending10 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: epa / target (88th percentile). Concern: td rate (18th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

EPA / target#95 / 798 · 88th pct

0.70

Yards / catch#245 / 798 · 69th pct

13.2

Catch rate#415 / 798 · 48th pct

67.4%

Explosive rate#431 / 798 · 46th pct

9.3%

TD rate#507 / 798 · 18th pct

0.0%

Box-score rates (5)

Yards / catch#268 / 558 · 51st pct

13.1

Receptions#282 / 558 · 48th pct

Rec yards#292 / 558 · 48th pct

394

Long catch#285 / 558 · 48th pct

Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct

Season trend

EPA / target— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Catch rate— first qualifying season

TD rate— first qualifying season

Yards / catch— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Situational

Situational · Share of own targets (PBP, 2025)

Third-down role

35%15 of his 43 targets came on third down · Receiver median is 24%

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home4g	3.0	48.2	16.1	0.2
Road7g	2.6	28.7	11.2	0.0

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-74g	1.5	15.5	10.3	0.0
Weeks 8+7g	3.4	47.4	14.5	0.1

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Spencer Danielson

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

Rotational

Earning real snaps in the rotation without a starting job.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

42 · #291 of 485 WRs

Three-star recruit. Now #291 at the position.

2026 outlook

Outside shot for All-Pac-12

Based on 2025: #20 of 41 Mountain West WRs — his program moves to the Pac-12 for 2026

How the All-Pac-12 estimate is computed

22% estimated, 95% confidence interval 19–25%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player. The base rate was measured on players who stayed in the same conference; this estimate is not adjusted for the move to the Pac-12.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Boise State	30	394	13.1	1	--
2024	Boise State	14	164	11.7	0	--
2023	Boise State	5	48	9.6	0	--
2022	Colorado	2	25	12.5	0	--
2021	Colorado	8	86	10.8	1	--
Career		59	717	12.2	2	--

Season	Team
2025	Boise State	--	--	--	--	--
2024	Boise State	--	--	--	--	--
2023	Boise State	1	--	29	7	--
2022	Colorado	--	--	--	16	--
2021	Colorado	--	--	24	53	--
Career		1	--	53	76	--

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 15 · UNLV · 3&17 · Q1 · EPA +4.41(08:15) Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass complete short middle to #13 C.Penry caught at NLV45, for 46 yards to the NLV12 (#8 M.McDuffie), 1ST DOWN
Week 15 · UNLV · 3&3 · Q4 · EPA +3.83(14:20) #4 M.Madsen pass complete short left to #13 C.Penry caught at NLV42, for 46 yards to the NLV01 (#8 M.McDuffie), 1ST DOWN
Week 13 · Colorado State · 3&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.44(00:50) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete deep right to #13 C.Penry caught at CSU44, for 21 yards to the CSU44, out of bounds at CSU44, 1ST DOWN
Week 10 · Fresno State · 3&6 · Q2 · EPA +2.89Chase Penry 10 Yd pass from Max Cutforth (Colton Boomer Kick)
Week 9 · Nevada · 3&6 · Q3 · EPA +2.82(06:02) Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass complete short middle to #13 C.Penry caught at BSU44, for 15 yards to the Nevada44 (#4 E.Rhambo), 1ST DOWN
Week 14 · Utah State · 3&10 · Q1 · EPA +2.65(00:02) #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short middle to #13 C.Penry caught at BSU43, for 14 yards to the BSU44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
Week 12 · San Diego State · 3&10 · Q4 · EPA +2.34(02:01) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short middle to #13 C.Penry caught at SDSU27, for 14 yards to the SDSU26 (#26 D.McDougle), 1ST DOWN
Week 12 · San Diego State · 2&25 · Q4 · EPA +2.34(01:41) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short right to #13 C.Penry caught at SDSU25, for 17 yards to the SDSU24 (#1 C.Johnson; #31 J.Badie)
Week 14 · Utah State · 3&12 · Q1 · EPA +1.91(11:46) #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #13 C.Penry caught at BSU34, for 14 yards to the BSU34 (#1 N.Avinger), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Week 14 · Utah State · 3&8 · Q4 · EPA +1.90(04:41) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short middle to #13 C.Penry caught at USU32, for 9 yards to the USU30 (#14 B.Olevao Jr.; #18 I.Larsen), 1ST DOWN

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	L 7-34@ South Florida	1	7	7.0	0	7
Wk 4	W 49-37@ Air Force	1	17	17.0	0	17
Wk 6	L 7-28@ Notre Dame	1	7	7.0	0	7
Wk 8	W 56-31vs UNLV	1	9	9.0	0	9
Wk 9	W 24-3@ Nevada	3	33	11.0	0	15
Wk 10	L 7-30vs Fresno State	5	44	8.8	1	12
Wk 12	L 7-17@ San Diego State	3	50	16.7	0	19
Wk 13	W 49-21vs Colorado State	3	44	14.7	0	21
Wk 14	W 25-24@ Utah State	6	56	9.3	0	14
Wk 15	W 38-21vs UNLV	3	96	32.0	0	46	Season-high 96 yds
Bowl	L 10-38@ Washington	3	31	10.3	0	21
Total		30	394	13.0	1	46

How he plays

Play style

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

CFB Index positional classification

Money down · 3rd-down role

Money down

fact

10/153rd-down conversions

1.713rd-down EPA/target

0.17Other-downs EPA/target

12 of 15 caught on third down (80.0%) — EPA/target 1.71 vs 0.17 elsewhere (10 conversions).

Catch rate is disclosed context only, never the gate — conversions and EPA/target are. Interception targets carry no attribution row at any source, so EPA/target here is unfixably, slightly inflated.

2026 Outlook

Boise State

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Boise State

Returning around him