CFB Zeitgeist Score
28
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 97th percentile.
Devin Brown
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
48 PASS YDS · 1 PASS TD · -15 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to California for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · California
Returning around him
- 22% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 1 California player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -4 net (32 in / 36 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
California · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #36 · 2026 recruiting class #69
QB · CALIFORNIA · ACC
Devin Brown
- 3
- #13
- 6-3 | 215 lb
- Gilbert, AZ
Heisman Heat
#314
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2023–2025-78%
Sharp dropoff (-78%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.9808 | No. 43 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Ohio State
Composite
0.9808
#43 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Devin Brown
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=4
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Devin Brown
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 5g
48Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Per game
9.6Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
124.8Pass yards
3Pass TDs
3INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 48): needs 369/game over remaining 8.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 48): needs 494/game over remaining 8.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 8.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.6/game over remaining 8.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 4.2/game over remaining 8.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Devin Brown's story is about how role and output meet each other. For California, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
4 19th
ATT
7 24th
CMP%
57.1% 33rd
Y/A
6.9 52nd
Passing Production
YDS
48 19th
TD
1 44th
INT
1 63rd
Rushing
CAR
3 20th
YDS
-15 9th
YPC
-5.0 2nd
TD
0 44th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 5 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-15@ Oregon State | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 2 | W 35-3vs Texas Southern | 2/2 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 13.5 | 100.0 | Season-high 27 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 0-34@ San Diego State | 1/3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 5.3 | 1.1 | |
| Wk 6 | L 21-45vs Duke | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 21-18vs North Carolina | 1/1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 | 5.5 | |
| Total | 4/7 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 6.0 | 26.6 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Ohio State11-2HC: Ryan Day · Balanced
2023Ohio State11-2HC: Ryan Day · Balanced
2025California7-6HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | California | 4 | 7 | 57.1% | 48 | 6.9 | 1 | 1 | 133.3 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Ohio State | 16 | 28 | 57.1% | 217 | 7.8 | 2 | 1 | 138.7 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Ohio State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 20 | 35 | 57.1% | 265 | 7.6 | 3 | 2 | 137.6 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | California | 3 | -15 | -5.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Ohio State | 22 | 23 | 1.0 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Ohio State | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 26 | 9 | 0.3 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 48 | #310/382 | 19th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 1 | #228/407 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 4 | #310/383 | 19th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 57.1% | #256/383 | 33rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.9 | #186/382 | 52nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -15 | #372/408 | 9th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 2.8% | #385/428 | 10th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 7 | #309/407 | 24th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 1 | #153/407 | 63rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 3 | #327/408 | 20th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -5.0 | #398/407 | 2nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.1% | #339/428 | 21st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.5% | #351/428 | 18th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 4.5% | #361/428 | 16th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 2.1% | #386/428 | 10th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 1.7% | #392/428 | 9th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 1.3% | #397/428 | 7th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.7% | #388/428 | 10th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 5 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 10.7 | 0.3 | 6.2 | 0.3 |
| Road2g | 8.0 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 10.7 | 0.3 | 9.2 | 0.0 |
| Losses2g | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 10.8 | 0.2 | 6.3 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+1g | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
28Below cohort
Elite: interceptions (97th). Concern: pass yards (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Devin BrownCaliforniaNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 58% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 54% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 53% sim
Interceptions
Yards / att
Completion %
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Justin Wilcox
Pass share
57.0%
502 pass / 379 run
Plays / game
67.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.2%
353 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Justin Wilcox
California
2023
Justin Wilcox
California
2025
Justin Wilcox
California
Played his entire career under Justin Wilcox.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownGilbert, AZ
Height6'3"
Weight215 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey13
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamCalifornia
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Ohio State | QB3 | #314 | #178 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Ohio State | QB3 | #138 | #74 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2022 | Ohio State | QB3 | #319 | #150 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | California | ACC | QB | 3 | No. 13 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Gilbert, AZ |
| 2024 | Ohio State | Big Ten | QB | 3 | No. 13 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Gilbert, AZ |
| 2023 | Ohio State | Big Ten | QB | 3 | No. 13 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Gilbert, AZ |
| 2022 | Ohio State | Big Ten | QB | 3 | No. 13 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Gilbert, AZ |