cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / DeVonta Smith /Notre Dame

DeVonta Smith

CB · Notre Dame · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

20 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

NOW IN NFLPhiladelphia — drafted 2021, Rd 1, Pick 10, #10 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

PhiladelphiaEntering 6th NFL season

#10Rd 1 · Pick 10
PhiladelphiaEntering 6th NFL season

CB · NOTRE DAME · FBS INDEPENDENTS

DeVonta Smith

  • 4
  • 5-11 | 196 lb
  • Cincinnati, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

40

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 78th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4350

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 5 · Apex

R16 · POTY / Heisman winner

Position-of-the-Year / Heisman winner. The trophy is in the case.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#56 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R1 &middot; #10
Philadelphia &middot; 2021

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#8 in market ▼ from #6 · 4 books

+10009.1% implied

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements5-11 | 196 lb
HometownCincinnati, OH
Primary teamNotre Dame

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 250 recruit
Composite rating 0.9114 HighSchool
Signed with Alabama 2021
Origin La Salle Cincinnati, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9114 No. 250 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama
2020 4-star | 0.9730 No. 56 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4350Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4297Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish#1Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Alabama

Composite

0.9114

#250 national

NFL Draft

2021 · Rd 1, Pick 10

#10 overall · Philadelphia

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on DeVonta Smith

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about DeVonta Smith

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
20Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
37Tackles
1.9Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 20): needs 10/game over remaining 6.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 20): needs 13.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 6.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

DeVonta Smith is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Notre Dame's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #4350 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 250 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 20 18 solo | #1998/4942 (60th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
20 60th
SOLO
18 74th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 24-27@ Miami110.00.00
Wk 5W 56-13@ Arkansas110.00.00
Wk 10W 25-10@ Boston College220.00.01
Wk 11W 49-10vs Navy540.00.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 12W 37-15@ Pittsburgh320.00.01
Wk 13W 70-7vs Syracuse331.00.01
Wk 14W 49-20@ Stanford550.00.00
Total20181.00.03
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Alabama12-1HC: Nick Saban · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Alabama12-2HC: Nick Saban · Run-heavy
2024Alabama9-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Run-leaning
2025Notre Dame10-2HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Notre Dame20181.00.03----
2024Alabama30180.50.05----
2023Alabama430.00.0------
2021Alabama210.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons56401.50.08----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 20 #1998/4942 60th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 18 #1178/4584 74th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home2g4.00.50.00.5
Road5g2.40.00.00.4

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g3.20.20.00.5
Losses1g1.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-72g1.00.00.00.0
Weeks 8+5g3.60.20.00.6

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

40Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Solo tackles#1178 / 2975 · 59th pct
18defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles#1998 / 2975 · 32nd pct
20defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
DeVonta SmithNotre DameTyler MartinMassachusetts· 70% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 68% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 66% sim
Passes defended
78
Smith
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
Solo tackles
59
Smith
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
Forced fumbles
47
Smith
47
Martin
47
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Tackles
32
Smith
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
Tackles for loss
28
Smith
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Sacks
24
Smith
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Smith
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Cover Corner

Steady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to DeVonta Smith’s 2024 season.

DeVonta Smith

88%match

Alabama · 2024

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 10
#2

Teldrick Ross

Middle Tennessee · 2020

88%
#3

Tavyn Jackson

Coastal Carolina · 2021

85%
#4

Jalen Burton

Bowling Green · 2021

85%
#5

Adrian Cole

Syracuse · 2021

82%

Matches DeVonta on

PD rate
Weight
Height

Differs from DeVonta on

Tackle volume (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Avarion Cole's senior season at Western Kentucky (2025).

Avarion Cole

100%match

Western Kentucky · 2025

#2

Theran Johnson

Oregon · 2025

All-Big Ten
94%
#3

Jer'Marius Lewis

UTSA · 2025

92%
#4

Al-Ma'Hi Ali

Western Kentucky · 2025

92%
#5

Kyndrich Breedlove

Arizona State · 2025

92%

Matches Avarion on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Marcus Freeman

Pass share

44.0%

321 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

60.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

257 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Brian Kelly
Notre Dame
2023
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
era →
2024
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
2025
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame

Coaching transition mid-career: Brian Kelly → Marcus Freeman. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCincinnati, OH
Height5'11"
Weight196 lb
Class4
PositionCB

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

17 entries
🏆

ALL-AMERICA · CONSENSUS

Consensus AA (2020)

10 first-team selectors

🏅

POSITION AWARDS

Heisman, Walter Camp, Maxwell

2020 season

🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2020)

All-SEC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Heisman

Heisman Trophy winner

Won the award in 2020. This should always live at the front of the card's trophy case.

Finalist

1 finalist season

Invited into the official finalist tier in 2020. That belongs in the trophy case, not buried in a table.

All-America

11 All-America selections

National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Votes

Heisman votes in 1 season

Even lower-volume award recognition is worth preserving because it marks seasons where a player entered the national conversation.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2020 Walter Camp position_award Alabama | Walter Camp winner | WR
2020 Paul Hornung position_award Alabama | Paul Hornung winner | ATH
2020 Maxwell position_award Alabama | Maxwell winner | WR
2020 Heisman position_award Alabama | Heisman winner | WR
2020 Biletnikoff position_award Alabama | Biletnikoff winner | WR
2020 All-SEC all_conference Alabama | SEC WR
2020 All-America (CBS) all_america Alabama | CBS first | AP-RET
2020 All-America (USA Today) all_america Alabama | USA Today first | WR
2020 All-America (ESPN) all_america Alabama | ESPN first | WR
2020 All-America (CBS) all_america Alabama | CBS first | WR
2020 All-America (The Athletic) all_america Alabama | The Athletic first | WR
2020 All-America (WCFF) all_america Alabama | WCFF first | WR
2020 All-America (SN) all_america Alabama | SN first | WR
2020 All-America (FWAA) all_america Alabama | FWAA first | WR
2020 All-America (AP) all_america Alabama | AP first | WR
2020 All-America (AFCA) all_america Alabama | AFCA first | WR
2020 All-America (Consensus) all_america Alabama | Consensus --

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Alabama CB4 #4350 #4297 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Alabama CB4 #5431 #5146 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Alabama CB4 #4549 #4149 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Alabama CB4 #4220 #3769 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2020 Alabama CB-- -- -- -- -- Winner 1856 SEC | Won the trophy

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Notre Dame FBS Independents CB 4 5-11 | 196 lb | Cincinnati, OH
2024 Alabama SEC CB 4 5-11 | 196 lb | Cincinnati, OH
2023 Alabama SEC CB 4 5-11 | 196 lb | Cincinnati, OH
2022 Alabama SEC CB 4 5-11 | 196 lb | Cincinnati, OH
2021 Alabama SEC CB 4 5-11 | 196 lb | Cincinnati, OH