#18

Drew Estrada

Senior wide receiver for Baylor. 2021: 30 catches, 367 receiving yards, 1 TD.

WR · Baylor · Sr. · #18

6′0″ · 190 lb · Argyle, TX

CFB Index 40 · #297 of 468 WRsHigh confidenceBaylor 2021 alumnus

The story

4 wide receiver for Baylor. 2021: 30 catches, 367 receiving yards, 1 TD.

Signed with Dartmouth in 2016.
Transferred from Dartmouth to Baylor in 2021.

His career, year by year

Recruiting

WR recruit

Signed with Dartmouth

No college snaps yet.

His career numbers, season by season

How it ended

One season at Baylor, 367 receiving yards — his college career is complete.

His career

The week the volume broke through — put up 88 yds at Oklahoma State.Oklahoma State · L 14-242021

2016

Signed with Dartmouthout of Argyle

202110 games

Entered the portal

Career arc

Recruit

—

2016 class

CFB

College

Baylor

2021

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

2021 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2021Baylor12-2HC: Dave Aranda · Run-heavy

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

40Below cohort / limited sample #297 of 468?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (80th percentile). Concern: td rate (17th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Explosive rate#147 / 655 · 77th pct

18.2%

Yards / catch#340 / 655 · 48th pct

12.4

Catch rate#442 / 655 · 33rd pct

70.5%

EPA / target#485 / 655 · 26th pct

0.45

TD rate#545 / 655 · 17th pct

2.3%

Box-score rates (8)

Fumbles lost#1 / 223 · 80th pct

Long catch#181 / 557 · 67th pct

Receptions#261 / 557 · 52nd pct

Rec yards#297 / 557 · 47th pct

367

Rush TDs#57 / 273 · 40th pct

Yards / catch#366 / 557 · 34th pct

12.2

Rush yards#195 / 273 · 28th pct

Rec TDs#370 / 557 · 23rd pct

Season trend

EPA / target— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Explosive rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Catch rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

TD rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Yards / catch— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2021 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home6g	2.0	28.5	12.7	0.0
Road4g	4.0	45.5	13.5	0.2

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-75g	2.4	40.8	15.8	0.0
Weeks 8+5g	3.2	29.8	10.8	0.2

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Dave Aranda

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2021

Rotational

Earning real snaps in the rotation without a starting job.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

40 · #297 of 468 WRs

Unranked recruit. Now #297 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2021	Baylor	30	367	12.2	1	--
Career		30	367	12.2	1	--

Season	Team
2021	Baylor	8	4	26	--	--
Career		8	4	26	--	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 14 · 2021

W 21–16

at Oklahoma State

6 rec · 33 yds · 1 TD

A wire-to-wire battle — won by 5 on the road.

With I. Power — 52 AVG · 2 IN 20 · 61 LONG · B. Shapen — 180 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT · QBR 81.0 · -9 rush yds (9 car)

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 13 · Texas Tech · 3&10 · Q3 · EPA +3.51Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 24 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST down
Week 12 · Kansas State · 4&6 · Q2 · EPA +3.29Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 32 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST down
Week 6 · West Virginia · 2&4 · Q2 · EPA +3.22Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for 58 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST down
Week 5 · Oklahoma State · 2&3 · Q1 · EPA +2.87Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for 37 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · Texas Tech · 3&9 · Q3 · EPA +2.77Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 10 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST down
Week 5 · Oklahoma State · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.71Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for 40 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST down
Week 14 · Oklahoma State · 1&4 · Q2 · EPA +1.69Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 4 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
Week 6 · West Virginia · 2&10 · Q2 · EPA +1.59Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for 10 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down
Week 5 · Oklahoma State · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA -1.38Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 45
Week 1 · Ole Miss · 1&20 · Q2 · EPA +1.17Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Drew Estrada for 10 yds to the Miss 46

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2021 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 3	W 45-7@ Kansas	1	20	20.0	0	20
Wk 4	W 31-29vs Iowa State	1	6	6.0	0	6
Wk 5	L 14-24@ Oklahoma State	6	88	14.7	0	40
Wk 6	W 45-20vs West Virginia	4	90	22.5	0	58	Season-high 90 yds
Wk 7	W 38-24vs BYU	—	—	—	—	—
Wk 9	W 31-24vs Texas	2	17	8.5	0	12
Wk 11	W 27-14vs Oklahoma	1	16	16.0	0	16
Wk 12	W 20-10@ Kansas State	3	41	13.7	0	32
Wk 13	W 27-24vs Texas Tech	4	42	10.5	0	24
Wk 14	W 21-16@ Oklahoma State	6	33	5.5	1	9
Total		28	353	13.0	1	58

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology