cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Hal Presley /Baylor

Hal Presley

WR · Baylor · Sr · #16

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

CAREER COMPLETEBaylor 2024 — college career complete

WR · BAYLOR · BIG 12

Hal Presley

  • 4
  • #16
  • 6-3 | 210 lb
  • Mansfield, TX

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#493

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R02 · Deep reserve

Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2024
15.02021
3822022
2222023
4292024

+2760%

Up 2760% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#377 national
CFB
College
Baylor
2021–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey16
Measurements6-3 | 210 lb
HometownMansfield, TX
Primary teamBaylor

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 377 recruit
Composite rating 0.8926 HighSchool
Signed with Auburn 2021
Origin Mansfield Summit Arlington, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.8926 No. 377 recruit | HighSchool | Auburn

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Baylor 2021
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jun 17, 2021
Season Move Context
2021 Auburn -> Baylor 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#493Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#629Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Auburn

Composite

0.8926

#377 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Hal Presley

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Hal Presley

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Hal Presley's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Baylor, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #493 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 377 recruit

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 31 3 rec TD | #268/1110 (76th pct)
Receiving yards 429 13.8 per catch | #268/1107 (76th pct)
Scrimmage yards 429 Total offensive yardage | #268/1107 (76th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
31 76th
YDS
429 76th
YPR
13.8 66th
TD
3 82nd

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Baylor11-2HC: Dave Aranda · Run-heavy
2022Baylor6-7HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning
2023Baylor3-9HC: Dave Aranda · Balanced
2024Baylor8-5HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2024Baylor3142913.83--
2023Baylor1722213.10--
2022Baylor3238211.94--
2021Baylor11515.00--
Career4 loaded seasons811,04812.97--
SeasonTeam
2024Baylor----------
2023Baylor22------
2022Baylor12------
2021Baylor113------
Career4 loaded seasons417------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.7% 9.6% pass-game share | #504/1137 (56th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 31 #268/1110 76th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 429 #268/1107 76th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.8 #375/1106 66th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 9.6% #504/1137 56th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 53 #236/1105 79th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.7% #334/1137 71st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.7% #626/1137 45th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.7% #519/1137 54th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.6% #474/1137 58th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.2% #494/1137 57th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 1.9% #890/1137 22nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dave Aranda

Pass share

55.5%

510 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

76.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

417 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024

1 coach
2021
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2022
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2023
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2024
Dave Aranda
Baylor

Played his entire career under Dave Aranda.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMansfield, TX
Height6'3"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey16

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Baylor WR4 #493 #629 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Baylor WR4 #2302 #2949 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Baylor WR4 #687 #792 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 Baylor WR4 #1691 #1383 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Baylor Big 12 WR 4 No. 16 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Mansfield, TX
2023 Baylor Big 12 WR 4 No. 16 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Mansfield, TX
2022 Baylor Big 12 WR 4 No. 16 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Mansfield, TX
2021 Baylor Big 12 WR 4 No. 16 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Mansfield, TX