#12

Jack Velling

Senior tight end for Michigan State. 2025: 36 catches, 359 receiving yards, 3 TD.

TE · Michigan State · Sr. · #12

6′5″ · 245 lb · Seattle, WA

CFB Index 60 · #44 of 156 TEsMedium-low confidenceAll-ConferenceReturning to Michigan State for 2026

How he plays

Shows up in the passing game from any alignment.

Catch rate: 90th percentile.

The full scouting read

The numbers

359

receiving yards · 2025

36 catches · 3 TD · 10 per catch

Best game: 8 rec, 88 yds, at Iowa

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 tight end for Michigan State. 2025: 36 catches, 359 receiving yards, 3 TD.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Oregon State in 2022.
Transferred from Oregon State to Michigan State in 2024.

His career, year by year

Jack Velling

TE · Michigan State · Sr · #12

Shows up in the passing game from any alignment. He got to Michigan State by way of Oregon State. His first career honor landed in 2025: All-Big Ten. The receipt on tape: 88 rec yds, 8 receptions against Iowa, Week 13, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
portal record
recognition record
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2022Oregon State10-3HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-heavy

2023Oregon State8-5HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-leaning

2024Michigan State5-7HC: Jonathan Smith · Balanced, slow tempo

2025Michigan State4-8HC: Jonathan Smith · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

60Quality starter #44 of 156?

Medium-low confidence10 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: catch rate (90th percentile). Strength: receptions (83rd percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Catch rate#79 / 798 · 90th pct

81.4%

TD rate#178 / 798 · 78th pct

4.7%

EPA / target#209 / 798 · 74th pct

0.57

Explosive rate#540 / 798 · 32nd pct

7.0%

Yards / catch#557 / 798 · 30th pct

10.0

Box-score rates (5)

Receptions#29 / 175 · 83rd pct

Rec yards#51 / 175 · 71st pct

359

Rec TDs#45 / 175 · 66th pct

Yards / catch#106 / 175 · 39th pct

10.0

Long catch#116 / 175 · 32nd pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / target

33rd → 74th percentile

Explosive rate

51st → 32nd percentile

Catch rate

39th → 90th percentile

TD rate

18th → 78th percentile

Yards / catch

43rd → 30th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Situational

Situational · Share of own targets (PBP, 2025)

Third-down role

16%7 of his 43 targets came on third down · TE median is 22%

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home6g	3.0	31.5	8.5	0.2
Road5g	3.6	34.0	8.5	0.4

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-75g	2.6	25.4	7.2	0.4
Weeks 8+6g	3.8	38.7	9.5	0.2

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Pat Fitzgerald

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

All-Conference

Picked for an all-conference team by at least one selector.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

60 · #44 of 156 TEs

Three-star recruit. Now #44 at the position.

2026 outlook

In the mix to repeat All-Big Ten

Based on 2025: #8 of 26 Big Ten TEs

How the All-Big Ten estimate is computed

35% estimated, 95% confidence interval 31–38%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Michigan State	36	359	10.0	3	--
2024	Michigan State	36	411	11.4	1	--
2023	Oregon State	29	438	15.1	8	--
2022	Oregon State	16	281	17.6	3	--
Career		117	1,489	12.7	15	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 3 · 2025

W 41–24

vs Youngstown State

6 rec · 70 yds

With A. Chiles — 270 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT · QBR 76.6 · 76 rush yds (8 car) · O. Kelly — 4 rec · 49 yds

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 10 · Minnesota · 3&7 · Q1 · EPA +2.56(01:14) Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short middle to #12 J.Velling caught at MSU44, for 16 yards to the MSU44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
Week 14 · Maryland · 2&5 · Q2 · EPA +2.47Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short middle to #12 J.Velling caught at UMD00, for 9 yards to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:04, 1ST DOWN #29 M.Connington kick attempt good (H: #96 R.Eckley, LS: #87 J.Wills)
Week 6 · Nebraska · 2&10 · Q4 · EPA +2.47Alessio Milivojevic pass complete to Jack Velling for 16 yds to the NEB 44 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · USC · 3&1 · Q3 · EPA +2.45Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 1 yd for a TD (Martin Connington KICK)
Week 3 · Youngstown State · 2&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.18Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 23 yds to the YSU 1 for a 1ST down
Week 6 · Nebraska · 2&2 · Q2 · EPA +2.07Alessio Milivojevic pass complete to Jack Velling for 2 yds for a TD (Martin Connington KICK)
Week 3 · Youngstown State · 3&7 · Q2 · EPA +1.79Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 18 yds to the YSU 19 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · Iowa · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +1.77(00:50) Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete deep right to #12 J.Velling caught at MSU42, for 21 yards to the MSU42, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
Week 13 · Iowa · 2&12 · Q3 · EPA +1.55(03:45) Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short left to #12 J.Velling caught at MSU48, for 11 yards to the IOWA45 (#1 X.Nwankpa), out of bounds
Week 9 · Michigan · 2&9 · Q3 · EPA +1.52Shotgun #2 A.Chiles pass complete short right to #12 J.Velling caught at MSU32, for 10 yards to the MSU36 (#30 J.Rolder), 1ST DOWN

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	W 23-6vs Western Michigan	1	3	3.0	0	3
Wk 3	W 41-24vs Youngstown State	6	70	11.7	0	23
Wk 4	L 31-45@ USC	1	1	1.0	1	1
Wk 6	L 27-38@ Nebraska	3	37	12.3	1	19
Wk 7	L 13-38vs UCLA	2	16	8.0	0	9
Wk 8	L 13-38@ Indiana	4	16	4.0	0	9
Wk 9	L 20-31vs Michigan	3	26	8.7	0	10
Wk 10	L 20-23@ Minnesota	2	28	14.0	0	16
Wk 12	L 10-28vs Penn State	1	6	6.0	0	6
Wk 13	L 17-20@ Iowa	8	88	11.0	0	21	Season-high 88 yds
Wk 14	W 38-28vs Maryland	5	68	13.6	1	28
Total		36	359	8.5	3	28

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

Jack Velling

20229 games

202412 games

202511 games

2025 snapshot

Situational

Splits & context

Awards

All-Conference

Career stats

Signature game

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Complete TE

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