cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dorian Fleming /Maryland

Dorian Fleming

TE · Maryland · So · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

351 REC YDS · 40 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Maryland for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Maryland for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Maryland

Returning around him

  • 13% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 Maryland player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (15 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Maryland · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #52 · 2026 recruiting class #25

TE · MARYLAND · BIG TEN

Dorian Fleming

  • 2
  • #9
  • 6-3 | 245 lb
  • Henrico, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

64

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 69th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5297

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1866 national
CFB
College
Maryland
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class2
Jersey9
Measurements6-3 | 245 lb
HometownHenrico, VA
Primary teamMaryland

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1866 recruit
Composite rating 0.8304 HighSchool
Signed with Georgia State 2023
Origin Life Christian Academy Colonial Heights, VA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8304 No. 1866 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5297Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5771Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (351).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Georgia State

Composite

0.8304

#1866 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dorian Fleming

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dorian Fleming

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

3

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #222 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 58th

Why it matters

#222 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 3 TDs on 40 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 3 (58th)

HIGH · n=40 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#351 / 531
  • Yards per reception#476 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 1 vs Florida Atlantic — 1 receiving_tds

Result W 39-7

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td vs Florida Atlantic.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
351Rec yards
40Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
31.9Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
414.8Rec yards
47Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 351): needs 174.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 351): needs 324.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 40): needs 10/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 40): needs 20/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Dorian Fleming already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #5297 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 40 3 rec TD | #15/475 (97th pct)
Receiving yards 351 8.8 per catch | #54/475 (89th pct)
Scrimmage yards 351 Total offensive yardage | #54/475 (89th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
40 97th
YDS
351 89th
YPR
8.8 39th
TD
3 91st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 39-7vs Florida Atlantic6366.0115
Wk 2W 20-9vs Northern Illinois47017.5148Season-high 70 yds
Wk 4W 27-10@ Wisconsin284.006
Wk 6L 20-24vs Washington9576.3014
Wk 7L 31-34vs Nebraska5336.6011
Wk 8L 17-20@ UCLA2105.009
Wk 10L 10-55vs Indiana13838.0038
Wk 11L 20-35@ Rutgers4399.8018
Wk 12L 6-24@ Illinois166.006
Wk 13L 20-45vs Michigan3196.3113
Wk 14L 28-38@ Michigan State33511.7019
Total4035110.7348
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Maryland4-8HC: Mike Locksley · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Maryland403518.83--
Career1 loaded season403518.83--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 9.1% 14.3% pass-game share | #25/468 (95th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #45/475 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 40 #15/475 97th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 351 #54/475 89th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #45/475 91st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 8.8 #291/475 39th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 14.3% #25/468 95th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 48 #44/475 91st pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.9% #11/468 98th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 10.5% #17/468 97th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage Role share 9.1% #7/468 99th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 8.3% #9/468 98th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.2% #28/468 94th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 6.5% #33/468 93rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g4.742.213.50.5
Road5g2.419.67.30.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g4.038.09.20.7
Losses8g3.529.611.20.1

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g5.240.88.10.4
Weeks 8+6g2.324.512.80.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

64Solid starter
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (91st). Concern: yards / catch (19th).

Receptions#15 / 175 · 91st pct
40rece
Long catch#38 / 175 · 78th pct
48rece
Rec yards#54 / 175 · 69th pct
351rece
Rec TDs#45 / 175 · 66th pct
3rece
Yards / catch#140 / 175 · 19th pct
8.8rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Dorian FlemingMarylandJack EndriesTexas· 86% simD'Andre RogersTCU· 85% simToby PayneMarshall· 84% sim
Receptions
91
Fleming
77
Endries
79
Rogers
83
Payne
Long catch
78
Fleming
87
Endries
61
Rogers
78
Payne
Rec yards
69
Fleming
68
Endries
65
Rogers
77
Payne
Rec TDs
66
Fleming
66
Endries
43
Rogers
66
Payne
Yards / catch
19
Fleming
47
Endries
29
Rogers
53
Payne

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Elijah Sessoms’s 2025 season.

Elijah Sessoms

68%match

Delaware · 2025

#2

Arlis Boardingham

Florida · 2024

66%
#3

Reed Tyler

Arkansas State · 2020

60%
#4

Brady Russell

Colorado · 2022

65%
#5

Kenny Fletcher

Rutgers · 2024

65%

Matches Elijah on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Weight

Differs from Elijah on

Class year (lower)
Reception volume (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Connor Cravaack's sophomore season at Akron (2025).

Connor Cravaack

75%match

Akron · 2025

#2

Devin Miller

Marshall · 2021

73%
#3

Decker DeGraaf

Washington · 2025

71%
#4

Arlis Boardingham

Florida · 2024

70%
#5

Christian Sims

Bowling Green · 2021

All-MAC
70%

Matches Connor on

Total EPA (college ability)
Height
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Connor on

Reception volume (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Locksley

Pass share

61.9%

491 pass / 302 run

Plays / game

66.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

2.3%

383 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Mike Locksley
Maryland

Played his entire career under Mike Locksley.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHenrico, VA
Height6'3"
Weight245 lb
Class2
PositionTE
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Sun Belt all_conference Georgia State | Sun Belt TE

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia State TE2 #5297 #5771 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Georgia State TE2 #5235 #5465 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Maryland Big Ten TE 2 No. 9 | 6-3 | 245 lb | Henrico, VA
2024 Georgia State Sun Belt TE 2 No. 9 | 6-3 | 245 lb | Henrico, VA
2023 Georgia State Sun Belt TE 2 No. 9 | 6-3 | 245 lb | Henrico, VA