CFB Zeitgeist Score
47
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 64th percentile.
Jackson Canaan
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
315 REC YDS · 33 REC · 0 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to San José State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · San José State
Returning around him
- 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: +1 net (17 in / 16 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
San José State · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #109 · 2026 recruiting class #117
TE · SAN JOSÉ STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Jackson Canaan
- 4
- #85
- 6-2 | 227 lb
- Sacramento, CA
Heisman Heat
#3641
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025+3400%
Up 3400% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★
CFB
College
San José State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2-star | 0.7883 | No. 3083 recruit | HighSchool | San José State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (315).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★☆☆☆
to San José State
Composite
0.7883
#3083 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jackson Canaan
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jackson Canaan
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
315Rec yards
33Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
26.2Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
341.2Rec yards
36Receptions
0Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 315): needs 385/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 315): needs 685/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 33): needs 27/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 33): needs 47/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jackson Canaan's story is about how role and output meet each other. For San José State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
33 92nd
YDS
315 87th
YPR
9.5 47th
TD
0 46th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 14-16vs Central Michigan | 5 | 33 | 6.6 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 2 | L 7-38@ Texas | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 4 | W 31-28vs Idaho | 2 | 40 | 20.0 | 0 | 33 | |
| Wk 5 | L 29-30@ Stanford | 5 | 79 | 15.8 | 0 | 44 | Season-high 79 yds |
| Wk 6 | W 35-28vs New Mexico | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 7 | L 28-35@ Wyoming | 4 | 32 | 8.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 8 | L 25-30@ Utah State | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 10 | W 45-38vs Hawai'i | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 11 | L 16-26vs Air Force | 4 | 44 | 11.0 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 12 | L 10-55@ Nevada | 3 | 39 | 13.0 | 0 | 23 | |
| Wk 13 | L 3-25@ San Diego State | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 14 | L 14-41vs Fresno State | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 3 | |
| Total | 33 | 315 | 8.6 | 0 | 44 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021San José State5-7HC: Brent Brennan · Balanced, slow tempo
2022San José State7-5HC: Brent Brennan · Pass-leaning
2025San José State3-9HC: Ken Niumatalolo · Pass-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San José State | 33 | 315 | 9.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | San José State | 8 | 80 | 10.0 | 1 | -- |
| 2021 | San José State | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 43 | 404 | 9.4 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 33 | #39/475 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 315 | #63/475 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #257/475 | 46th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 9.5 | #254/475 | 47th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.1% | #68/468 | 86th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 44 | #56/475 | 88th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.2% | #28/468 | 94th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.3% | #69/468 | 85th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.9% | #76/468 | 84th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 6.6% | #33/468 | 93rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 6.5% | #32/468 | 93rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.6% | #56/468 | 88th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 3.0 | 24.7 | 8.3 | 0.0 |
| Road6g | 2.5 | 27.8 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 2.3 | 22.7 | 10.3 | 0.0 |
| Losses9g | 2.9 | 27.4 | 8.1 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 3.3 | 34.8 | 10.5 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.2 | 17.7 | 6.8 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
47Mid-pack
Concern: rec tds (6th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jackson CanaanSan José StateCaden JensenLouisiana· 86% simDan VillariSyracuse· 85% simD'Andre RogersTCU· 83% sim
Receptions
Long catch
Rec yards
Yards / catch
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Complete TE
Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Trey Miller’s 2025 season.
Trey Miller
60%match
#2
Cooper Mathers
68%
#3
Terrell McDonald
63%
#4
Landen Lucas
62%
#5
Gerard Bullock
62%
Matches Trey on
Class year
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Differs from Trey on
Reception volume (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Connor Witthoft's senior season at Delaware (2025).
Connor Witthoft
76%match
#2
Donnie Gray
75%
#3
Elijah Tau-Tolliver
74%
#4
Blake Bosma
All-MAC
74%
#5
Terrell McDonald
72%
Matches Connor on
Weight
Height
Yards / reception
Differs from Connor on
Reception volume (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Ken Niumatalolo
Pass share
61.1%
486 pass / 310 run
Plays / game
66.3
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
2.1%
420 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Brent Brennan
San José State
2022
Brent Brennan
San José State
2025era →
Ken Niumatalolo
San José State
Coaching transition mid-career: Brent Brennan → Ken Niumatalolo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSacramento, CA
Height6'2"
Weight227 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey85
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSan José State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | San José State | TE4 | #3641 | #3484 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | San José State | TE4 | #3104 | #2875 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | San José State | TE4 | #2860 | #2934 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2021 | San José State | TE4 | #4462 | #4603 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San José State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | No. 85 | 6-2 | 227 lb | Sacramento, CA |
| 2024 | San José State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | No. 85 | 6-2 | 227 lb | Sacramento, CA |
| 2023 | San José State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | No. 85 | 6-2 | 227 lb | Sacramento, CA |
| 2022 | San José State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | No. 85 | 6-2 | 227 lb | Sacramento, CA |
| 2021 | San José State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | No. 85 | 6-2 | 227 lb | Sacramento, CA |