cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jamison Patton /Iowa State

Jamison Patton

DB · Iowa State · Jr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

48 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Iowa State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Iowa State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Iowa State

Returning around him

  • 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Iowa State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (48 in / 55 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Iowa State · Last season: 8-4 (AP #22) · Talent rank #71 · 2026 recruiting class #54

DB · IOWA STATE · BIG 12

Jamison Patton

  • 3
  • #2
  • 6-2 | 210 lb
  • Des Moines, IA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

52

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9606

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#733 national
CFB
College
Iowa State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class3
Jersey2
Measurements6-2 | 210 lb
HometownDes Moines, IA
Primary teamIowa State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 733 recruit
Composite rating 0.8744 HighSchool
Signed with Iowa State 2023
Origin Ankeny Des Moines, IA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8744 No. 733 recruit | HighSchool | Iowa State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9606Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9130Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Iowa State

Composite

0.8744

#733 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jamison Patton

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jamison Patton

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
48Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
69Tackles
1.4Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 48): needs 8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 48): needs 13/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jamison Patton is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Iowa State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9606 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 1.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 48 29 solo | #649/4942 (87th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
48 87th
SOLO
29 88th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 24-21@ Kansas State720.00.00
Wk 1W 55-7vs South Dakota640.00.010
Wk 2W 16-13vs Iowa410.00.00
Wk 3W 24-16@ Arkansas State430.00.01
Wk 5W 39-14vs Arizona770.00.011
Wk 6L 30-38@ Cincinnati210.00.00
Wk 7L 17-24@ Colorado551.00.00
Wk 9L 27-41vs BYU530.00.01
Wk 10L 19-24vs Arizona State830.00.00Season-high 8 tackles
Total48291.00.023
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Iowa State7-6HC: Matt Campbell · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Iowa State8-4HC: Matt Campbell · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Iowa State48291.00.032--
2023Iowa State16120.50.0--1--
Career2 loaded seasons64411.50.033--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 48 #649/4942 87th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 32 #203/578 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 29 #559/4584 88th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 16.0 #267/578 54th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g6.00.00.00.4
Road4g4.50.20.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g5.60.00.00.4
Losses4g5.00.20.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.00.10.00.3
Weeks 8+2g6.50.00.00.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

52Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (80th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Solo tackles#559 / 2975 · 80th pct
29defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Tackles#649 / 2975 · 78th pct
48defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jamison PattonIowa StateTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 83% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 79% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 78% sim
Solo tackles
80
Patton
100
Ra-El
98
Lafayette
97
Johnson
Passes defended
78
Patton
91
Ra-El
91
Lafayette
96
Johnson
Tackles
78
Patton
99
Ra-El
99
Lafayette
98
Johnson
Interceptions
75
Patton
75
Lafayette
95
Johnson
Tackles for loss
28
Patton
56
Ra-El
56
Lafayette
47
Johnson
Sacks
24
Patton
24
Ra-El
63
Lafayette
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Patton
22
Ra-El
22
Lafayette
22
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Hershey McLaurin’s 2023 season.

Hershey McLaurin

90%match

West Virginia · 2023

#2

Desmond Igbinosun

Rutgers · 2022

85%
#3

Maxwell Worship

Vanderbilt · 2022

84%
#4

Preston Zachman

Wisconsin · 2023

85%
#5

Ja'von Hicks

Cincinnati · 2021

84%

Matches Hershey on

PD rate
Height
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Nick Rattin's junior season at Northern Illinois (2022).

Nick Rattin

92%match

Northern Illinois · 2022

#2

Owen Pewee

UTSA · 2024

88%
#3

Nick Herbig

Wisconsin · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 4
85%
#4

Saveon Brown

Buffalo · 2025

84%
#5

Ashlynd Barker

Florida State · 2025

83%

Matches Nick on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Matt Campbell

Pass share

42.4%

345 pass / 469 run

Plays / game

67.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

296 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2025
Matt Campbell
Iowa State

Played his entire career under Matt Campbell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDes Moines, IA
Height6'2"
Weight210 lb
Class3
PositionDB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Iowa State DB3 #9606 #9130 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Iowa State DB3 #9944 #9805 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Iowa State Big 12 DB 3 No. 2 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Des Moines, IA
2024 Iowa State Big 12 DB 3 No. 2 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Des Moines, IA
2023 Iowa State Big 12 DB 3 No. 2 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Des Moines, IA