CFB Zeitgeist Score
14
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by carries at the 39th percentile.
Jordan Nubin
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
253 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 79 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Kent State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Kent State
Returning around him
- 11% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: -4 net (11 in / 15 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Kent State · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #128 · 2026 recruiting class #93
RB · KENT STATE · MID-AMERICAN
Jordan Nubin
- 4
- #27
- 5-11 | 215 lb
- Saint Charles, IL
Heisman Heat
#1545
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025+873%
Up 873% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jordan Nubin
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jordan Nubin
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 8g
253Rush yards
79Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
31.6Rush yards
10Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
411.1Rush yards
128Carries
2Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 253): needs 99.4/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 253): needs 149.4/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 253): needs 249.4/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.8/game over remaining 5.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jordan Nubin's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kent State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
79 71st
YDS
253 59th
YPC
3.2 17th
TD
1 56th
Receiving
REC
3 33rd
YDS
12 21st
YPR
4.0 17th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | L 0-44@ Oklahoma | 7 | 18 | 2.6 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 7 | W 42-6vs Massachusetts | 15 | 80 | 5.3 | 1 | 25 | Season-high 80 yds |
| Wk 8 | L 10-45@ Toledo | 13 | 61 | 4.7 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 9 | W 24-21vs Bowling Green | 14 | 37 | 2.6 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 11 | L 13-17@ Ball State | 13 | 14 | 1.1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 12 | W 42-35@ Akron | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 13 | L 16-28vs Central Michigan | 8 | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 14 | W 35-31@ Northern Illinois | 5 | 25 | 5.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Total | 79 | 253 | 3.1 | 1 | 25 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Minnesota8-4HC: P.J. Fleck · Run-heavy
2022Minnesota9-4HC: P.J. Fleck · Run-heavy
2023Minnesota6-7HC: P.J. Fleck · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Minnesota8-5HC: P.J. Fleck · Balanced
2025Kent State5-7HC: Mark Carney · Run-leaning, slow tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kent State | 79 | 253 | 3.2 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | Minnesota | 11 | 19 | 1.7 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Minnesota | 127 | 559 | 4.4 | 3 | -- |
| 2022 | Minnesota | 9 | 26 | 2.9 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Minnesota | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 226 | 857 | 3.8 | 4 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kent State | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | Minnesota | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Minnesota | 6 | 27 | 4.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Minnesota | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Minnesota | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 12 | 71 | 5.9 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 253 | #300/735 | 59th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.2 | #611/735 | 17th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 3 | #371/552 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 12 | #435/548 | 21st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.09 | #226/362 | 38th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 77 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 16.7% | #136/738 | 82nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 79 | #213/739 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 25 | #335/733 | 54th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 13 | #347/540 | 36th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 4.0 | #456/548 | 17th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 29.4% | #128/738 | 83rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 21.3% | #117/738 | 84th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 19.5% | #138/738 | 81st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 13.3% | #230/738 | 69th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 12.3% | #137/738 | 82nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 11.2% | #153/738 | 79th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.3% | #376/738 | 49th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 41.7 | 3.0 | 0.3 |
| Road5g | 25.6 | 3.2 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 38.0 | 3.9 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 25.2 | 2.4 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 49.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 25.8 | 2.8 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
14Below cohort
Concern: yards / carry (2nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.09Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jordan NubinKent StateJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 59% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 58% simTae MeadowsTroy· 57% sim
Carries
Long run
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Receptions
Rec yards
Yards / carry
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jalen John’s 2025 season.
Jalen John
83%match
#2
Avery Morrow
80%
#3
Jacqez Barksdale
75%
#4
Samuel Brown V
67%
#5
Mulbah Car
69%
Matches Jalen on
Class year
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight
Differs from Jalen on
EPA / carry (adj) (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jalen John's graduate season at Coastal Carolina (2025).
Jalen John
84%match
#2
Stone Earle
67%
#3
D.J. Jones
68%
#4
Oscar Adaway III
67%
#5
Reggie Love III
64%
Matches Jalen on
Class year
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mark Carney
Pass share
42.8%
292 pass / 390 run
Plays / game
56.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.5%
242 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
3 coaches2021
Sean Lewis
Kent State
2022
Sean Lewis
Kent State
2023era →
Kenni Burns
Kent State
2024
Kenni Burns
Kent State
2025era →
Mark Carney
Kent State
Played under 3 different head coaches: Sean Lewis, Kenni Burns, and Mark Carney. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSaint Charles, IL
Height5'11"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey27
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamKent State
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Minnesota | RB4 | #1545 | #1858 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Minnesota | RB4 | #817 | #1031 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2022 | Minnesota | RB4 | #1810 | #1638 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2021 | Minnesota | RB4 | #2533 | #2444 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kent State | Mid-American | RB | 4 | No. 27 | 5-11 | 215 lb | Saint Charles, IL |
| 2024 | Minnesota | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 27 | 5-11 | 215 lb | Saint Charles, IL |
| 2023 | Minnesota | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 27 | 5-11 | 215 lb | Saint Charles, IL |
| 2022 | Minnesota | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 27 | 5-11 | 215 lb | Saint Charles, IL |
| 2021 | Minnesota | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 27 | 5-11 | 215 lb | Saint Charles, IL |