cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jalen John /Coastal Carolina

Jalen John

RB · Coastal Carolina · Sr · #21

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

169 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 53 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Coastal Carolina for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Coastal Carolina for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · Coastal Carolina

Returning around him

  • 97% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -10 net (33 in / 43 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Coastal Carolina · Last season: 6-7 · Talent rank #80 · 2026 recruiting class #91

RB · COASTAL CAROLINA · SUN BELT

Jalen John

  • 4
  • #21
  • 5-11 | 220 lb
  • Portland, OR

CFB Zeitgeist Score

10

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by fumbles lost at the 87th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#261

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2025
2502021
31.02023
5832024
1692025

-32%

Sharp dropoff (-32%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#836 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey21
Measurements5-11 | 220 lb
HometownPortland, OR
Primary teamCoastal Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 836 recruit
Composite rating 0.8641 HighSchool
Signed with Arizona 2020
Origin Lakeridge Lake Oswego, OR, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8641 No. 836 recruit | HighSchool | Arizona

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#261Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#456Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Arizona

Composite

0.8641

#836 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jalen John

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jalen John

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
169Rush yards
53Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
18.8Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
244.1Rush yards
77Carries
0Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 169): needs 145.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 169): needs 207.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 169): needs 332.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jalen John's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Coastal Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #261 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 195 169 rush | 26 rec | #362/735 (51st pct)
Rush TD 0 53 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry 3.2 Per-rush efficiency | #611/735 (17th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
53 59th
YDS
169 51st
YPC
3.2 17th
TD
0 40th

Receiving

REC
2 25th
YDS
26 34th
YPR
13.0 91st
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 7-48@ Virginia4205.0010
Wk 2W 13-0vs Charleston Southern14513.6011Season-high 51 yds
Wk 3L 0-38vs East Carolina320.702
Wk 6L 7-47@ Old Dominion9273.009
Wk 7W 23-8vs UL Monroe8303.809
Wk 10W 44-27vs Marshall461.504
Wk 11W 40-27vs Georgia State7263.707
Wk 12L 40-45@ Georgia Southern133.003
Wk 13L 7-51@ South Carolina341.305
Total531692.8011
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Arizona1-11HC: Jedd Fisch · Balanced
2023Massachusetts3-9HC: Don Brown · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Massachusetts2-10HC: Shane Montgomery · Run-leaning
2025Coastal Carolina6-7HC: Tim Beck · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Coastal Carolina531693.20--
2024Massachusetts1115835.35--
2023Massachusetts10313.10--
2021Arizona622504.00--
Career4 loaded seasons2361,0334.45--
SeasonTeam
2025Coastal Carolina22613.00--
2024Massachusetts171197.00--
2023Massachusetts----------
2021Arizona8425.20--
Career4 loaded seasons271876.90--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 2 26 rec yds | #414/552 (25th pct)
Usage 9.0% 15.8% rush share | #354/738 (52nd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.06 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #279/362 (23rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 169 #362/735 51st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.2 #611/735 17th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 2 #414/552 25th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 26 #360/548 34th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.06 #279/362 23rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 39 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 9.0% #354/738 52nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 53 #302/739 59th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 11 #546/733 26th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 16 #277/540 49th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 13.0 #51/548 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 15.8% #330/738 55th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 11.7% #301/738 59th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 11.5% #312/738 58th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.0% #471/738 36th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.9% #402/738 46th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 3.9% #527/738 29th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.8% #526/738 29th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g23.02.70.0
Road4g13.53.10.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins4g28.23.10.0
Losses5g11.22.60.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-75g26.03.20.0
Weeks 8+4g9.82.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

10Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Concern: long run (0th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Rec yards#286 / 338 · 16th pct
26rece
Carries#302 / 349 · 13th pct
53rush
Receptions#318 / 338 · 5th pct
2rece
Rush yards#336 / 349 · 4th pct
169rush
Rush TDs#326 / 349 · 3rd pct
0rush
Yards / carry#338 / 349 · 3rd pct
3.2rush
Long run#347 / 349 · 0th pct
11rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.06Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jalen JohnCoastal CarolinaJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 48% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 48% simTae MeadowsTroy· 48% sim
Fumbles lost
87
John
49
Brunson
49
Wright
49
Meadows
Rec yards
16
John
3
Brunson
10
Wright
38
Meadows
Carries
13
John
85
Brunson
92
Wright
84
Meadows
Receptions
5
John
2
Brunson
32
Wright
45
Meadows
Rush yards
4
John
80
Brunson
84
Wright
74
Meadows
Rush TDs
3
John
50
Brunson
62
Wright
72
Meadows
Yards / carry
3
John
41
Brunson
33
Wright
29
Meadows
Long run
0
John
73
Brunson
49
Wright
53
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jordan Nubin’s 2025 season.

Jordan Nubin

83%match

Kent State · 2025

#2

Jacqez Barksdale

Buffalo · 2024

71%
#3

Kalib Hicks

Oklahoma State · 2025

68%
#4

Avery Morrow

Colorado State · 2023

69%
#5

Kay'Ron Adams

Massachusetts · 2022

66%

Matches Jordan on

Class year
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight

Differs from Jordan on

EPA / carry (adj) (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Nubin's graduate season at Kent State (2025).

Jordan Nubin

84%match

Kent State · 2025

#2

Oscar Adaway III

South Carolina · 2025

65%
#3

D.J. Jones

Wyoming · 2024

64%
#4

Stone Earle

Marshall · 2024

60%
#5

Reggie Love III

Purdue · 2024

60%

Matches Jordan on

Class year
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tim Beck

Pass share

46.3%

399 pass / 463 run

Plays / game

66.3

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.2%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Jamey Chadwell
Coastal Carolina
2023
Tim Beck
Coastal Carolina
era →
2024
Tim Beck
Coastal Carolina
2025
Tim Beck
Coastal Carolina

Coaching transition mid-career: Jamey Chadwell → Tim Beck. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPortland, OR
Height5'11"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey21

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Massachusetts RB4 #261 #456 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents
2023 Massachusetts RB4 #3027 #3495 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents
2022 Arizona RB4 #3026 #3112 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 Arizona RB4 #1571 #2005 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt RB 4 No. 21 | 5-11 | 220 lb | Portland, OR
2024 Massachusetts FBS Independents RB 4 No. 21 | 5-11 | 220 lb | Portland, OR
2023 Massachusetts FBS Independents RB 4 No. 21 | 5-11 | 220 lb | Portland, OR
2022 Arizona Pac-12 RB 4 No. 21 | 5-11 | 220 lb | Portland, OR
2021 Arizona Pac-12 RB 4 No. 21 | 5-11 | 220 lb | Portland, OR