CFB Zeitgeist Score
93
Elite in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 93rd percentile.
Wayne Knight
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,373 RUSH YDS · 9 RUSH TD · 207 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to UCLA
RB · JAMES MADISON · SUN BELT
CFB Zeitgeist Score
93
Elite in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 93rd percentile.
Heisman Heat
#1374
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2022
James Madison · RB
—
2023
James Madison · RB
—
2025
James Madison · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025Sharp dropoff (-17262%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | James Madison -> UCLA | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 1,373.
✓ Hit 1,000-yard season · finished with 1,373.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Wayne Knight is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 1,373 rushing yards, 40 catches, and 268 return yards for James Madison. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 14 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-10vs Weber State | 7 | 89 | 12.7 | 1 | 59 | |
| Wk 2 | L 14-28@ Louisville | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 4 | W 31-13@ Liberty | 17 | 89 | 5.2 | 1 | 17 | |
| Wk 5 | W 35-10vs Georgia Southern | 19 | 151 | 7.9 | 1 | 40 | 151-yard day |
| Wk 6 | W 14-7@ Georgia State | 13 | 85 | 6.5 | 1 | 22 | |
| Wk 7 | W 24-14vs Louisiana | 20 | 111 | 5.6 | 0 | 49 | |
| Wk 8 | W 63-27vs Old Dominion | 12 | 74 | 6.2 | 1 | 34 | |
| Wk 10 | W 52-20@ Texas State | 13 | 48 | 3.7 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 11 | W 35-23@ Marshall | 14 | 87 | 6.2 | 1 | 30 | |
| Wk 12 | W 58-10vs App State | 16 | 94 | 5.9 | 1 | 41 | |
| Wk 13 | W 24-20vs Washington State | 15 | 126 | 8.4 | 1 | 58 | |
| Wk 14 | W 59-10@ Coastal Carolina | 18 | 85 | 4.7 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 15 | W 31-14vs Troy | 21 | 212 | 10.1 | 1 | 73 | Season-high 212 yds |
| Bowl | L 34-51@ Oregon | 17 | 110 | 6.5 | 0 | 49 | |
| Total | 207 | 1373 | 6.6 | 9 | 73 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | James Madison | 207 | 1,373 | 6.6 | 9 | -- |
| 2023 | James Madison | 4 | 23 | 5.8 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | James Madison | 5 | -8 | -1.6 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 216 | 1,388 | 6.4 | 9 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | James Madison | 40 | 397 | 9.9 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | James Madison | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | James Madison | 5 | 63 | 12.6 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 46 | 471 | 10.2 | 1 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 1,373 | #7/735 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 9 | #43/739 | 94th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.6 | #76/735 | 90th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 40 | #5/552 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 397 | #5/548 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.15 | #126/362 | 65th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 199 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 25.4% | #45/738 | 94th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 207 | #25/739 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 73 | #44/733 | 94th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 57 | #32/540 | 94th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 9.9 | #129/548 | 77th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 179 | #3/27 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 89 | #64/200 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 22.3 | #50/199 | 75th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt returns | 21 | #1/29 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 8.5 | #14/27 | 52nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 4 | #69/206 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 34.6% | #92/738 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 29.9% | #42/738 | 94th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 28.4% | #49/738 | 93rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 27.2% | #31/738 | 96th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 18.7% | #24/738 | 97th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 14.4% | #79/738 | 89th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 13.1% | #6/738 | 99th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/256 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 122 | 8.1 | 0.9 |
| Road7g | 73.7 | 5.0 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins12g | 104 | 6.9 | 0.8 |
| Losses2g | 61.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 92.4 | 6.7 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 104 | 6.5 | 0.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Elite: rec yards (98th). Strength: receptions (98th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tyler Badie’s 2021 season.
Tyler Badie
Raleek Brown
Jamal Haynes
Ismail Mahdi
Raheem Blackshear
Matches Tyler on
Differs from Tyler on
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jahiem White’s path through West Virginia.
Jahiem White
Seth Davis
Jermar Jefferson
Devon Achane
Raleek Brown
Matches Jahiem on
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Raleek Brown's senior season at Arizona State (2025).
Raleek Brown
Sutton Smith
Evan Pryor
OJ Arnold
Brashard Smith
Matches Raleek on
Differs from Raleek on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bob Chesney
Pass share
39.7%
385 pass / 584 run
Plays / game
69.2
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.8%
269 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
3 coachesPlayed under 3 different head coaches: Curt Cignetti, Damian Wroblewski, and Bob Chesney. Multi-era developmental context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM
All-Conf 1st team (2025)
All-Sun Belt
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | James Madison | Sun Belt | AP |
| 2025 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Sun Belt | RB |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | James Madison | RB3 | #1374 | #1184 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | James Madison | RB3 | #1263 | #1001 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2022 | James Madison | RB3 | #2653 | #2500 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | James Madison | Sun Belt | RB | 3 | No. 3 | 5-7 | 190 lb | Smyrna, DE |
| 2024 | James Madison | Sun Belt | RB | 3 | No. 3 | 5-7 | 190 lb | Smyrna, DE |
| 2023 | James Madison | Sun Belt | RB | 3 | No. 3 | 5-7 | 190 lb | Smyrna, DE |
| 2022 | James Madison | Sun Belt | RB | 3 | No. 3 | 5-7 | 190 lb | Smyrna, DE |