#17

Justin Tomlin

Junior quarterback for Georgia Southern. 2021: 977 passing yards, 2 TD, 9 INT.

QB · Georgia Southern · Jr. · #17

5′11″ · 190 lb · Decatur, GA

CFB Index 26 · #109 of 126 QBsHigh confidenceGeorgia Southern 2021 alumnus

The story

3 quarterback for Georgia Southern. 2021: 977 passing yards, 2 TD, 9 INT.

Signed as a 2-star recruit to Georgia Southern in 2018.

His career, year by year

Recruiting

2★

DUAL recruit

No. 2499 nationally · Signed with Georgia Southern

No college snaps yet.

His career numbers, season by season

How it ended

Four seasons at Georgia Southern, 1,300 passing yards — his college career is complete.

His career

He was on the field for 4 seasons. That is rarer than it sounds.

2018

Signed with Georgia Southern2-star out of Southwest DeKalb

2022

Entered the portal

Career arc

Recruit

★★

#2499 national

CFB

College

Georgia Southern

2018–2021

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Coaching lineage · 2018–2021

2 coaches

2018–2020

Chad Lunsford

Georgia Southern

2021

Kevin Whitley

Georgia Southern

era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Chad Lunsford → Kevin Whitley. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

2021 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2018Georgia Southern10-3HC: Chad Lunsford · Run-heavy, slow tempo

2019Georgia Southern7-6HC: Chad Lunsford · Run-heavy

2020Georgia Southern8-5HC: Chad Lunsford · Run-heavy

2021Georgia Southern3-9HC: Kevin Whitley · Run-heavy

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

26Below cohort / limited sample #109 of 126?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: interception rate (0th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Explosive rate#102 / 167 · 39th pct

8.8%

Sack rate#132 / 167 · 21st pct

8.0%

EPA / dropback#162 / 167 · 3rd pct

-0.03

Success rate#166 / 167 · 1st pct

33.6%

Interception rate#167 / 167 · 0th pct

5.6%

Box-score rates (8)

Fumbles lost#23 / 159 · 68th pct

Rush yards#56 / 169 · 67th pct

195

Rush TDs#77 / 169 · 47th pct

Yards / att#117 / 169 · 30th pct

6.8

Interceptions#124 / 169 · 23rd pct

Pass yards#132 / 169 · 22nd pct

977

Completion %#156 / 169 · 8th pct

51.7%

Pass TDs#164 / 169 · 2nd pct

Season trend

EPA / dropback— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Success rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Explosive rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Sack rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Interception rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

72/128 (56.2%) · 2 TD · 9 INT

128 of 143 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

3.77191 of 204 QBs

Sack rate

7.7%162 of 204 QBs

Sacked on 7.7% of dropbacks (162 of 204) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (191 of 204).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

49%of completions

35 comp4.6 yds avg

Middle

10–19 yds

28%of completions

20 comp13.2 yds avg1 TD

Deep

20+ yds

24%of completions

17 comp30.9 yds avg1 TD

Overall 56.2% completion on 128 attempts · 17 deep completions averaging 30.9 yds.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2021 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home4g	136	0.2	6.2	1.0
Road4g	108	0.2	6.1	1.2

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-75g	101	0.0	4.9	1.0
Weeks 8+3g	157	0.7	8.3	1.3

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Clay Helton

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2021

Part-time starter

Splitting first-team reps — starts some weeks, rotates others.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

26 · #109 of 126 QBs

Two-star recruit. Now #109 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2021	Georgia Southern	74	143	51.7%	977	6.8	2	9	101.2	43	--	--
2020	Georgia Southern	11	25	44.0%	161	6.4	0	3	74.1	--	--	--
2019	Georgia Southern	12	26	46.2%	162	6.2	0	0	98.5	--	--	--
2018	Georgia Southern	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Career		97	194	50.0%	1,300	6.7	2	12	97.3	43	--	--

Season	Team
2021	Georgia Southern	80	195	2.4	2	--
2020	Georgia Southern	38	197	5.2	1	--
2019	Georgia Southern	30	196	6.5	2	--
2018	Georgia Southern	1	-1	-1.0	0	--
Career		149	587	3.9	5	--

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 3 · Arkansas · 3&11 · Q2 · EPA +7.17Justin Tomlin run for 76 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)
Week 9 · Georgia State · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA -4.37J.Tomlin pass INTERCEPTED at GST 13. Intercepted by B.Carroll at GST 13. Tackled by GSO at GST 23. PENALTY on GSO-B.Miller, Illegal Blindside Block, 10 yards, accepted.
Week 9 · Georgia State · 4&1 · Q1 · EPA -4.21J.Tomlin rushed to GST 5 for -4 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 5.
Week 9 · Georgia State · 2&16 · Q2 · EPA +4.06J.Tomlin pass complete to GSO 37. Catch made by K.Hood at GSO 37. Gain of 46 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 17.
Week 9 · Georgia State · 2&10 · Q3 · EPA -3.92J.Tomlin pass INTERCEPTED at GST 1. Intercepted by C.Moore at GST 1. Tackled by GSO at GST 31.
Week 6 · Troy · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +3.49Justin Tomlin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 57 yds to the Troy 18 for a 1ST down
Week 10 · Coastal Carolina · 3&9 · Q2 · EPA +3.31Justin Tomlin pass complete to Amare Jones for 25 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST down
Week 9 · Georgia State · 3&6 · Q1 · EPA +3.19J.Tomlin pass complete to GSO 43. Catch made by A.Jones at GSO 43. Gain of 24 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 33.
Week 11 · Texas State · 2&10 · Q3 · EPA +3.15Justin Tomlin pass complete to Beau Johnson for 25 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
Week 4 · Louisiana · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +3.12Justin Tomlin pass complete to Logan Wright for 39 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2021 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 3	L 10-45@ Arkansas	11/23	65	0	0	2.8	14.6
Wk 4	L 20-28vs Louisiana	11/24	175	0	1	7.3	11.0
Wk 5	W 59-33vs Arkansas State	1/8	8	0	0	1.0	14.6
Wk 6	L 24-27@ Troy	15/22	210	0	3	9.5	17.4	3 INTs — rough day
Wk 7	L 14-41@ South Alabama	5/13	49	0	1	3.8	3.5
Wk 9	L 14-21vs Georgia State	18/27	279	1	2	10.3	37.6	Season-high 279 yds
Wk 10	L 8-28vs Coastal Carolina	6/13	83	0	1	6.4	7.1
Wk 11	W 38-30@ Texas State	7/13	108	1	1	8.3	4.3
Total		74/143	977	2	9	6.2	13.8

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

Justin Tomlin

2018

2022

2021 snapshot

Passing profile

Splits & context

Awards

Part-time starter

Career stats

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Scrambler

Players who play like Justin Tomlin