cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Timmy McClain /Arkansas State

Timmy McClain

QB · Arkansas State · Sr · #7

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSUCF 2023 alumnus

QB · ARKANSAS STATE · SUN BELT

Timmy McClain

  • 4
  • #7
  • 6-1 | 195 lb
  • Sanford, FL

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#1795

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2023
1,8882021
1,0652023

-44%

Sharp dropoff (-44%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1310 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey7
Measurements6-1 | 195 lb
HometownSanford, FL
Primary teamArkansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1310 recruit
Composite rating 0.8463 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Seminole Sanford, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8463 No. 1310 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Bethune-Cookman 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 28, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Arkansas State -> Bethune-Cookman 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2024 UCF -> Arkansas State 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate
2023 South Florida -> UCF 3-star | 0.8500 | PendingAppeal

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1795Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2094Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8463

#1310 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Timmy McClain

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Timmy McClain

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
250Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
125Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
1,625Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 250): needs 250/game over remaining 11.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 250): needs 340.9/game over remaining 11.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.3/game over remaining 11.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.2/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Timmy McClain's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Arkansas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1795 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 49.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 3 portal moves

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 1,065 9 TD | 3 INT | #140/382 (64th pct)
Completion rate 62.7% 64/102 completions | #169/383 (56th pct)
Yards/attempt 10.4 Explosiveness through the air | #30/382 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Vertical threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Vertical threat

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
64 58th
ATT
102 60th
CMP%
62.7% 56th
Y/A
10.4 92nd

Passing Production

YDS
1,065 64th
TD
9 71st
INT
3 43rd

Rushing

CAR
42 64th
YDS
104 67th
YPC
2.5 46th
TD
1 63rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1L 9-42@ Florida International18/28164005.9--Season-high 164 yds
Wk 2L 3-45@ Miami13/1686005.4--
Total31/44250005.7
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021South Florida2-10HC: Jeff Scott · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2023UCF6-7HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2023UCF6410262.7%1,06510.493173.7----
2021South Florida14526255.3%1,8887.257116.8----
Career2 loaded seasons20936457.4%2,9538.11410132.8----
SeasonTeam
2023UCF421042.51--
2021South Florida1232381.94--
Career2 loaded seasons1653422.15--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 104 1 rush TD | #134/408 (67th pct)
Usage 49.0% 82.0% pass share | 23.2% rush share | #92/428 (79th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.40 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #27/200 (87th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 1,065 #140/382 64th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 9 #117/407 71st pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 64 #161/383 58th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 62.7% #169/383 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 10.4 #30/382 92nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 104 #134/408 67th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.40 #27/200 87th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 257 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 49.0% #92/428 79th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 102 #163/407 60th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 3 #234/407 43rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 42 #149/408 64th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 22 #159/391 60th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 2.5 #222/407 46th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 82.0% #109/428 75th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 62.9% #93/428 79th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 57.9% #114/428 74th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 51.2% #67/428 85th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 43.9% #77/428 82nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 42.0% #99/428 77th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 23.2% #43/428 90th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.20 #93/140 34th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 96 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Road2g1250.05.70.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Losses2g1250.05.70.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-72g1250.05.70.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Butch Jones

Pass share

53.7%

506 pass / 437 run

Plays / game

72.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

367 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

1 coach
2021
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2023
Butch Jones
Arkansas State

Played his entire career under Butch Jones.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSanford, FL
Height6'1"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arkansas State QB4 #1795 #2094 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 UCF QB4 #169 #232 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2021 South Florida QB4 #578 #870 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Arkansas State Sun Belt QB 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Sanford, FL
2023 UCF Big 12 QB 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Sanford, FL
2021 South Florida American Athletic QB 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Sanford, FL