CFB Zeitgeist Score
25
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 98th percentile.
Kaden Cloud
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
22 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 3 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Air Force for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Air Force
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Air Force · Last season: 4-8 · 2026 recruiting class #129
RB · AIR FORCE · MOUNTAIN WEST
CFB Zeitgeist Score
25
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 98th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#3991
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterPart-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025Up 100% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8167 | No. 1925 recruit | HighSchool | Air Force |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Air Force
Composite
0.8167
#1925 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
To hit 750-yard season (currently 22): needs 72.8/game over remaining 10.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 22): needs 97.8/game over remaining 10.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 22): needs 147.8/game over remaining 10.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 10.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.5/game over remaining 10.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 10.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Kaden Cloud's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Air Force, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 49-13vs Bucknell | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 11 | Season-high 16 yds |
| Wk 3 | L 30-49@ Utah State | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 8 | W 24-21vs Wyoming | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Total | 3 | 22 | 7.0 | 0 | 11 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 22 | #598/735 | 19th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #447/739 | 40th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 7.3 | #45/735 | 94th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 2.8% | #651/738 | 12th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 11 | #546/733 | 26th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 3 | #640/739 | 14th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 14.0 | #151/199 | 25th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 14 | #171/200 | 15th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #139/206 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 4.3% | #588/738 | 20th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 3.6% | #518/738 | 30th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.9% | #318/738 | 57th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 2.9% | #574/738 | 22nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 2.8% | #697/738 | 6th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 2.8% | #649/738 | 12th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 1.6% | #692/738 | 6th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
| Road1g | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
| Losses1g | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 11.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+1g | — | — | — |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Elite: yards / carry (98th). Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Troy Calhoun
Pass share
20.0%
163 pass / 650 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
10.6%
151 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Troy Calhoun.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Team, conference, and class by season.