cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kaden Cloud /Air Force

Kaden Cloud

RB · Air Force · Sr · #27

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

22 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 3 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Air Force for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Air Force for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Air Force

Returning around him

  • 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (0 in / 4 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Air Force · Last season: 4-8 · 2026 recruiting class #129

RB · AIR FORCE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Kaden Cloud

  • 4
  • #27
  • 5-9 | 185 lb
  • Gilbert, AZ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

25

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3991

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
11.02023
22.02025

+100%

Up 100% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1925 national
CFB
College
Air Force
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey27
Measurements5-9 | 185 lb
HometownGilbert, AZ
Primary teamAir Force

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1925 recruit
Composite rating 0.8167 HighSchool
Signed with Air Force 2022
Origin Williams Field Gilbert, AZ, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8167 No. 1925 recruit | HighSchool | Air Force

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3991Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4334Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Air Force

Composite

0.8167

#1925 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kaden Cloud

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kaden Cloud

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
22Rush yards
3Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
7.3Rush yards
1Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
95.3Rush yards
13Carries
0Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 22): needs 72.8/game over remaining 10.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 22): needs 97.8/game over remaining 10.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 22): needs 147.8/game over remaining 10.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 10.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.5/game over remaining 10.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kaden Cloud's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Air Force, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3991 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 14 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 22 22 rush | -- rec | #598/735 (19th pct)
Rush TD 0 3 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry 7.3 Per-rush efficiency | #45/735 (94th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.

Efficient runner

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
3 14th
YDS
22 19th
YPC
7.3 94th
TD
0 40th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 49-13vs Bucknell2168.0011Season-high 16 yds
Wk 3L 30-49@ Utah State166.006
Wk 8W 24-21vs Wyoming
Total3227.0011
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Air Force9-4HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025Air Force4-8HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Air Force3227.30--
2023Air Force2115.50--
Career2 loaded seasons5336.60--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work -- -- rec yds
Usage 2.8% 2.8% rush share | #651/738 (12th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 22 #598/735 19th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 7.3 #45/735 94th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 2.8% #651/738 12th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 11 #546/733 26th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 3 #640/739 14th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 14.0 #151/199 25th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 14 #171/200 15th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 1 #139/206 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.3% #588/738 20th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.6% #518/738 30th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.9% #318/738 57th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 2.9% #574/738 22nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 2.8% #697/738 6th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 2.8% #649/738 12th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 1.6% #692/738 6th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home2g8.08.00.0
Road1g6.06.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins2g8.08.00.0
Losses1g6.06.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-72g11.07.00.0
Weeks 8+1g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

25Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / carry (98th). Concern: carries (0th).

Yards / carry#7 / 349 · 98th pct
7.3rush
Rush TDs#326 / 349 · 3rd pct
0rush
Long run#347 / 349 · 0th pct
11rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
22rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
3rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Kaden CloudAir ForceRashod DubinionApp State· 36% simKamari MoultonIowa· 36% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 33% sim
Yards / carry
98
Cloud
53
Dubinion
62
Moulton
71
Cobb
Rush TDs
3
Cloud
50
Dubinion
62
Moulton
62
Cobb
Long run
0
Cloud
39
Dubinion
33
Moulton
51
Cobb
Rush yards
0
Cloud
84
Dubinion
84
Moulton
88
Cobb
Carries
0
Cloud
87
Dubinion
86
Moulton
88
Cobb

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Troy Calhoun

Pass share

20.0%

163 pass / 650 run

Plays / game

67.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.6%

151 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Troy Calhoun
Air Force
2025
Troy Calhoun
Air Force

Played his entire career under Troy Calhoun.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGilbert, AZ
Height5'9"
Weight185 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey27

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Air Force RB4 #3991 #4334 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Air Force RB4 #2405 #2332 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Air Force Mountain West RB 4 No. 27 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Gilbert, AZ
2024 Air Force Mountain West RB 4 No. 27 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Gilbert, AZ
2023 Air Force Mountain West RB 4 No. 27 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Gilbert, AZ