CFB Zeitgeist WR Score
Awaiting
Mario Williams
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
WR · TULANE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Mario Williams
- 3
- #4
- 5-9 | 178 lb
- Tampa, FL
Heisman Heat
#367
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR02 · Deep reserve
Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2021
Oklahoma · WR
—
2022
USC · WR
—
2023
USC · WR
—
★
2024
Tulane · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2024+171%
Up 171% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4-star | 0.9801 | No. 43 recruit | HighSchool | Oklahoma |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Oklahoma
Composite
0.9801
#43 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Mario Williams
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Mario Williams
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Mario Williams already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2024 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2024 season snapshot | final
2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet | Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2024 Season · Final
2024 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
60 95th
YDS
1,031 99th
YPR
17.2 87th
TD
6 95th
Rushing
CAR
2 53rd
YDS
12 53rd
YPC
6.0 69th
TD
0 81st
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Oklahoma10-2HC: Bob Stoops · Balanced
2022USC11-3HC: Lincoln Riley · Balanced
2023USC8-5HC: Lincoln Riley · Pass-leaning, slow tempo
2024Tulane9-5HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 60 | #61/1110 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 1,031 | #16/1107 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 6 | #56/1111 | 95th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 17.2 | #141/1106 | 87th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 22.5% | #47/1137 | 96th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 13 | #134/346 | 62nd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 12 | #187/397 | 53rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.0 | #124/393 | 69th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 2 | #194/407 | 53rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 68 | #109/1105 | 90th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 10.3% | #220/1137 | 81st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 9.9% | #233/1137 | 80th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 9.4% | #113/1137 | 90th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 8.9% | #149/1137 | 87th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.3% | #134/1137 | 88th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 7.6% | #259/1137 | 77th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.5% | #284/1137 | 75th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jon Sumrall
Pass share
45.8%
424 pass / 501 run
Plays / game
66.1
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
3.4%
294 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024
3 coaches2021
Willie Fritz
Tulane
2022
Willie Fritz
Tulane
2023era →
Slade Nagle
Tulane
2024era →
Jon Sumrall
Tulane
Played under 3 different head coaches: Willie Fritz, Slade Nagle, and Jon Sumrall. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownTampa, FL
Height5'9"
Weight178 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey4
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTulane
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2024
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-AAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-AAC | all_conference | Tulane | AAC | WR |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Tulane | WR3 | #367 | #489 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | USC | WR3 | #1026 | #1053 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2022 | USC | WR3 | #192 | #178 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2021 | Oklahoma | WR3 | #427 | #363 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.