Nate Noel

Former running back at Missouri. 2024: 818 rushing yards, 3 rushing TD, 15 catches.

RB · Missouri · Sr. · #8

5′10″ · 190 lb · Miami, FL

CFB Index 50 · #124 of 310 RBsHigh confidenceMissouri 2024 — college career complete

Recruiting

3★

RB recruit

No. 1467 nationally · Signed with App State

Statement game12 car · 171 yds · 3 TDat Georgia Southern (FBS) · L 48-51

Top 1% rushing yards game since 2021.

His career numbers, season by season

The story

Former running back at Missouri. 2024: 818 rushing yards, 3 rushing TD, 15 catches.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to App State in 2020.
Transferred from App State to Missouri in 2024.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Five seasons at Missouri, 3,885 rushing yards, a first-team All-Conference season (2021) — his college career is complete.

His career

Nobody recruited him. He earned the honors anyway.

The week the volume broke through — put up 199 yds vs Vanderbilt.Vanderbilt · W 30-272024

20209 games

Signed with App State3-star out of Northwestern

202113 games

All-Sun Beltfirst

20229 games

All-Sun Belt

202411 games

Entered the portal

Career arc

Recruit

★★★

#1467 national

CFB

College

2 teams

2020–2024

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Trophy case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

5 honors · 1 category

🎖

ALL-SUN BELT

All-Sun Belt mention (2022)

Coaching lineage · 2020–2024

1 coach

2020–2024

Eli Drinkwitz

Missouri

Played his entire career under Eli Drinkwitz.

2024 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2020App State9-3HC: Shawn Clark · Run-heavy, fast tempo

2021App State10-4HC: Shawn Clark · Run-heavy, slow tempo

2022App State6-6HC: Shawn Clark · Run-leaning

2023App State9-5HC: Shawn Clark · Balanced

2024Missouri10-3HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

50Rotational starter #124 of 310?

High confidence12 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: carries (81st percentile). Concern: td rate (16th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Explosive rate#214 / 442 · 52nd pct

6.8%

Success rate#239 / 442 · 46th pct

44.2%

Yards / carry#255 / 442 · 42nd pct

5.0

EPA / carry#296 / 442 · 33rd pct

0.10

TD rate#372 / 442 · 16th pct

1.9%

Box-score rates (7)

Carries#61 / 335 · 81st pct

163

Rush yards#70 / 335 · 79th pct

818

Long run#87 / 335 · 73rd pct

Receptions#115 / 330 · 63rd pct

Yards / carry#158 / 335 · 51st pct

5.0

Rush TDs#186 / 335 · 38th pct

Rec yards#238 / 330 · 28th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / carry

29th → 33rd percentile

Success rate

11th → 46th percentile

Explosive rate

54th → 52nd percentile

Yards / carry

47th → 42nd percentile

TD rate

28th → 16th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Situational

Situational · Carry shape (PBP, full season)

Yardage DNA

162 carries

10%

Stuffed (≤0)

38%

Grind (1–3)

39%

Chunk (4–9)

13%

Explosive (10+)

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2024 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Home8g	67.9	4.7	0.2
Road3g	91.7	4.1	0.3

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Weeks 1-76g	80.8	4.9	0.3
Weeks 8+5g	66.6	4.1	0.2

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Eli Drinkwitz

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2024

Starter

A locked-in starting job.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

50 · #124 of 310 RBs

Three-star recruit. Now #124 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2024	Missouri	163	818	5.0	3	--
2023	App State	173	825	4.8	5	--
2022	App State	87	604	6.9	6	--
2021	App State	199	1,128	5.7	4	--
2020	App State	82	510	6.2	3	--
Career		704	3,885	5.5	21	--

Season	Team
2024	Missouri	15	44	2.9	--
2023	App State	16	86	5.4	--
2022	App State	24	145	6.0	--
2021	App State	8	16	2.0	--
2020	App State	2	25	12.5	--
Career		65	316	4.9	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 18 · 2024

W 27–24

vs Iowa

14 rush yds (6 car)

A wire-to-wire battle — won by 3 at home.

With B. Cook — 287 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT · QBR 86.5 · 54 rush yds (14 car) · L. Bauer — 44 AVG · 1 IN 20 · 62 LONG

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 4 · Vanderbilt · 3&2 · Q3 · EPA +4.83Nate Noel run for 64 yds to the VAN 3 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Vanderbilt · 2&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.97Nate Noel run for 32 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST down
Week 2 · Buffalo · 3&4 · Q3 · EPA +2.70Nate Noel run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)
Week 1 · Murray State · 1&9 · Q1 · EPA +2.42Nate Noel run for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)
Week 12 · South Carolina · 2&11 · Q1 · EPA +2.22Nate Noel run for 17 yds to the MIZ 41 for a 1ST down
Week 3 · Boston College · 2&10 · Q1 · EPA +2.20Nate Noel run for 13 yds to the MIZ 46 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Vanderbilt · 2&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.20Nate Noel run for 16 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST down
Week 12 · South Carolina · 2&1 · Q4 · EPA +1.90Nate Noel run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)
Week 6 · Texas A&M · 2&10 · Q3 · EPA +1.90Nate Noel run for 15 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST down
Week 1 · Murray State · 3&1 · Q2 · EPA +1.64Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2024 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	W 51-0vs Murray State	11	48	4.4	1	9
Wk 2	W 38-0vs Buffalo	12	73	6.1	1	12
Wk 3	W 27-21vs Boston College	22	121	5.5	0	24
Wk 4	W 30-27vs Vanderbilt	24	199	8.3	0	64	Season-high 199 yds
Wk 6	L 10-41@ Texas A&M	10	30	3.0	0	15
Wk 8	W 21-17vs Auburn	6	32	5.3	0	15
Wk 11	W 30-23vs Oklahoma	10	31	3.1	0	10
Wk 12	L 30-34@ South Carolina	27	150	5.6	1	23	150-yard day
Wk 13	W 39-20@ Mississippi State	25	95	3.8	0	15
Wk 14	W 28-21vs Arkansas	10	25	2.5	0	10
Bowl	W 27-24vs Iowa	6	14	2.3	0	4
Total		163	818	4.5	3	64

How he plays

Play style

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

CFB Index positional classification

Boom vs consistent · carry-yardage shape

Steady, not spectacular

~ our read

162Carries

814Yards

19.7%Top-5 share

10.5%Stuffed rate

Just 19.7% of his season rushing yards came on his 5 best carries — remarkably even — and he's stuffed on 10.5% of his carries. 6 carries for 14 yds vs Iowa; 24 for 199 vs Vanderbilt.

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

fact

4/38Inside-5 share

4 of the team's 38 inside-the-5 carries (10.5%).