cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Marquis Johnson /Missouri

Marquis Johnson

WR · Missouri · Jr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

345 REC YDS · 28 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Missouri → Mississippi State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Mississippi State

2025Missouri
2026Mississippi State

WR · MISSOURI · SEC

Marquis Johnson

  • 3
  • #2
  • 5-11 | 185 lb
  • Dickinson, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

44

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 42nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#643

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
3832023
3522024
3452025

-10%

Down 10% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#2895 national
CFB
College
Missouri
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#29 in market ▼ from #23 · 5 books

+35002.8% implied▲ tightened from +6600

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey2
Measurements5-11 | 185 lb
HometownDickinson, TX
Primary teamMissouri

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 478 recruit
Composite rating 0.8882 HighSchool
Signed with Missouri 2023
Origin Dickinson Dickinson, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8882 No. 478 recruit | HighSchool | Missouri
2017 2-star | 0.7744 No. 2895 recruit | HighSchool | Hudson Valley

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Mississippi State 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 4, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Missouri -> Mississippi State 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#643Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#642Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Missouri

Composite

0.8882

#478 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Marquis Johnson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Marquis Johnson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

12.3

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #271 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 49th

Why it matters

#271 of 531 All FBS WRs at 12.3 yards per reception (28 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 12.3 (49th)

MODERATE · n=28 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#302 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#356 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 1 vs Central Arkansas — 134 ypr

Result W 61-6

The week the volume broke through — put up 134 yds vs Central Arkansas.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
345Rec yards
28Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
38.3Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
498.3Rec yards
40Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 345): needs 88.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 345): needs 163.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 28): needs 8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 28): needs 13/game over remaining 4.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Marquis Johnson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Missouri, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #643 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load 71 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 28 2 rec TD | #303/1110 (73rd pct)
Receiving yards 345 12.3 per catch | #323/1107 (71st pct)
Scrimmage yards 345 Total offensive yardage | #323/1107 (71st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
28 73rd
YDS
345 71st
YPR
12.3 53rd
TD
2 75th

Returns

KR YDS
71 55th
KR AVG
23.7 80th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 61-6vs Central Arkansas513426.8149Season-high 134 yds
Wk 2W 42-31vs Kansas22110.5013
Wk 3W 52-10vs Louisiana2189.0111
Wk 4W 29-20vs South Carolina78011.4018
Wk 5W 42-6vs Massachusetts22211.0017
Wk 7L 24-27vs Alabama3268.7014
Wk 8W 23-17@ Auburn4266.5019
Wk 9L 10-17@ Vanderbilt3186.0012
Wk 14W 31-17@ Arkansas
Total2834511.2249
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Missouri11-2HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning
2024Missouri10-3HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2025Missouri8-5HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri2834512.32--
2024Missouri2535214.11--
2023Missouri1338329.53--
Career3 loaded seasons661,08016.46--
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri----71----
2024Missouri22380----
2023Missouri13147----
Career3 loaded seasons35598----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.7% 15.0% pass-game share | #247/1137 (78th pct)
Return yards 71 0 return TD | #107/238 (55th pct)
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 28 #303/1110 73rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 345 #323/1107 71st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.3 #517/1106 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 71 #107/238 55th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 15.0% #247/1137 78th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 49 #283/1105 74th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 23.7 #49/236 80th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 3 #108/243 56th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 8.3% #368/1137 68th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.2% #361/1137 68th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.7% #300/1137 74th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.4% #363/1137 68th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.1% #284/1137 75th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 5.7% #351/1137 69th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g3.550.212.90.3
Road3g2.314.76.20.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g3.143.012.50.3
Losses2g3.022.07.30.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.550.212.90.3
Weeks 8+3g2.314.76.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

44Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Long catch#248 / 558 · 55th pct
49rece
Receptions#303 / 558 · 44th pct
28rece
Rec yards#323 / 558 · 42nd pct
345rece
Yards / catch#317 / 558 · 42nd pct
12.3rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Marquis JohnsonMissouriRyan DavisUtah· 69% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 69% simAaron TurnerRice· 69% sim
Long catch
55
Johnson
67
Davis
56
Jr.
65
Turner
Receptions
44
Johnson
91
Davis
94
Jr.
92
Turner
Rec yards
42
Johnson
83
Davis
84
Jr.
48
Turner
Yards / catch
42
Johnson
36
Davis
28
Jr.
1
Turner
Rec TDs
42
Johnson
68
Davis
24
Jr.
68
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Mekhi Shaw’s 2023 season.

Mekhi Shaw

93%match

San Diego State · 2023

#2

Devaughn Cooper

Syracuse · 2022

88%
#3

Kendric Pryor

Wisconsin · 2021

87%
#4

Da'Wain Lofton

Virginia Tech · 2022

86%
#5

Preston Fox

West Virginia · 2023

84%

Matches Mekhi on

Height
TD rate
EPA / play (adj)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to DeVontres Dukes’s path through South Florida.

DeVontres Dukes

97%match

South Florida · 2020

#2

Kyre Duplessis

Delaware · 2025

97%
#3

Jordan Watkins

Ole Miss · 2024

NFL Rd 4
96%
#4

Rashod Bateman

Minnesota · 2020

All-Big TenNFL Rd 1 · Pk 27
96%
#5

Kobe Clark

Abilene Christian · 2022

95%

Matches DeVontres on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Landon Sides's junior season at North Texas (2025).

Landon Sides

83%match

North Texas · 2025

#2

Leroy Thomas

Western Michigan · 2023

80%
#3

Courtney Jackson

Syracuse · 2022

All-Sun Belt
79%
#4

Zion Steptoe

Tulsa · 2025

77%
#5

Braden Lenzy

Notre Dame · 2022

77%

Matches Landon on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Reception volume

Differs from Landon on

Recruiting rating (higher)
TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eli Drinkwitz

Pass share

39.6%

360 pass / 550 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2024
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2025
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri

Played his entire career under Eli Drinkwitz.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDickinson, TX
Height5'11"
Weight185 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Missouri WR3 #643 #642 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Missouri WR3 #348 #317 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Missouri SEC WR 3 No. 2 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Dickinson, TX
2024 Missouri SEC WR 3 No. 2 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Dickinson, TX
2023 Missouri SEC WR 3 No. 2 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Dickinson, TX