#18

Quin Smith

Senior wide receiver for Air Force. 2025: 15 catches, 358 receiving yards, 4 TD.

WR · Air Force · Sr. · #18

6′1″ · 200 lb · Adairsville, GA

CFB Index 37 · #331 of 485 WRsHigh confidenceReturning to Air Force for 2026

How he plays

Beats you over the top.

Explosive rate: 100th percentile.

The full scouting read

The numbers

358

receiving yards · 2025

15 catches · 4 TD · 23.9 per catch

Best game: 3 rec, 110 yds, 1 TD, vs Hawai'i

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 wide receiver for Air Force. 2025: 15 catches, 358 receiving yards, 4 TD.

His career, year by year

Quin Smith

WR · Air Force · Sr · #18

Beats you over the top. He has spent three seasons in the Air Force receiving corps. One game to point at: 110 rec yds, 3 receptions against Hawai'i — Week 5, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
seasons on the roster
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

3 seasons under Troy Calhoun — 18-19 over that span.

2023Air Force9-4HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy, slow tempo

2024Air Force5-7HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy

2025Air Force4-8HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

37Below cohort / limited sample #331 of 485?

High confidence12 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: explosive rate (100th percentile). Strength: yards / catch (100th percentile). Concern: catch rate (19th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Explosive rate#3 / 798 · 100th pct

33.3%

Yards / catch#4 / 798 · 100th pct

24.7

EPA / target#8 / 798 · 99th pct

1.07

TD rate#9 / 798 · 99th pct

12.5%

Catch rate#644 / 798 · 19th pct

58.3%

Box-score rates (7)

Yards / catch#4 / 558 · 99th pct

23.9

Rec TDs#152 / 558 · 68th pct

Long catch#217 / 558 · 60th pct

Rec yards#314 / 558 · 44th pct

358

Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct

Receptions#484 / 558 · 12th pct

Rush yards#280 / 287 · 3rd pct

-9

Season trend

EPA / target— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Catch rate— first qualifying season

TD rate— first qualifying season

Yards / catch— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Situational

Situational · Share of own targets (PBP, 2025)

Third-down role

33%8 of his 24 targets came on third down · Receiver median is 24%

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home5g	1.6	46.2	28.6	0.6
Road5g	1.4	25.4	16.6	0.2

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-75g	2.0	55.0	27.2	0.6
Weeks 8+5g	1.0	16.6	15.4	0.2

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Troy Calhoun

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

Rotational

Earning real snaps in the rotation without a starting job.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

37 · #331 of 485 WRs

2026 outlook

Outside shot for All-Mountain West

Based on 2025: #22 of 41 Mountain West WRs

How the All-Mountain West estimate is computed

15% estimated, 95% confidence interval 13–17%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Air Force	15	358	23.9	4	--
2024	Air Force	10	207	20.7	1	--
2023	Air Force	1	10	10.0	0	--
Career		26	575	22.1	5	--

Season	Team
2025	Air Force	1	-9	--	--	--
2024	Air Force	--	--	--	--	--
2023	Air Force	--	--	--	--	--
Career		1	-9	--	--	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2025

W 49–13

vs Bucknell

1 rec · 40 yds · 1 TD

Dominant 36-point win at home against Bucknell.

With C. Harris — 66 rush yds (8 car) · 2 TD · J. Johnson — 112 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT · QBR 80.1 · 5 rush yds (3 car)

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 5 · Hawai'i · 2&11 · Q3 · EPA +3.70Liam Szarka pass complete to Quin Smith for 52 yds to the HAW 11 for a 1ST down
Week 5 · Hawai'i · 3&21 · Q4 · EPA +3.47Liam Szarka pass complete to Quin Smith for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
Week 1 · Bucknell · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +3.19Josh Johnson pass complete to Quin Smith for 40 yds for a TD (Jacob Medina KICK)
Week 6 · Navy · 3&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.17Liam Szarka pass complete to Quin Smith for 15 yds to the NAVY 44 for a 1ST down
Week 11 · San José State · 3&9 · Q4 · EPA +3.09(09:15) #9 L.Szarka pass complete short right to #18 Q.Smith caught at SJSU02, for 12 yards to the SJSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:11, 1ST DOWN #96 R.Tubbs kick attempt good (H: #97 L.Freer, LS: #49 K.Chesney)
Week 14 · Colorado State · 2&8 · Q4 · EPA +2.96(15:00) #11 J.Johnson pass complete deep middle to #18 Q.Smith caught at CSU40, for 27 yards to the CSU39 (#13 J.Jarmolowich), 1ST DOWN. #18 Q.Smith injured on the play
Week 5 · Hawai'i · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +2.94Liam Szarka pass complete to Quin Smith for 34 yds for a TD (Jacob Medina KICK)
Week 4 · Boise State · 3&14 · Q4 · EPA +2.71Liam Szarka pass complete to Quin Smith for 21 yds to the AF 42 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Boise State · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +2.53Liam Szarka pass complete to Quin Smith for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
Week 13 · New Mexico · 2&6 · Q1 · EPA -2.48(06:42) #18 Q.Smith rush right for 9 yards loss to the AF40 (#94 J.Mciver; #18 C.Coleman)

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	W 49-13vs Bucknell	1	40	40.0	1	40
Wk 3	L 30-49@ Utah State	2	45	22.5	0	32
Wk 4	L 37-49vs Boise State	3	65	21.7	1	32
Wk 5	L 35-44vs Hawai'i	3	110	36.7	1	52	Season-high 110 yds
Wk 6	L 31-34@ Navy	1	15	15.0	0	15
Wk 10	L 17-20vs Army	1	16	16.0	0	16
Wk 11	W 26-16@ San José State	1	12	12.0	1	12
Wk 12	L 16-26@ UConn	1	12	12.0	0	12
Wk 13	L 3-20vs New Mexico	—	—	—	—	—
Wk 14	W 42-21@ Colorado State	2	43	21.5	0	27
Total		15	358	21.9	4	52