cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Andrel Anthony Jr. /Duke

Andrel Anthony Jr.

WR · Duke · Sr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

246 REC YDS · 26 REC · 5 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Duke for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Duke for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Duke

Returning around him

  • 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 3 Duke players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (19 in / 17 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Duke · Last season: 9-5 · Talent rank #58 · 2026 recruiting class #30

WR · DUKE · ACC

Andrel Anthony Jr.

  • 4
  • #1
  • 6-1 | 186 lb
  • Lansing, MI

CFB Zeitgeist Score

37

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 78th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1971

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
2482021
80.02022
4292023
4.02024
2462025

-1%

Down 1% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements6-1 | 186 lb
HometownLansing, MI
Primary teamDuke

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1971Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1885Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Andrel Anthony Jr.

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Penn State’s wild offseason takes center stage as James Franklin’s move to Virgi"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Greetings, Looking to make a little money on the side? Rehearsals are being held"Rivals
  • Own fans · n=2
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Andrel Anthony Jr.

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

5

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #98 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 82nd

Why it matters

#98 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 5 TDs on 26 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 5 (82th)

MODERATE · n=26 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#443 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#449 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 2 vs Illinois — 2 receiving_tds

Result L 19-45

The week the volume broke through — stacked 2 td vs Illinois.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
246Rec yards
26Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
27.3Rec yards
3Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
355.3Rec yards
38Receptions
7Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 246): needs 113.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 246): needs 188.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 26): needs 8.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 26): needs 13.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 0.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 1.2/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Andrel Anthony Jr.'s story is about how role and output meet each other. For Duke, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1971 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 26 5 rec TD | #335/1110 (70th pct)
Receiving yards 246 9.5 per catch | #409/1107 (63rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 246 Total offensive yardage | #409/1107 (63rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
26 70th
YDS
246 63rd
YPR
9.5 28th
TD
5 91st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-17vs Elon35117.0127
Wk 2L 19-45vs Illinois55811.6235Season-high 58 yds
Wk 3L 27-34@ Tulane2126.007
Wk 5W 38-3@ Syracuse166.006
Wk 6W 45-21@ California4297.3015
Wk 8L 18-27vs Georgia Tech2168.0014
Wk 10W 46-45@ Clemson44511.3120
Wk 11L 34-37@ UConn4215.3110
Wk 12L 17-34vs Virginia188.008
Total262468.9535
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Michigan12-1HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-leaning
2022Michigan13-1HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy
2023Oklahoma10-3HC: Brent Venables · Balanced
2024Oklahoma6-7HC: Brent Venables · Run-leaning
2025Duke9-5HC: Manny Diaz · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Duke262469.55--
2024Oklahoma144.00--
2023Oklahoma2742915.91--
2022Michigan78011.40--
2021Michigan1224820.73--
Career5 loaded seasons731,00713.89--
SeasonTeam
2025Duke----------
2024Oklahoma----------
2023Oklahoma----------
2022Michigan1-2------
2021Michigan1621----
Career5 loaded seasons2421----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.4% 9.4% pass-game share | #516/1137 (55th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #96/1111 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 26 #335/1110 70th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 246 #409/1107 63rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #96/1111 91st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 9.5 #792/1106 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 9.4% #516/1137 55th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 35 #527/1105 52nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 6.4% #286/1137 75th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.2% #277/1137 76th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.4% #442/1137 61st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.7% #665/1137 42nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.6% #563/1137 51st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 3.8% #828/1137 27th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g2.833.211.20.8
Road5g3.022.67.20.4

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g3.032.810.40.5
Losses5g2.823.07.80.6

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.031.29.60.6
Weeks 8+4g2.822.58.20.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

37Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: yards / catch (13th).

Rec TDs#96 / 558 · 78th pct
5rece
Receptions#335 / 558 · 39th pct
26rece
Rec yards#409 / 558 · 27th pct
246rece
Long catch#436 / 558 · 21st pct
35rece
Yards / catch#483 / 558 · 13th pct
9.5rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Andrel Anthony Jr.DukeAaron TurnerRice· 67% simAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 63% simDonovan FaupelNew Mexico State· 61% sim
Rec TDs
78
Jr.
68
Turner
78
Waseem
92
Faupel
Receptions
39
Jr.
92
Turner
96
Waseem
90
Faupel
Rec yards
27
Jr.
48
Turner
84
Waseem
79
Faupel
Long catch
21
Jr.
65
Turner
42
Waseem
65
Faupel
Yards / catch
13
Jr.
1
Turner
21
Waseem
24
Faupel

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jaylen Johnson’s 2022 season.

Jaylen Johnson

79%match

East Carolina · 2022

#2

Karmello English

Coastal Carolina · 2025

77%
#3

Marcell Barbee

Texas State · 2020

All-Sun Belt
71%
#4

TJ Graham

Texas State · 2021

76%
#5

Charlie Jones

Iowa · 2021

NFL Rd 4
75%

Matches Jaylen on

Total EPA (college ability)
Height
Weight

Differs from Jaylen on

TD rate (higher)
Class year (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Joshua Derry’s path through Monmouth.

Joshua Derry

99%match

Monmouth · 2025

#2

Dillon Stoner

Oklahoma State · 2020

99%
#3

Chris Olave

Ohio State · 2021

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 11
98%
#4

Derek Wright

Utah State · 2021

97%
#5

Josh Palmer

Tennessee · 2020

97%

Matches Joshua on

Yards per reception

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Micah Davis's graduate season at Southern Miss (2025).

Micah Davis

57%match

Southern Miss · 2025

#2

Jacob Gill

Iowa · 2025

50%
#3

Sahmir Hagans

Duke · 2025

All-ACC
49%
#4

Cash Jones

Georgia · 2025

49%
#5

Tyson Mobley

Liberty · 2024

48%

Matches Micah on

Height
Weight
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Micah on

Yards / reception (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Manny Diaz

Pass share

53.3%

506 pass / 444 run

Plays / game

67.9

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.7%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

4 coaches
2021
David Cutcliffe
Duke
2022
Mike Elko
Duke
era →
2023
Trooper Taylor
Duke
era →
2024
Manny Diaz
Duke
era →
2025
Manny Diaz
Duke

Played under 4 different head coaches: David Cutcliffe, Mike Elko, Trooper Taylor, and Manny Diaz. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLansing, MI
Height6'1"
Weight186 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oklahoma WR4 #1971 #1885 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Oklahoma WR4 #659 #556 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Michigan WR4 #1047 #688 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Michigan WR4 #543 #426 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Duke ACC WR 4 No. 1 | 6-1 | 186 lb | Lansing, MI
2024 Oklahoma SEC WR 4 No. 1 | 6-1 | 186 lb | Lansing, MI
2023 Oklahoma Big 12 WR 4 No. 1 | 6-1 | 186 lb | Lansing, MI
2022 Michigan Big Ten WR 4 No. 1 | 6-1 | 186 lb | Lansing, MI
2021 Michigan Big Ten WR 4 No. 1 | 6-1 | 186 lb | Lansing, MI