CFB Zeitgeist Score
32
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 42nd percentile.
Keenan Jackson
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
281 REC YDS · 28 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to NC State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · NC State
Returning around him
- 95% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 2 NC State players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -2 net (20 in / 22 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
NC State · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #45 · 2026 recruiting class #34
WR · NC STATE · ACC
Keenan Jackson
- 2
- #8
- 6-3 | 200 lb
- Waxhaw, NC
Heisman Heat
#3739
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
NC State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8758 | No. 745 recruit | HighSchool |
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8517 | No. 1515 recruit | HighSchool | Central Arkansas |
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8417 | No. 1638 recruit | HighSchool | NC State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Central Arkansas
Composite
0.8517
#1515 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Keenan Jackson
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Keenan Jackson
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
2
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #302 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 43rd
Why it matters
#302 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 2 TDs on 28 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 2 (43th)
MODERATE · n=28 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Yards per reception#419 / 531
- Receiving yards (total)#408 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 3 at Wake Forest — 1 receiving_tds
Result W 34-24
The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Wake Forest.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
281Rec yards
28Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
23.4Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
304.4Rec yards
30Receptions
2Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 281): needs 419/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 281): needs 719/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 28): needs 32/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 28): needs 52/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Keenan Jackson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For NC State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
28 73rd
YDS
281 67th
YPR
10.0 33rd
TD
2 75th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 24-17vs East Carolina | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 2 | W 35-31vs Virginia | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 3 | W 34-24@ Wake Forest | 3 | 46 | 15.3 | 1 | 19 | Season-high 46 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 33-45@ Duke | 4 | 27 | 6.8 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 5 | L 21-23vs Virginia Tech | 5 | 35 | 7.0 | 1 | 13 | |
| Wk 6 | W 56-10vs Campbell | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | 0 | 33 | |
| Wk 7 | L 7-36@ Notre Dame | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 9 | L 34-53@ Pittsburgh | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 12 | L 7-41@ Miami | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 13 | W 21-11vs Florida State | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 14 | W 42-19vs North Carolina | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Bowl | W 31-7vs Memphis | 1 | 23 | 23.0 | 0 | 23 | |
| Total | 28 | 281 | 11.0 | 2 | 33 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025NC State8-5HC: Dave Doeren · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NC State | 28 | 281 | 10.0 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 28 | 281 | 10.0 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 28 | #303/1110 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 281 | #369/1107 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 10.0 | #746/1106 | 33rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.0% | #443/1137 | 61st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 33 | #568/1105 | 49th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.3% | #437/1137 | 62nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.0% | #458/1137 | 60th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 6.1% | #386/1137 | 66th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 5.5% | #423/1137 | 63rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 4.7% | #461/1137 | 60th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 4.6% | #440/1137 | 61st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 2.1 | 22.7 | 12.5 | 0.1 |
| Road5g | 2.6 | 24.4 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 1.9 | 24.3 | 13.7 | 0.1 |
| Losses5g | 3.0 | 22.2 | 7.2 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 2.6 | 29.6 | 13.3 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 1.8 | 11.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
32Below cohort
Concern: yards / catch (16th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Keenan JacksonNC StateMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 72% simAaron TurnerRice· 66% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 64% sim
Receptions
Rec TDs
Rec yards
Long catch
Yards / catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Shamar Porter’s 2025 season.
Shamar Porter
81%match
#2
Darryl Jones
79%
#3
Lawrence Arnold
78%
#4
Montana Lemonious-Craig
77%
#5
DJ Black
76%
Matches Shamar on
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Differs from Shamar on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Weight (lower)
Reception volume (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Marshel Martin’s path through Sacramento State.
Marshel Martin
99%match
#2
Devin Young
98%
#3
Austin Williams
96%
#4
Karim Page
96%
#5
Treyvhon Saunders
93%
Matches Marshel on
Yards per reception
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Xavier Daisy's sophomore season at UAB (2025).
Xavier Daisy
80%match
#2
Chance Luper
77%
#3
Sam Mbake
77%
#4
Antonio Harmon
75%
#5
Roman Mothershed
75%
Matches Xavier on
TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Dave Doeren
Pass share
49.7%
411 pass / 416 run
Plays / game
63.6
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.5%
307 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Dave Doeren
NC State
Played his entire career under Dave Doeren.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownWaxhaw, NC
Height6'3"
Weight200 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey8
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNC State
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | NC State | WR2 | #3739 | #3817 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.