Sahmir Hagans

Senior wide receiver for Duke. 2025: 44 catches, 512 receiving yards, 6 TD.

WR · Duke · Sr. · #2

5′10″ · 190 lb · Philadelphia, PA

CFB Index 53 · #192 of 485 WRsHigh confidenceReturning to Duke for 2026

How he plays

Moves the chains on third down.

TD rate: 90th percentile.

The full scouting read

The numbers

512

receiving yards · 2025

44 catches · 6 TD · 11.6 per catch

Backed by 9 rec · 139 yds · 1 TD -- top 1% catches game.

Swing playSwung Duke from 18% to 41% to win.Duke at Clemson · 46-45

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 wide receiver for Duke. 2025: 44 catches, 512 receiving yards, 6 TD.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Duke in 2021.

His career, year by year

Sahmir Hagans

WR · Duke · Sr · #2

Moves the chains on third down. Sahmir Hagans has played for four head coaches in five seasons at Duke. 2025 brought the first one: All-ACC. One game to point at: 69 rec yds, 5 receptions against Georgia Tech — Week 8, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
head-coach lineage
recognition record
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2021Duke3-9HC: David Cutcliffe · Run-leaning, fast tempo

2022Duke9-4HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning

2023Duke8-5HC: Trooper Taylor · Run-leaning, slow tempo

2024Duke9-4HC: Manny Diaz · Pass-leaning

2025Duke9-5HC: Manny Diaz · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

53Rotational starter #192 of 485?

High confidence11 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: td rate (90th percentile). Strength: rec tds (87th percentile). Concern: long catch (21st percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

TD rate#79 / 798 · 90th pct

6.7%

Explosive rate#318 / 798 · 60th pct

11.7%

EPA / target#359 / 798 · 55th pct

0.45

Catch rate#425 / 798 · 45th pct

66.7%

Yards / catch#514 / 798 · 36th pct

10.4

Box-score rates (6)

Rec TDs#56 / 558 · 87th pct

Receptions#153 / 558 · 72nd pct

Rec yards#212 / 558 · 62nd pct

512

Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct

Yards / catch#361 / 558 · 35th pct

11.6

Long catch#436 / 558 · 21st pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / target

16th → 55th percentile

Explosive rate

17th → 60th percentile

Catch rate

16th → 45th percentile

TD rate

46th → 90th percentile

Yards / catch

18th → 36th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Situational

Situational · Share of own targets (PBP, 2025)

Third-down role

32%19 of his 60 targets came on third down · Receiver median is 24%

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home7g	3.6	46.9	16.2	0.7
Road7g	2.7	26.3	11.7	0.1

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-77g	3.7	41.9	13.5	0.6
Weeks 8+7g	2.6	31.3	14.4	0.3

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Manny Diaz

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

Rotational

Earning real snaps in the rotation without a starting job.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

53 · #192 of 485 WRs

Three-star recruit. Now #192 at the position.

2026 outlook

Outside shot for All-ACC

Based on 2025: #31 of 64 ACC WRs

How the All-ACC estimate is computed

15% estimated, 95% confidence interval 13–17%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

One of 41 return threats in 2025. See the others ›

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Duke	44	512	11.6	6	--
2024	Duke	47	413	8.8	3	--
2023	Duke	30	260	8.7	0	--
2022	Duke	31	400	12.9	5	--
2021	Duke	1	5	5.0	0	--
Career		153	1,590	10.4	14	--

Season	Team
2025	Duke	--	--	467	--	--
2024	Duke	--	--	126	--	--
2023	Duke	--	--	--	7	--
2022	Duke	--	--	40	146	1
2021	Duke	--	--	109	--	--
Career		--	--	742	153	1

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 15 · 2025

W 27–20

at Virginia

2 rec · 31 yds

A wire-to-wire battle — won by 7 on the road.

With D. Mensah — 196 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT · QBR 82.1 · K. Reynoldson — 46 AVG · 3 IN 20 · 47 LONG

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 15 · Virginia · 3&14 · Q2 · EPA +3.95Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete deep left to #2 S.Hagans caught at UVA 20, for 35 yards to the UVA 18, out of bounds at UVA 18, 1ST DOWN
Week 3 · Tulane · 2&14 · Q2 · EPA +3.65Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 29 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
Week 1 · Elon · 2&15 · Q3 · EPA +3.10Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 15 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
Week 13 · North Carolina · 4&7 · Q4 · EPA +2.96(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #2 S.Hagans caught at UNC34, for 8 yards to the UNC34 (#18 J.Patterson), 1ST DOWN
Week 13 · North Carolina · 3&6 · Q2 · EPA +2.93(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete deep left to #2 S.Hagans caught at UNC32, for 22 yards to the UNC31, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
Week 4 · NC State · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +2.90Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 33 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
Week 14 · Wake Forest · 2&5 · Q3 · EPA +2.89(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete deep left to #2 S.Hagans caught at WAKE00, for 30 yards to the WAKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:45, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Pelino kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #57 C.Cooper)
Week 8 · Georgia Tech · 4&5 · Q1 · EPA +2.79Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 12 yds to the GT 29 for a 1ST down
Week 1 · Elon · 2&6 · Q4 · EPA +2.53Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 6 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
Week 8 · Georgia Tech · 2&20 · Q4 · EPA +2.45Darian Mensah pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 24 yds to the DUKE 39 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	W 45-17vs Elon	5	54	10.8	2	21	2 TD catches
Wk 2	L 19-45vs Illinois	3	33	11.0	0	24
Wk 3	L 27-34@ Tulane	1	29	29.0	1	29
Wk 4	W 45-33vs NC State	3	63	21.0	1	33
Wk 5	W 38-3@ Syracuse	5	59	11.8	0	23
Wk 6	W 45-21@ California	3	10	3.3	0	4
Wk 8	L 18-27vs Georgia Tech	5	69	13.8	1	24	Season-high 69 yds
Wk 10	W 46-45@ Clemson	3	2	0.7	0	3
Wk 11	L 34-37@ UConn	2	23	11.5	0	17
Wk 12	L 17-34vs Virginia	1	35	35.0	0	35
Wk 13	W 32-25@ North Carolina	3	30	10.0	0	22
Wk 14	W 49-32vs Wake Forest	2	29	14.5	1	30
Wk 15	W 27-20@ Virginia	2	31	15.5	0	35
Bowl	W 42-39vs Arizona State	6	45	7.5	0	9
Total		44	512	14.0	6	35

How he plays

Play style

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

CFB Index positional classification

Money down · 3rd-down role

Catch rate says one thing, EPA says another

checked · no story

4/193rd-down conversions

0.313rd-down EPA/target

0.58Other-downs EPA/target

9 of 19 caught on third down (47.4%) — EPA/target 0.31 vs 0.58 elsewhere (4 conversions).

Catch rate is disclosed context only, never the gate — conversions and EPA/target are. Interception targets carry no attribution row at any source, so EPA/target here is unfixably, slightly inflated.

2026 Outlook

Duke

Preseason read · May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Duke

Returning around him