Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 21-17vs UAlbany | 14 | 46 | 3.3 | 0 | 6 | Season-high 46 yds |
| Wk 2 | L 20-33@ Florida International | 9 | 34 | 3.8 | 0 | 17 | |
| Total | 23 | 80 | 3.5 | 0 | 17 |
#25
Terrance Shelton Jr.
Junior running back for Buffalo. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
5′11″ · 213 lb · Franklin, WI
CFB Index 36 · #263 of 326 RBsHigh confidenceReturning to Buffalo for 2026
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
80
rushing yards · 2026
3.5 per carry · 4 catches
2 games into 2026 so far -- Best game: 46 rush yds, 11 rec yds, vs UAlbany
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
3 running back for Buffalo. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
- Signed as a 3-star recruit to Buffalo in 2024.
Terrance Shelton Jr.
Does a little of everything without one standout trait. Terrance Shelton Jr. has been at Buffalo through two head coaches in three seasons. The receipt: 46 rush yds, 11 rec yds against UAlbany — Week 1, 2026.
80 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 23 CARRIES
Low coverage — composed from the verified record.
- season totals
- positional archetype classification
- head-coach lineage
- game log
His career
He was on the field for 3 seasons. That is rarer than it sounds.
202412 games
- Signed with Buffalo3-star out of Franklin
Career arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Buffalo
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Coaching lineage · 2024–2026
2 coaches2024
Buffalo
Coaching transition mid-career: Maurice Linguist → Pete Lembo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
2026 snapshot
Season context · Team result + system
2024Buffalo9-4HC: Maurice Linguist · Run-heavy
2025Buffalo5-7HC: Pete Lembo · Balanced
2026Buffalo1-1HC: Pete Lembo · Pass-leaning
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Box-score percentiles
High confidence
Concern: rush yards (0th percentile).
Box-score rates (7)
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Splits & context
Splits
Per-game splits
Through 2 games: 40.0 YDS/g, 3.5 YPC, 0.0 TD/g — splits start at 3 games.
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Pete Lembo
Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
Backup
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Recognition
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
2026 outlook
Outside shot for All-MAC
Based on 2025: #20 of 30 Mid-American RBs
How the All-MAC estimate is computed
22% estimated, 95% confidence interval 19–25%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.
Career stats
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2026
W 21–17
vs UAlbany
Game log
How he plays
Play style
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
CFB Index positional classification
2026 Outlook
Buffalo
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Buffalo
Returning around him
- -1% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 1 Buffalo player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +0 net (16 in / 16 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Buffalo · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #120 · 2026 recruiting class #101
DNA match
Player DNA
Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Owen Allen’s 2024 season.
Matches Owen on
Weight
Rush TD rate
Yards / carry
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Gerrid Doaks’s path through Cincinnati.
94%match
All-AACNFL Rd 7
Matches Gerrid on
Yards per carry
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Nolan Ray's sophomore season at Maryland (2024).
Matches Nolan on
EPA / carry (adj)
Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Player DNA
Players who play like Terrance Shelton Jr.
The backfield · Buffalo
- #25Terrance Shelton Jr.244 rushing yards · 2025
- #24James McNeil Jr.67 rushing yards · 2025
- #4Messiah Burch41 rushing yards · 2025
- #21Devare Mathis1 game · 2025
- Nino Hill1 game · 2026
1 more on the roster · Buffalo team page
Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology