cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Thailand Baldwin /Charlotte

Thailand Baldwin

DB · Charlotte · Sr · #16

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

20 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Charlotte for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Charlotte for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Charlotte

Returning around him

  • 24% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (19 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Charlotte · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #108 · 2026 recruiting class #135

DB · CHARLOTTE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Thailand Baldwin

  • 4
  • #16
  • 5-11 | 180 lb
  • Hampton, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

37

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15512

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2085 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey16
Measurements5-11 | 180 lb
HometownHampton, VA
Primary teamCharlotte

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2085 recruit
Composite rating 0.8167 HighSchool
Signed with Ball State 2021
Origin Life Christian Academy Colonial Heights, VA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8167 No. 2085 recruit | HighSchool | Ball State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15512Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15600Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Ball State

Composite

0.8167

#2085 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Thailand Baldwin

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Thailand Baldwin

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
20Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
29Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 20): needs 15/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 20): needs 20/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Thailand Baldwin is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Charlotte's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15512 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 20 17 solo | #1998/4942 (60th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
20 60th
SOLO
17 73rd
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 11-34vs App State320.00.01
Wk 2L 3-20vs North Carolina110.00.00
Wk 3W 42-35vs Monmouth220.00.00
Wk 8L 14-49vs Temple000.00.01
Wk 9L 20-54vs North Texas220.00.00
Wk 11L 22-48@ East Carolina330.00.00
Wk 12L 7-28vs UTSA650.00.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 13L 3-35@ Georgia220.00.02
Wk 14L 0-27@ Tulane100.00.00
Total20170.00.04
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Ball State4-8HC: Mike Neu · Run-heavy
2025Charlotte1-11HC: Tim Albin · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Charlotte20170.00.04----
2023Ball State30250.00.05----
Career2 loaded seasons50420.00.09----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 20 #1998/4942 60th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 17 #1252/4584 73rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.30.00.00.3
Road3g2.00.00.00.7

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins1g2.00.00.00.0
Losses8g2.20.00.00.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-73g2.00.00.00.3
Weeks 8+6g2.30.00.00.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

37Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (85th). Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Solo tackles#1252 / 2975 · 56th pct
17defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles#1998 / 2975 · 32nd pct
20defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Thailand BaldwinCharlotteTyler MartinMassachusetts· 65% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 65% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 64% sim
Passes defended
86
Baldwin
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
Solo tackles
56
Baldwin
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
Forced fumbles
47
Baldwin
47
Martin
47
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Tackles
32
Baldwin
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
Sacks
24
Baldwin
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Baldwin
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson
Tackles for loss
7
Baldwin
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Brian Blades’s 2025 season.

Brian Blades

88%match

Florida International · 2025

#2

Caine Savage

Nevada · 2024

87%
#3

Lance Robinson

Tulane · 2022

87%
#4

Linwood Crump

New Mexico State · 2022

86%
#5

Gavin Holmes

Wake Forest · 2021

86%

Matches Brian on

Class year
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kalon Gervin's junior season at Kansas (2022).

Kalon Gervin

91%match

Kansas · 2022

#2

Lance Robinson

Tulane · 2022

89%
#3

Toriano Pride

Missouri · 2024

89%
#4

Jyren Ester

UL Monroe · 2025

87%
#5

Daryl Porter Jr.

Miami · 2023

87%

Matches Kalon on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tim Albin

Pass share

51.4%

379 pass / 358 run

Plays / game

61.4

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.9%

302 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Biff Poggi
Charlotte
2025
Tim Albin
Charlotte
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Biff Poggi → Tim Albin. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHampton, VA
Height5'11"
Weight180 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey16

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Ball State DB4 #15512 #15600 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Ball State DB4 #12061 #12229 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Ball State DB4 #13002 #12964 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American
2021 Ball State DB4 #13896 #13933 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Charlotte American Athletic DB 4 No. 16 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Hampton, VA
2024 Ball State Mid-American DB 4 No. 16 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Hampton, VA
2023 Ball State Mid-American DB 4 No. 16 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Hampton, VA
2022 Ball State Mid-American DB 4 No. 16 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Hampton, VA
2021 Ball State Mid-American DB 4 No. 16 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Hampton, VA