Tommy Stevens

#7 · QB · Sr. · Mississippi State6′5″ · 235 lb · Indianapolis, IN

Tommy Stevens: QB · Mississippi State · #7.

Similar players

Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.

Nick FitzgeraldMississippi State · 2017 · 80% season match
Jamie NewmanWake Forest · 2019 · 71% season match
Brenden MotleyVirginia Tech · 2015 · 70% season match
Eric DungeySyracuse · 2015 · 69% season match
Jeremy JohnsonAuburn · 2015 · 65% season match

Tommy Stevens

QB · Mississippi State · Sr · #7

Extends plays on the move until something opens up. Played for two head coaches at two programs in four seasons: James Franklin and Joe Moorhead. A game that shows it: 236 passing yards and 37 rushing yards against Louisiana — Week 1, 2019.

Style of play

Play style

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

7/31Inside-5 share

7 of the team's 31 inside-the-5 carries (22.6%).

Fans

No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.

Mississippi State in the news

Kamario Taylor out for seasonOct 27
Students rally for Nolan WellsOct 21
Billy Puckett named QB1The Clarion-Ledger Oct 17

Where to follow

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2019	Mississippi State	97	161	60.2%	1,155	7.2	11	5	136.8	42
2018	Penn State	8	11	72.7%	110	10.0	1	1	168.5	--
2017	Penn State	14	27	51.9%	158	5.9	3	0	137.7	--
2016	Penn State	2	3	66.7%	36	12.0	0	0	167.5	--
Career		121	202	59.9%	1,459	7.2	15	6	139.1	42

Season	Team
2019	Mississippi State	83	381	4.6	4	46
2018	Penn State	28	118	4.2	2	20
2017	Penn State	27	190	7.0	4	21
2016	Penn State	21	198	9.4	2	45
Career		159	887	5.6	12	46

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2019 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR
Wk 1	W 38-28vs Louisiana	20/30	236	2	0	7.9	66.3
Wk 2	W 38-15vs Southern Miss	9/10	105	2	0	10.5	88.1
Wk 3	L 24-31vs Kansas State	7/15	100	1	2	6.7	28.8
Wk 5	L 23-56@ No. 7 Auburn	1/3	7	0	0	2.3	0.7
Wk 7	L 10-20@ Tennessee	6/11	67	0	2	6.1	22.2
Wk 10	W 54-24@ Arkansas	12/18	172	2	0	9.6	—
Wk 12	L 7-38vs No. 4 Alabama	12/21	82	0	1	3.9	—
Wk 13	W 45-7vs Abilene Christian	13/27	165	2	0	6.1	—
Bowl	L 28-38vs Louisville	17/26	221	2	0	8.5	—
Total		97/161	1155	11	5	7.2	—

Signature game

Week 1 · 2019

W 38-28

vs Louisiana · neutral site

236 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT · QBR 66.3 · 37 rush yds (11 car) · 1 TD

Edged out Louisiana at a neutral site in a shootout.

With K. Hill — 197 rush yds (27 car) · 1 TD · 1 rec · 10 yds · T. Day — 40 yards per punt · 2 punts · 42 long

Signature plays

The plays that mattered most

Week 13 · Abilene Christian · 1st and 10 · Q2 · EPA +6.73Tommy Stevens pass complete to Kylin Hill for 88 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)
Week 7 · Tennessee · 1st and 10 · Q1 · EPA −4.13Tommy Stevens pass intercepted Kenneth George Jr. return for 24 yds to the Tenn 34
Week 10 · Arkansas · 3rd and 5 · Q3 · EPA +3.66Tommy Stevens pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 42 yds to the Ark 19 for a
Week 3 · Kansas State · 1st and 10 · Q1 · EPA −3.59Tommy Stevens pass intercepted Denzel Goolsby return for 16 yds to the KanSt 47
Week 12 · Alabama · 2nd and 6 · Q3 · EPA +3.49Tommy Stevens run for 46 yds to the Alab 25 for a
Week 3 · Kansas State · 1st and 10 · Q2 · EPA +2.97Tommy Stevens pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 35 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

4 more plays

Week 3 · Kansas State · 2nd and 14 · Q1 · EPA +2.96Tommy Stevens pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 17 yds to the KanSt 44 for a
Week 10 · Arkansas · 1st and 10 · Q1 · EPA +2.90Tommy Stevens pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 33 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)
Week 1 · Louisiana · 1st and 10 · Q1 · EPA +2.84Tommy Stevens pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 31 yds for a TD, (Jordan Lawless KICK)
Week 13 · Abilene Christian · 1st and 10 · Q3 · EPA +2.81Tommy Stevens run for 30 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

97/161 (60.2%) · 11 TD · 5 INT

161 of 161 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

5.88127 of 205 QBs

Sack rate

9.0%172 of 205 QBs

Sacked on 9.0% of dropbacks (172 of 205) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (127 of 205).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

51%of completions

49 comp4.9 yds avg1 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

36%of completions

35 comp13.7 yds avg4 TD

Deep

20+ yds

13%of completions

13 comp33.5 yds avg6 TD

Overall 60.2% completion on 161 attempts · 13 deep completions averaging 33.5 yds.

Teams and coaches

2016Penn State11-3HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning

2017Penn State11-2HC: James Franklin · Balanced

2018Penn State9-4HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning

2019Mississippi State6-7HC: Joe Moorhead · Run-heavy

Our ratings

Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles · 2019 season

13 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: sack rate (17th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

EPA / dropback#101 / 189 · 47th pct

0.22

Success rate#115 / 189 · 39th pct

39.5%

Interception rate#132 / 189 · 30th pct

3.1%

Explosive rate#148 / 189 · 22nd pct

8.1%

Sack rate#158 / 189 · 17th pct

9.0%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush yards#36 / 177 · 80th pct

381

Rush TDs#48 / 177 · 69th pct

Interceptions#60 / 177 · 60th pct

Completion %#91 / 177 · 48th pct

60.2%

Pass TDs#96 / 177 · 44th pct

Yards / att#102 / 177 · 42nd pct

7.2

Pass yards#120 / 177 · 32nd pct

1155

Fumbles lost#113 / 166 · 24th pct

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps in 2019. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2019 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

After 146 dropbacks

42Zeitgeist Passer Rating96th of 140 FBS QBs

NCAA passer rating 136.8 72nd of 140 FBS QBs

ZPR ranks this quarterback 24 places lower than passer rating does: passer rating cannot see sacks, and a sack comes on 9.6% of dropbacks.

Positive-play rate weight 24%

45.7%54th pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points · -0.2% schedule adj.

Yards per attempt weight 56%

6.8533rd pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded · -0.2 schedule adj.

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

9.0%16th pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · -0.5% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (31 of 177 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2019 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home4g	113	1.2	6.8	0.8
Road3g	82.0	0.7	6.0	0.7

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	123	1.2	7.0	0.7
Weeks 8+3g	140	1.3	6.5	0.3

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2019 season

Head Coach

Joe Moorhead

Pass share

37.5%

315 pass / 524 run

Plays / game

64.5

13 games

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Awards

Player standing · 2019

161 pass attempts and 83 carries in 9 games

Fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week.

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Tommy Stevens

Similar players

Style of play

Fans

Mississippi State in the news

Where to follow

Career stats

Game log

Signature game

Signature plays

Passing profile

Teams and coaches

Our ratings

Splits

Awards

161 pass attempts and 83 carries in 9 games

Five seasons, two schools, drafted

2020