cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Trey Leckner /Washington State

Trey Leckner

TE · Washington State · So · #23

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

174 REC YDS · 23 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Washington State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Washington State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Washington State

Returning around him

  • 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (28 in / 41 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Washington State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #95 · 2026 recruiting class #71

TE · WASHINGTON STATE · PAC-12

Trey Leckner

  • 2
  • #23
  • 6-3 | 232 lb
  • Snohomish, WA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

41

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 66th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3104

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1213 national
CFB
College
Washington State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class2
Jersey23
Measurements6-3 | 232 lb
HometownSnohomish, WA
Primary teamWashington State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1213 recruit
Composite rating 0.8567 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Glacier Peak Snohomish, WA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8567 No. 1213 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3104Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2938Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8567

#1213 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Trey Leckner

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Trey Leckner

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

3

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #222 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 58th

Why it matters

#222 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 3 TDs on 23 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 3 (58th)

MODERATE · n=23 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#504 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#513 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 2 vs San Diego State — 2 receiving_tds

Result W 36-13

The week the volume broke through — stacked 2 td vs San Diego State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
174Rec yards
23Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
15.8Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
205.6Rec yards
27Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 174): needs 263/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 174): needs 413/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 23): needs 18.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 23): needs 28.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Trey Leckner's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Washington State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3104 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 23 3 rec TD | #84/475 (83rd pct)
Receiving yards 174 7.6 per catch | #128/475 (73rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 174 Total offensive yardage | #128/475 (73rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
23 83rd
YDS
174 73rd
YPR
7.6 27th
TD
3 91st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 13-10vs Idaho11717.0017Season-high 51 yds
Wk 2W 36-13vs San Diego State6172.8252 TD catches
Wk 4L 24-59vs Washington263.003
Wk 5W 20-3@ Colorado State199.009
Wk 8L 20-22@ Virginia155.005
Wk 9W 28-7vs Toledo2178.5010
Wk 10L 7-10@ Oregon State2199.5019
Wk 12W 28-3vs Louisiana Tech144.004
Wk 13L 20-24@ James Madison3227.308
Wk 14W 32-8vs Oregon State273.516
BowlW 34-21@ Utah State25125.5032
Total231748.6332
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Washington State7-6HC: Jimmy Rogers · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Washington State231747.63--
Career1 loaded season231747.63--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.7% 7.6% pass-game share | #150/468 (68th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #45/475 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 23 #84/475 83rd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 174 #128/475 73rd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #45/475 91st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 7.6 #348/475 27th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 7.6% #150/468 68th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 32 #122/475 75th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.1% #111/468 76th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 4.2% #106/468 78th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 3.8% #142/468 70th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 3.7% #150/468 68th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 2.8% #284/468 40th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 1.4% #326/468 31st pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/55 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.311.36.50.5
Road5g1.821.211.30.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g2.117.410.00.4
Losses4g2.013.06.20.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.420.011.50.4
Weeks 8+6g1.812.36.30.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

41Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: yards / catch (6th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 33 · 74th pct
0fumb
Rec TDs#45 / 175 · 66th pct
3rece
Receptions#84 / 175 · 50th pct
23rece
Long catch#100 / 175 · 42nd pct
32rece
Rec yards#127 / 175 · 27th pct
174rece
Yards / catch#162 / 175 · 7th pct
7.6rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Trey LecknerWashington StateBrett NorfleetMissouri· 80% simRichie AndersonFresno State· 79% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 77% sim
Fumbles lost
74
Leckner
74
Anderson
Rec TDs
66
Leckner
89
Norfleet
66
Anderson
43
Fortenberry
Receptions
50
Leckner
72
Norfleet
72
Anderson
75
Fortenberry
Long catch
42
Leckner
27
Norfleet
20
Anderson
32
Fortenberry
Rec yards
27
Leckner
54
Norfleet
60
Anderson
58
Fortenberry
Yards / catch
7
Leckner
13
Norfleet
33
Anderson
26
Fortenberry

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Devin Miller’s 2022 season.

Devin Miller

77%match

Marshall · 2022

#2

Lincoln Sefcik

South Alabama · 2021

All-Sun Belt
70%
#3

Elija Lofton

Miami · 2025

69%
#4

Josh Sterzer

Utah State · 2022

68%
#5

Sam Olson

Arizona · 2025

68%

Matches Devin on

Total EPA (college ability)
Recruiting rating
Yards / reception

Differs from Devin on

EPA / play (adj) (lower)
TD rate (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Elija Lofton's sophomore season at Miami (2025).

Elija Lofton

78%match

Miami · 2025

#2

Kylan Fox

UCF · 2025

69%
#3

Christopher Brown Jr.

California · 2021

64%
#4

Janiran Bonner

Nebraska · 2024

69%
#5

Cameron Zeidler

Nevada · 2023

69%

Matches Elija on

Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Elija on

Recruiting rating (lower)
Yards / reception (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jimmy Rogers

Pass share

48.7%

407 pass / 429 run

Plays / game

64.3

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.1%

327 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jimmy Rogers
Washington State

Played his entire career under Jimmy Rogers.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSnohomish, WA
Height6'3"
Weight232 lb
Class2
PositionTE
Jersey23

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Washington State TE2 #3104 #2938 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Pac-12
2023 Washington State TE2 #4034 #3990 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Washington State Pac-12 TE 2 No. 23 | 6-3 | 232 lb | Snohomish, WA
2024 Washington State Pac-12 TE 2 No. 23 | 6-3 | 232 lb | Snohomish, WA
2023 Washington State Pac-12 TE 2 No. 23 | 6-3 | 232 lb | Snohomish, WA