CFB Zeitgeist Score
73
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 97th percentile.
Wesley Bailey
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
39 TACKLES · 6 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Louisville for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Defensive line · Louisville
Returning around him
- 46% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 1 Louisville player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -6 net (33 in / 39 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Louisville · Last season: 9-4 (AP #19) · Talent rank #50 · 2026 recruiting class #68
DL · LOUISVILLE · ACC
Wesley Bailey
- 4
- #23
- 6-5 | 265 lb
- Ottawa, ON
Heisman Heat
#9837
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8552 | No. 1063 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8552
#1063 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Wesley Bailey
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Wesley Bailey
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 12g
39Tackles
7Tackles for loss
6Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Projected (13g)
42Tackles
7.6Tackles for loss
6.5Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 39): needs 41/game over remaining 1.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 39): needs 61/game over remaining 1.
✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 6.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 6): needs 4/game over remaining 1.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Wesley Bailey is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Louisville's defense, with 6.0 sacks, 7.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
39 81st
SOLO
17 73rd
TFL
7.0 94th
SACK
6.0 99th
QBH
5 90th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 51-17vs Eastern Kentucky | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 28-14vs James Madison | 8 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 8 tackles |
| Wk 4 | W 40-17vs Bowling Green | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | W 34-27@ Pittsburgh | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | L 27-30vs Virginia | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 24-21@ Miami | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | W 38-24vs Boston College | 6 | 4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 0 | 2 sacks |
| Wk 10 | W 28-16@ Virginia Tech | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 26-29vs California | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 19-20vs Clemson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | L 6-38@ SMU | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 41-0vs Kentucky | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 39 | 17 | 7.0 | 6.0 | — | 0 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Rutgers5-7HC: Greg Schiano · Run-leaning
2022Rutgers4-8HC: Greg Schiano · Run-leaning
2023Rutgers7-6HC: Greg Schiano · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Rutgers7-6HC: Greg Schiano · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2025Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Louisville | 39 | 17 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Rutgers | 11 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Rutgers | 25 | 9 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 3 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Rutgers | 28 | 16 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 2 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Rutgers | 7 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1 | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 110 | 48 | 21.0 | 14.5 | 7 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 39 | #937/4942 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 7.0 | #277/4972 | 94th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 6.0 | #74/4972 | 99th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 5 | #188/1878 | 90th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 17 | #1252/4584 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Road4g | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Losses4g | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort
73Solid starter
Elite: sacks (97th). Strength: qb hurries (92nd). Concern: passes defended (17th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DL · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Wesley BaileyLouisvilleMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 78% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 76% simMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 75% sim
Sacks
QB hurries
Tackles for loss
Tackles
Solo tackles
Passes defended
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The 3-Tech Penetrator
Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.
IDL
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Wesley Bailey’s 2023 season.
Wesley Bailey
90%match
#2
Jack Sullivan
87%
#3
Jordan Porter
86%
#4
Jah Joyner
86%
#5
Uriah Leiataua
86%
Matches Wesley on
Height
Sack rate
TFL rate
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Van Fillinger's graduate season at Utah (2024).
Van Fillinger
81%match
#2
JJ Weaver
81%
#3
Aaron Lewis
78%
#4
Jared Harrison-Hunte
77%
#5
Paris Shand
76%
Matches Van on
Class year
Weight
TFL rate
Differs from Van on
Sack rate (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jeff Brohm
Pass share
50.2%
414 pass / 410 run
Plays / game
63.4
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.0%
314 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Scott Satterfield
Louisville
2022
Scott Satterfield
Louisville
2023era →
Jeff Brohm
Louisville
2024
Jeff Brohm
Louisville
2025
Jeff Brohm
Louisville
Coaching transition mid-career: Scott Satterfield → Jeff Brohm. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownOttawa, ON
Height6'5"
Weight265 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey23
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamLouisville
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Rutgers | DL4 | #9837 | #10042 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Rutgers | DL4 | #8008 | #8767 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2022 | Rutgers | DL4 | #8595 | #9548 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2021 | Rutgers | DL4 | #10176 | #10248 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Louisville | ACC | DL | 4 | No. 23 | 6-5 | 265 lb | Ottawa, ON |
| 2024 | Rutgers | Big Ten | DL | 4 | No. 23 | 6-5 | 265 lb | Ottawa, ON |
| 2023 | Rutgers | Big Ten | DL | 4 | No. 23 | 6-5 | 265 lb | Ottawa, ON |
| 2022 | Rutgers | Big Ten | DL | 4 | No. 23 | 6-5 | 265 lb | Ottawa, ON |
| 2021 | Rutgers | Big Ten | DL | 4 | No. 23 | 6-5 | 265 lb | Ottawa, ON |