Alabama State
2-1SWAC · Hornet Stadium · 26,500 · 18,678 avg in 2026
LastL 17–34 at Troy · Sat Sep 12 · Jamarie Hostzclaw 80 rush yds, 1 TD, 10 rec yds
Nextvs Mississippi Valley State · Sat Sep 26 · 6 pm ET · Hornet Stadium · series 15-2, won the last 4 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Home-field advantage · Alabama State · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Alabama State has been 0.3 points worse at home than on the road.
Worse at home, 1st percentile of 133 programs
0% at home, 0% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (0–1 home, 0–9 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3.
Hornet Stadium seats 26,500 and has averaged 73% full (19,385, 12 games reported). Visitors cover a median 248 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 37 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
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Havoc & trenches
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Alabama State
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Conditions
76°F average kickoff temp; 4% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 28 home games with weather data.