Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from Alabama State’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Alabama State’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 13:25 · Troy tiedWill Crowder finds TK Keyes for a 73-yard touchdownAlabama State at Troy, week 2Q1, 13:25 · Troy 7, Alabama State 07373-yard touchdown pass7373-yard touchdown pass73-yard touchdown passG.Crowder pass complete short left to T.Keyes caught at TROY41, for 73 yards to the ASU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Sun Belt Conference
Q1, 10:51 · Alabama State down 7, ties itJamarie Hostzclaw runs 50 yards for a touchdownAlabama State at Troy, week 2Q1, 10:51 · Alabama State 7, Troy 75050-yard touchdown run5050-yard touchdown run50-yard touchdown runJ.Hostzclaw rush middle for 50 yards gain to the TROY00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference- Q1, 8:17 · Troy tiedRashawn Watson sacks Will Crowder for a 10-yard lossAlabama State at Troy, week 2Q1, 8:17 · Troy 7, Alabama State 7▼3%Troy’s chance to win, 94% to 91%▼3%Troy’s chance to win, 94% to 91%G.Crowder sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TROY14 (R.Watson)▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q2, 3:41 · Troy up 10Jaheim Merriweather runs 6 yards for a touchdownAlabama State at Troy, week 2Q2, 3:41 · Troy 24, Alabama State 724-7score after the play24-7score after the playJ.Merriweather rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ASU00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q2, 0:15 · Troy up 17Jaheim Merriweather runs 1 yard for a touchdownAlabama State at Troy, week 2Q2, 0:15 · Troy 31, Alabama State 7Jaheim Merriweather's third touchdown of the gameJaheim Merriweather's third touchdown of the gameJ.Merriweather rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ASU00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q2, 1:07 · Alabama State down 17Alabama State turns it overAlabama State at Troy, week 2Q2, 1:07 · Alabama State 7, Troy 247Alabama State’s turnover led to a touchdown7Alabama State’s turnover led to a touchdownAlabama State’s turnover led to a touchdownA.Body sacked for loss of 9 yards to the ASU42 (D.Smith), fumble by A.Body recovered by TROY B.Steele at ASU42, End Of Play▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
How scary each game got
Alabama State lost to Florida A&M after being 94% to win; the closest win was against Southern, down to 21%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Alabama State during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Alabama State has been 0.3 points worse at home than on the road.
Worse at home, 1st percentile of 133 programs
0% at home, 0% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (0-1 home, 0-9 away).
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Alabama State has beaten the number by 7.8 points less at home than away over 40 games. That is outside the ±6.1 that many games can resolve, so this is one of the few buildings where the results say something the flat number does not.
Hornet Stadium seats 26,500 and has averaged 72% full (18,957, 14 games reported). Visitors cover a median 248 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 39 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
How much of Alabama State’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.03; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.00. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.22 raw vs. 0.03 adjusted.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Alabama State
Most similar programs · Alabama StateReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.