Austin Peay

7-2

Player stats

Player stats · 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

Biggest plays from Austin Peay’s games

Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Austin Peay’s games this season, whoever made them.

  1. Q1, 6:57 · Austin Peay down 3, takes the leadChris Parson finds Denver Harper for a 24-yard touchdownAustin Peay at Vanderbilt, week 1Q1, 6:57 · Austin Peay 6, Vanderbilt 3Austin Peay took the lead in the first quarterAustin Peay took the lead in the first quarterC. Parson pass to D. Harper for 24 yds, for a TD (N. Guagliano Blocked), kick no goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q4, 14:50 · Vanderbilt up 12J. Broxton returns the punt 27 yards for a touchdownAustin Peay at Vanderbilt, week 1Q4, 14:50 · Vanderbilt 28, Austin Peay 927Punt return touchdown27Punt return touchdownPunt return touchdownL.Leftrick punt 9 yards to the APSU27 J.Broxton return 27 yards to the APSU00 touchdown, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q2, 6:21 · Vanderbilt up 2Blaze Berlowitz runs 7 yards for a touchdownAustin Peay at Vanderbilt, week 1Q2, 6:21 · Vanderbilt 15, Austin Peay 615-6score after the play15-6score after the playBlaze Berlowitz 7 yd Run (Brock Taylor Kick)Watch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q3, 5:24 · Vanderbilt up 6Sedrick Alexander runs 18 yards for a touchdownAustin Peay at Vanderbilt, week 1Q3, 5:24 · Vanderbilt 21, Austin Peay 921-9score after the play21-9score after the playS.Alexander rush middle for 18 yards gain to the APSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN B.Berlowitz pass attempt failedWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q4, 7:21 · Austin Peay down 19Austin Peay is sackedAustin Peay at Vanderbilt, week 1Q4, 7:21 · Austin Peay 9, Vanderbilt 289-28score after the play9-28score after the playC.Parson sacked for loss of 4 yards to the APSU29 (H.Bray, G.Seabrooks III)Watch from this playESPN College Football

How scary each game got

Austin Peay lost to Tarleton State after being 68% to win; the closest win was at West Georgia, down to 14%

50%L1W1W2W3W4W5L6W7W8

Tap a game for its score and win chances.

Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Austin Peay during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.

Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Austin Peay is worth +9.5 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile of 133 programs

50% at home, 21% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1-1 home, 3-11 away). Interval ±16.2.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
The stadium and how the home edge is measured

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Austin Peay has beaten the number by +2.5 more at home than away over 53 games. That is inside the ±8.6 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Governors Stadium seats 10,100 and has averaged 66% full (6,692, 17 games reported). Visitors cover a median 215 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 46 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.

Home1-1Away3-11Edge+9.5 ±16.2Visitor trip215 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

How much of Austin Peay’s number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.23; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.08. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.38 raw vs. 0.09 adjusted.

0.430.20-0.02Wk 1Wk 6Wk 10Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
0.430.20-0.02Wk 1Wk 6Wk 10RawAdjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Havoc & trenchesDefense havoc rate 0.176, 71th percentile

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc rate (D) 0.176
71st
Havoc allowed (O) 0.163
33rd
Front-seven havoc (D) 0.123
85th
Secondary havoc (D) 0.053
31st
Stuff rate (D) 0.232
82nd
Stuff rate allowed (O) 0.226
11th
Line yards (O) 2.865
33rd
Line yards allowed (D) 2.371
93rd
Standard-downs success (O) 0.479
56th
Standard-downs success allowed (D) 0.421
76th
Passing-downs success (O) 0.266
19th
Passing-downs success allowed (D) 0.260
77th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Austin Peay

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site