Bowling Green

0-2

Mid-American · Eddie George, year 2 (4-10) · Doyt L. Perry Stadium · 24,000 · 13,367 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#118 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #112 (-12.8) · FPI #135
The marketIowa State by 23.5at Iowa State · our model 35% Bowling Green · a number, not a pick

LastL 7–56 at Nebraska · Sat Sep 12 · JoJo Johnson 1 INT, 5 tackles

Nextat Iowa State · Sat Sep 19 · 12 pm ET · Jack Trice Stadium · Iowa State by 23.5 · series 0-2, lost the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
10.0
Pts allowed/game
38.0
Total yards/gmT-#131 / 138 · 5th pct
267.5
Rush yards/gmT-#127 / 138 · 8th pct
94.5
Pass yards/gm#109 / 138 · 21st pct
173.0
Yards allowed/gm#128 / 138 · 8th pct
505.0
Rush yds allowed/gm#132 / 138 · 5th pct
261.0
SacksT-#106 / 138 · 16th pct
2
InterceptionsT-#63 / 115 · 23rd pct
1
3rd-down convT-#113 / 138 · 18th pct
32.0%
All 81 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
535267.5/gm4.65/playT-#131 / 138 · 5th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#12 / 13 · 12th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
1010505.0/gm8.21/play#128 / 138 · 8th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#11 / 13 · 19th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
18994.5/gm1.64/playT-#127 / 138 · 8th pct#66 / 70 · 6th pct#13 / 13 · 4th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
522261.0/gm4.24/play#132 / 138 · 5th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#13 / 13 · 4th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
6934.5/gmT-#84 / 138 · 38th pctT-#44 / 70 · 37th pctT-#7 / 13 · 46th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6733.5/gmT-#60 / 138 · 55th pctT-#41 / 70 · 41st pctT-#5 / 13 · 62nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
10.5/gmT-#123 / 138 · 8th pctT-#64 / 70 · 6th pct#12 / 13 · 12th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#53 / 138 · 50th pctT-#34 / 70 · 36th pctT-#6 / 13 · 54th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
346173.0/gm3.01/play#109 / 138 · 21st pct#62 / 70 · 12th pct#10 / 13 · 27th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
488244.0/gm3.97/play#104 / 138 · 25th pct#58 / 70 · 18th pct#6 / 13 · 58th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
4623.0/gmT-#112 / 138 · 18th pctT-#62 / 70 · 11th pctT-#10 / 13 · 23rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5628.0/gmT-#51 / 138 · 62nd pct#34 / 70 · 52nd pctT-#1 / 13 · 92nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
3417.0/gmT-#86 / 138 · 36th pctT-#53 / 70 · 24th pct#6 / 13 · 58th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
4221.0/gmT-#102 / 138 · 25th pctT-#56 / 70 · 20th pctT-#8 / 13 · 38th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
10.5/gmT-#114 / 138 · 11th pctT-#60 / 70 · 9th pctT-#11 / 13 · 15th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
73.5/gmT-#134 / 138 · 2nd pctT-#69 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 13 · 12th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
139.9139.9#66 / 115 · 43rd pct#42 / 60 · 31st pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp
185.9185.9#89 / 91 · 3rd pct#42 / 42 · 1st pct#10 / 10 · 5th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
10.5/gmT-#52 / 138 · 49th pctT-#25 / 70 · 53rd pctT-#6 / 13 · 42nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 64th pctT-#11 / 70 · 64th pctT-#5 / 13 · 54th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
Sacks (def)
Team
21.0/gmT-#106 / 138 · 16th pctT-#61 / 70 · 9th pctT-#9 / 13 · 23rd pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#33 / 138 · 67th pctT-#20 / 70 · 61st pctT-#3 / 13 · 73rd pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
52.5/gmT-#130 / 138 · 5th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pctT-#11 / 13 · 15th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
105.0/gmT-#66 / 138 · 47th pctT-#42 / 70 · 37th pctT-#7 / 13 · 38th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
3015.0/gmT-#126 / 138 · 8th pctT-#65 / 70 · 6th pct#12 / 13 · 12th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
4723.5/gmT-#119 / 138 · 13th pctT-#67 / 70 · 4th pctT-#9 / 13 · 31st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
84.0/gmT-#104 / 138 · 21st pctT-#57 / 70 · 15th pctT-#9 / 13 · 27th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
63.0/gmT-#12 / 138 · 86th pctT-#10 / 70 · 79th pctT-#1 / 13 · 92nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2512.5/gmT-#72 / 138 · 45th pctT-#34 / 70 · 49th pct#8 / 13 · 42nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
189.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 99th pct#1 / 70 · 99th pct#1 / 13 · 96th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
21.0/gmT-#51 / 138 · 51st pctT-#28 / 70 · 49th pctT-#3 / 13 · 65th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#121 / 138 · 9th pctT-#63 / 70 · 7th pct#11 / 13 · 19th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
31.5/gmT-#66 / 138 · 41st pctT-#35 / 70 · 44th pctT-#5 / 13 · 50th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
73.5/gmT-#127 / 138 · 7th pctT-#67 / 70 · 4th pctT-#11 / 13 · 15th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
63:1231:36/gm#57 / 138 · 59th pct#29 / 70 · 59th pct#6 / 13 · 58th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
56:4828:24/gm#48 / 138 · 66th pct#29 / 70 · 59th pct#4 / 13 · 73rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.37 EPA/play17234 / 4673.93467.511139.98.4
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
-0.27 EPA/play1226893.4117
-0.40 EPA/play2220643.2015
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
Complete TE · +0.62 EPA/play21212110.1023
+1.16 EPA/play8256212.4029
+0.20 EPA/play527527.4020

2026 stat leaders · Bowling Green

through 2 games

Dorian Pringle leads Bowling Green with 23 tackles through 2 games.

1. Dorian Pringle LB 23 tackles
2. Kal-El Pascal S 22 tackles
3. Preston EstoEsta S 13 tackles
4. Jeremiah Scoby TE 121 receiving yards
5. Sanders Ellis LB 10 tackles
How They Play · 2025

Bowling Green fields a struggling run-heavy, explosive, big-play offense behind a solid, gives up the big play defense.

Offense
7th pct EPA/play
Run/Pass
62% run plays
Tempo
66th pct explosiveness
Defense
52nd pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
26th pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Bowling Green · 2025

Bowling Green reads strongest in explosive plays (top 35%) and rushing epa allowed (top 37%); the crux lives in epa / play, where Bowling Green sits at the 6th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.03
7th
Success Rate +0.36
8th
Explosive Plays +1.29
66th
Rushing EPA +0.04
25th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.15
52nd
Success Rate Allowed +0.40
58th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.32
26th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.33
25th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.16
17th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.05
64th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Bowling Green · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Bowling Green is worth +1.7 points more at home than on the road.

Bottom third of FBS, 14th percentile of 133 programs

33% at home, 34% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (12–24 home, 16–31 away). Interval ±4.6.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Bowling Green has beaten the number by −3.7 more at home than away over 74 games — inside the ±7.6 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Doyt L. Perry Stadium seats 24,000 and has averaged 58% full (13,951, 24 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 163 miles trip since 2018, the 3rd-shortest of 135 FBS venues. There is no travel penalty on visitors here either way. 19% of the 2026 roster (19 of 102 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 44 home games since 2018.

Home12–24Away16–31Edge+1.7 ±4.6Visitor trip163 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected

Bowling Green's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time

Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 54th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 46th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.

league medianRaw 4th quarter · 54th pctileCompetitive snaps only · 46th pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · CFBD play-by-play, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Bowling Green

CFB Zeitgeist

#118

-4.8

SP+

#112

-12.8

FPI

#135

-19.2

Elo

#128

1227

The national models put Bowling Green between 112th and 135th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist agrees, slotting them 118th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Bowling Green

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

59°F average kickoff temp; 9% of games had measurable precipitation; 10 mph average wind.

Based on 66 home games with weather data.

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