Bucknell

1-2

Patriot · Christy Mathewson-Memorial Stadium · 13,100

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches

The marketno line yetvs Pennsylvania · our model 62% Bucknell · a number, not a pick

LastW 14–3 at VMI · Sat Sep 12 · Christopher Dietrich 221 pass yds, 1 TD

Nextvs Pennsylvania · Sat Sep 19 · 3 pm ET · Christy Mathewson-Memorial Stadium · series 2-26, lost the last 12 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Player stats — 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc Rate (D) 0.131

5th

Havoc Allowed (O) 0.126

77th

Front-Seven Havoc (D) 0.076

32nd

Secondary Havoc (D) 0.055

50th

Stuff Rate (D) 0.184

59th

Stuff Rate Allowed (O) 0.201

32nd

Line Yards (O) 2.327

14th

Line Yards Allowed (D) 2.576

68th

Standard-Downs Success (O) 0.441

23rd

Standard-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.464

59th

Passing-Downs Success (O) 0.213

23rd

Passing-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.183

86th

Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Bucknell

Reads like

Air ForceMountain WestSame tier of program · Same prestige band AkronMid-AmericanSame tier of program · Same prestige band Alabama A&MSWACSame tier of program · Same prestige band

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

Historical echoPrograms whose arc bent the same way -- then what happened.

Historical echo

Bucknell’s slide has precedent — and 2 of the 4 closest kept falling.

Programs whose stature fell in the same shape. The grey line is their decline; the color is what came next for them.

Baylor 1993–1998

kept sliding

TCU 1970–1975

kept sliding

Indiana 1971–1976

stayed down

Bowling Green 2006–2011

stayed down

An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.

Venue texture

63°F average kickoff temp; 17% of games had measurable precipitation; 5 mph average wind.

Based on 29 home games with weather data.

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